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Realized P&L
-$123
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
32.0%
Resolved
193
Trades
258
lifetime
Volume
$1.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$229
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 11-09 03:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
95% 21% -$132
Politics
4% 100% +$9
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 28, 2026? No +20 $14 100¢ $20 +$6 11-09 02:56
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $625B by November 30? No +20 $15 97¢ $19 +$4 11-09 01:45
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.25B by November 30? No +20 $13 86¢ $17 +$4 11-09 00:57
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? No +20 $7 74¢ $15 +$7 11-09 00:44
Will Iran target Kuwait by November 30, 2026? No +20 $10 73¢ $15 +$4 11-09 00:42
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $13 72¢ $14 +$2 11-09 02:10
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%? Yes +20 $13 62¢ $12 $0 11-09 02:28
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $7.4B by November 30? Yes +20 $13 61¢ $12 -$1 11-09 02:42
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20261022 Yes +20 $9 59¢ $12 +$2 11-09 00:41
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the January meeting? Yes +20 $13 58¢ $12 -$2 11-09 01:15
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the February meeting? Yes +20 $9 55¢ $11 +$2 11-09 00:36
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $59B by November 30? Yes +20 $13 54¢ $11 -$2 11-09 00:56
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $13.5B by November 30? Yes +20 $10 50¢ $10 +$0 11-09 03:08
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $57.5B by November 30? No +20 $9 42¢ $8 -$1 11-09 00:56
Will OpenRouter process between 210T and 220T tokens the week of November 9? Yes +20 $7 32¢ $6 $0 11-09 01:25
Will US gas hit $4.05 (High) in November? Yes +20 $10 24¢ $5 -$6 11-09 01:36
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $13B by November 30? Yes +20 $8 22¢ $4 -$4 11-09 03:29
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $51.5B by November 30? Yes +20 $8 22¢ $4 -$4 11-09 01:26
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $202.5B by November 30? Yes +20 $10 21¢ $4 -$6 11-09 01:05
Will WaiterG win the GMGN GGC Season 1 Grand Final? Yes +20 $4 20¢ $4 $0 11-09 01:56
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $29.25B by November 30? Yes +20 $2 18¢ $4 +$1 11-09 02:56
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by November 30? Yes +20 $4 9¢ $2 -$2 11-09 03:46
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15.8B by November 30? Yes +20 $10 8¢ $2 -$8 11-09 00:52
Will Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +20 $6 7¢ $1 -$5 11-09 01:26
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15? Yes +20 $4 6¢ $1 -$3 11-09 01:03
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $205B by November 30? Yes +20 $9 4¢ $1 -$8 11-09 01:06
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 11? No +3 $1 24¢ $1 $0 11-09 01:05
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $59B by November 30? No +1 $0 46¢ $0 +$0 11-09 00:56
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on November 13, 2026? Yes +20 $5 2¢ $0 -$4 11-09 00:59
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $13.5B by November 30? No +0 $0 50¢ $0 +$0 11-09 03:03