Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

42.1%

Resolved

913

Trades

1,151

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

36% 27% -$1,292

Crypto

30% 52% -$39

Sports

24% 50% +$692

Politics

8% 38% -$267

Tech

1% 0% -$30

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$105

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	64¢	$3	+$0	11-01 15:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$3.1K	4,040	4,040	+0	No	-$768	09-12 07:09
will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	6	$2.1K	1,336	1,336	+0	Yes	+$574	03-31 20:44
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.1K	4,198	0	+4,198	open	—	09-12 07:11
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$440	264	264	+0	Yes	+$46	02-15 12:28
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$256	0	273	-273	Yes	-$16	04-10 14:51
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$246	314	314	+0	No	-$154	04-15 05:03
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	3	$224	128	128	+0	No	+$12	02-20 17:48
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$222	0	259	-259	Yes	-$36	05-10 17:34
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$216	157	157	+0	Yes	+$90	01-30 07:23
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	1	$201	372	0	+372	No	-$201	10-04 18:20
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	3	$198	146	146	+0	No	-$2	01-10 18:43
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	3	$191	165	165	+0	No	-$9	02-13 15:33
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$190	562	562	+0	No	-$10	01-25 07:38
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	3	$185	253	253	+0	No	-$173	02-08 14:03
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$170	141	141	+0	Yes	-$30	02-19 06:41
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	2	$149	86	86	+0	Yes	+$23	02-01 15:10
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$148	171	171	+0	Yes	-$56	03-08 18:19
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	3	$145	105	105	+0	Yes	+$25	02-24 10:51
will eight die in stranger things season 5 g59m aapk	1	$140	0	141	-141	Yes	-$1	01-01 02:35
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$138	311	311	+0	Yes	-$22	04-03 16:35
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	2	$134	85	85	+0	Yes	+$34	01-13 22:11
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	2	$133	85	85	+0	Yes	+$33	02-15 12:27
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$132	183	0	+183	Yes	+$51	01-23 09:58
will matthew stafford win the 202526 nfl mvp award	2	$127	0	142	-142	Yes	-$15	01-30 15:26
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$117	0	123	-123	Yes	-$6	01-14 15:30
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$116	217	0	+217	Yes	+$101	01-18 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET	2	$107	167	167	+0	Up	+$97	09-16 17:58
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$106	0	246	-246	Yes	-$140	02-07 12:10
will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	2	$105	155	0	+155	No	-$105	01-30 07:34
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	1	$105	112	0	+112	Yes	+$7	02-01 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xc76cbf…
11-01 15:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xba1675…
11-01 15:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9fba3e…
11-01 14:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xd937da…
11-01 14:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x4bf72e…
11-01 14:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x6d54a9…
11-01 14:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2ee279…
11-01 14:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x04adbe…
11-01 14:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4c0386…
11-01 13:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xce7fd2…
11-01 13:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x3ce56f…
11-01 13:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x3d9a5b…
11-01 13:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x3fd7f3…
11-01 12:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd01cba…
11-01 12:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x692d42…
11-01 12:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x696a79…
11-01 11:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9d7ee1…
11-01 11:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x777a8d…
11-01 11:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x54f38a…
11-01 10:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xcae5a5…
11-01 10:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7dd710…
11-01 10:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x78860d…
11-01 10:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd16294…
11-01 09:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x109151…
11-01 09:16:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-01 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x516e29…
11-01 09:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x517d6b…
11-01 09:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x7ef3f2…
11-01 08:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x39f4d9…
11-01 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xa5e062…
11-01 08:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x40b5e4…
11-01 08:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x0dba18…
11-01 07:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6047c1…
11-01 07:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x0f92c3…
11-01 02:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xfa17a0…
11-01 02:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4bacd0…
11-01 01:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xaf7b36…
11-01 00:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9a627a…
10-31 23:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x2d0e23…
10-31 23:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x005156…
10-31 21:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xd827aa…
10-31 20:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x48f826…
10-31 16:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb40c49…
10-31 16:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x4c11fc…
10-31 14:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x6165a0…
10-31 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc6fe69…
10-31 11:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfb728c…
10-31 10:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfff9df…
10-31 05:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5c4bfc…
10-31 04:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x58e346…
10-31 03:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x501311…
10-31 02:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xfa7d38…
10-31 02:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x041f17…
10-31 00:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc43507…
10-30 22:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4d39ad…
10-30 19:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x29a322…
10-30 14:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8ab6ad…
10-30 12:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x4c66d3…
10-30 12:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x48d128…
10-30 11:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3b837c…
10-30 11:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xff42ff…
10-30 10:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xab63ec…
10-30 10:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x6d5a95…
10-30 09:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xadefab…
10-30 07:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x86ef82…
10-30 06:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6ab907…
10-30 02:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x0e12a3…
10-30 02:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4cc0d8…
10-30 02:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x34919c…
10-30 01:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3a14e9…
10-30 00:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x808e9c…
10-30 00:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd988df…
10-29 22:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfcb429…
10-29 21:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc390f3…
10-29 16:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0e610e…
10-29 15:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7886e5…
10-29 14:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4bd768…
10-29 13:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x81af67…
10-29 13:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x5a9e1b…
10-29 10:50:53	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xce8d0a…
10-28 18:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	214	19¢	$40	0x1240a8…
10-28 18:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	55	21¢	$12	0x20d69d…
10-28 16:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf21db5…
10-28 16:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x550adb…
10-28 16:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x42f15d…
10-28 16:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1defa4…
10-28 15:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x08dea5…
10-28 15:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x43a16d…
10-28 15:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8831af…
10-28 15:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa6ac6d…
10-28 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xb52df0…
10-28 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x917156…
10-28 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x803639…
10-28 14:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5b0ec8…
10-28 14:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xeec35e…
10-28 14:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcaab85…
10-28 14:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe93c43…
10-27 05:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x457365…
10-27 05:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x56f8a4…
10-27 05:15:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa4e95d…
10-27 05:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4b7719…