Known-Engagement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

5,697

Trades

14,504

lifetime

Volume

$1.14M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-24 04:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 176 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 95% +$8,912

Other

20% 96% +$559

Sports

0% 100% +$2,622

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$3.0K	3,859	0	+3,859	France	+$859	07-09 19:35
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$3.0K	4,167	0	+4,167	Max Holloway	+$1,167	07-11 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	223	$2.8K	4,501	0	+4,501	Down	-$2,837	05-13 10:56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	1	$2.0K	2,827	0	+2,827	Yes	-$2,000	07-14 14:07
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	05-11 07:50
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	05-06 06:35
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	05-08 16:00
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	05-08 16:00
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 18:40 UTC	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$66	04-22 18:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	26	$1.6K	821	821	+0	No	+$22	09-03 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 22?	9	$1.6K	809	809	+0	No	+$8	08-22 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on August 24?	3	$1.6K	808	808	+0	No	+$7	08-23 16:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 16?	14	$1.3K	664	664	+0	No	+$24	08-16 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17?	9	$1.2K	612	612	-0	No	+$6	08-17 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 3?	10	$1.2K	614	614	+0	No	+$13	08-03 00:37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on August 15?	8	$1.2K	606	606	+0	No	+$6	08-15 15:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:45 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Down	+$11	03-24 23:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 12:40 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$11	03-27 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:10 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$11	03-28 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 21:25 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$11	03-27 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 00:40 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$11	03-28 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:50 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$14	03-28 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 11:35 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	-$1,086	03-28 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:10 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Down	+$14	03-27 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?	22	$1.1K	555	555	+0	No	+$12	10-21 17:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 02:00 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Down	+$22	03-25 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:50 UTC	27	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	Down	+$11	03-27 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on August 20?	8	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$5	08-19 16:21
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1.0K	1,900	0	+1,900	Yes	+$893	05-30 15:57
ufc ism1 axe 2026 07 25	1	$1.0K	1,562	0	+1,562	Axel Sola	+$562	07-25 10:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 04:02:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on October 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x86386b…
10-23 21:27:36	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on October 23?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x6e41ce…
10-23 08:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf29ccf…
10-23 08:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5d324b…
10-23 06:02:35	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 9°C on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xaad38d…
10-23 06:02:35	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 8°C on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x418e8b…
10-23 06:02:35	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 10°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x369256…
10-23 05:52:35	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 16°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb8f527…
10-23 05:47:36	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9dce3d…
10-23 05:47:36	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 21?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x606252…
10-23 05:47:35	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb161f1…
10-23 05:47:35	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x4a0988…
10-23 05:27:35	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 11°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1c3eab…
10-23 05:22:36	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on October 21?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x196f27…
10-23 05:22:35	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa2c240…
10-23 05:22:35	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x141798…
10-23 05:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 23?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xebac3f…
10-23 05:17:36	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x47101f…
10-23 05:17:36	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x05aa60…
10-23 04:47:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8e2425…
10-23 04:47:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6c90d6…
10-23 04:47:35	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x74e008…
10-23 04:42:36	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on October 23?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa72f4f…
10-23 04:27:36	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 13°C on October 21?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x878d97…
10-23 04:27:35	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 11°C on October 21?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7eba1d…
10-23 04:22:36	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on October 21?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe9d521…
10-23 04:22:36	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 12°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9e90a1…
10-23 04:22:35	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x98f6ab…
10-23 04:22:35	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x06a367…
10-23 04:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x07f4ea…
10-23 04:02:36	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	290	100¢	$290	0x64815b…
10-23 01:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xec645e…
10-23 01:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x73f9e0…
10-23 01:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$40	0x5fc803…
10-23 00:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	SELL	113	95¢	$107	0x5a4652…
10-23 00:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x2fc87c…
10-22 19:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0x534157…
10-22 11:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 23?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0de0d7…
10-22 10:27:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on October 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc7adc1…
10-22 05:47:35	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on October 22?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf36a7e…
10-22 04:17:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on October 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbd942b…
10-22 04:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C or below on October 23?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xed384e…
10-21 22:07:36	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on October 22?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf7a1e2…
10-21 21:37:36	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 11°C or higher on October 21?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xb3a665…
10-21 21:37:36	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on October 21?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x6bf8ca…
10-21 19:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x849047…
10-21 19:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc5c9b5…
10-21 19:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x10f723…
10-21 19:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb15d09…
10-21 19:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa46f1c…
10-21 18:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd13a7a…
10-21 18:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x294dee…
10-21 18:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x5fce8a…
10-21 18:29:03	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on October 23?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xdcb236…
10-21 18:03:59	highest temperature in toronto on october 23 2026 7corbelow	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf9e766…
10-21 17:59:02	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on October 23?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xfca1af…
10-21 17:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$174	0x5994c9…
10-21 16:59:03	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on October 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x68c09f…
10-21 16:29:03	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on October 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xced5fd…
10-21 16:17:36	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x085344…
10-21 14:27:36	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 21?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x726d63…
10-21 05:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdd8ee1…
10-21 05:47:36	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on October 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbafcf9…
10-21 04:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x26e7c7…
10-21 04:52:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on October 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x01e091…
10-21 02:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x769ddc…
10-21 02:17:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x983b43…
10-21 01:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1996d3…
10-21 01:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x38e23d…
10-21 01:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x64edc5…
10-21 01:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xc2bcdc…
10-21 00:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x068526…
10-21 00:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x5e1010…
10-21 00:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on October 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3eff8c…
10-20 23:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x770519…
10-20 23:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x4864b6…
10-20 23:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xb4de7f…
10-20 21:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x5ff3c4…
10-20 21:29:03	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on October 22?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7bcb26…
10-20 21:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xc57f75…
10-20 21:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x12f6a2…
10-20 21:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x17831e…
10-20 21:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xcc2544…
10-20 21:22:36	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 21?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x12602b…
10-20 19:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	23	72¢	$16	0x461577…
10-20 19:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	23	72¢	$16	0x155b64…
10-20 19:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$7	0x6e180e…
10-20 19:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xec742d…
10-20 19:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xd95571…
10-20 18:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0xe4c5bd…
10-20 18:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc3f5c6…
10-20 18:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb61ea9…
10-20 18:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x8a832d…
10-20 17:59:02	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc114b9…
10-20 17:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x9a3e48…
10-20 17:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6b4c35…
10-20 17:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 22?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xd6d81e…
10-20 15:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa0f162…
10-20 15:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xc8594e…
10-20 15:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9e0f34…