Periodic-Lumber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.87K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$62.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$481

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 06-19 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

61% 38% +$2,710

Crypto

39% 16% -$5,579

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$9.1K	10,986	10,986	+0	No	+$2,534	05-30 20:32
bitcoin above 66k on june 15 2026	3	$7.7K	6,960	6,960	+0	Yes	+$6,192	06-15 16:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	3	$6.9K	11,120	11,120	+0	Yes	-$1,094	06-12 15:00
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	2	$6.4K	11,780	11,780	+0	Yes	-$2,625	06-14 14:36
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	3	$4.7K	4,479	4,479	+0	No	+$3,690	05-25 23:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$4.6K	4,259	4,259	+0	No	+$3,447	05-25 23:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$3.7K	4,955	4,955	+0	Yes	-$327	06-12 15:00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	7	$3.1K	22,633	22,633	+0	Yes	-$2,894	05-25 22:15
bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	7	$2.3K	30,649	0	+30,649	No	-$2,310	06-16 16:15
bitcoin above 62k on june 15 2026	7	$1.5K	13,836	13,836	+0	Yes	-$1,050	06-14 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	6	$1.2K	1,919	1,919	+0	Up	+$236	05-30 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$1.1K	778	778	+0	Up	+$447	05-30 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$1000	1,637	0	+1,637	Down	-$1,000	05-30 21:44
bitcoin above 62k on june 18 2026	3	$909	23,887	0	+23,887	Yes	-$909	06-18 15:50
bitcoin above 60k on june 19 2026	5	$845	9,895	9,789	+105	Yes	-$631	06-19 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$732	515	515	+0	Up	+$232	05-30 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$484	1,834	0	+1,834	Down	-$484	05-30 23:38
bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	2	$450	7,686	0	+7,686	No	-$450	06-18 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$450	903	0	+903	Down	-$450	05-30 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$437	10,836	0	+10,836	Down	-$437	05-30 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$350	1,191	0	+1,191	Down	-$350	05-30 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$350	5,765	0	+5,765	Down	-$350	05-30 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$300	1,846	0	+1,846	Up	-$300	05-30 22:48
bitcoin above 64k on june 19 2026	2	$296	1,372	1,372	+0	No	-$104	06-19 06:07
bitcoin above 60k on june 21 2026	1	$287	3,159	0	+3,159	Yes	-$287	06-19 06:13
bitcoin above 70k on june 20 2026	1	$250	9,863	0	+9,863	No	-$250	06-17 21:58
bitcoin above 68k on june 20 2026	1	$250	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$250	06-17 21:58
bitcoin above 70k on june 25 2026	1	$250	6,880	0	+6,880	No	-$250	06-18 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$250	962	0	+962	Down	-$250	05-30 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$250	8,764	0	+8,764	Down	-$250	05-30 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 06:26:37	bitcoin above 60k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x316be7…
06-19 06:19:44	bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	963	15¢	$144	0xad7729…
06-19 06:18:40	bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	197	13¢	$26	0xd34832…
06-19 06:13:25	bitcoin above 60k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	3,159	9¢	$287	0x460e63…
06-19 06:08:31	bitcoin above 60k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	3,999	5¢	$197	0x0c31a0…
06-19 06:07:59	bitcoin above 64k on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	1,372	7¢	$96	0xe5e454…
06-19 00:37:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 19 2026	No	SELL	9,789	1¢	$107	0xeb228b…
06-18 22:55:08	bitcoin above 64k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1,372	15¢	$200	0xcbbd74…
06-18 22:52:26	bitcoin above 70k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	6,880	4¢	$250	0x29e287…
06-18 18:25:43	bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	3,743	5¢	$200	0xbd73f8…
06-18 17:32:10	bitcoin above 60k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	3,485	7¢	$250	0xd7ad97…
06-18 16:34:05	bitcoin above 60k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	3,020	8¢	$236	0x1c31f7…
06-18 16:28:38	bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	3,943	6¢	$250	0xf8f862…
06-18 16:25:53	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	6,872	3¢	$200	0x23c691…
06-18 16:25:43	bitcoin above 60k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	3,285	8¢	$250	0xacd93c…
06-18 15:50:35	bitcoin above 62k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	15,023	2¢	$250	0x27aafc…
06-18 08:32:52	bitcoin above 70k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5,952	4¢	$250	0x8b92ba…
06-18 05:39:02	bitcoin above 62k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	3,449	5¢	$160	0x228ebe…
06-17 21:59:41	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4,167	6¢	$250	0x16e7b1…
06-17 21:58:59	bitcoin above 70k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	9,863	3¢	$250	0xcb9d13…
06-17 21:58:44	bitcoin above 68k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	5¢	$250	0x6f07c0…
06-17 20:16:46	bitcoin above 62k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	5,415	9¢	$499	0x404941…
06-16 16:15:16	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	2,008	2¢	$32	0xccbed5…
06-16 08:32:48	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	4,325	6¢	$250	0x827b21…
06-16 08:24:10	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	242	5¢	$12	0xbf8060…
06-16 08:24:09	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5,027	5¢	$250	0xd17a02…
06-15 20:31:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 18?	Yes	BUY	6,204	8¢	$500	0xfbf610…
06-15 20:30:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 18?	Yes	BUY	6,898	7¢	$500	0x396868…
06-15 16:02:31	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5,945	13¢	$766	0x0c0911…
06-15 16:00:30	bitcoin above 66k on june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	6,960	100¢	$6,953	0xa0f2fd…
06-14 21:29:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,404	19¢	$261	0x47462c…
06-14 21:29:09	bitcoin above 62k on june 15 2026	No	SELL	13,836	2¢	$209	0xf1c1b3…
06-14 15:05:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?	No	BUY	6,201	8¢	$500	0xfe1fd5…
06-14 14:56:10	bitcoin above 66k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5,556	9¢	$500	0xf5c23e…
06-14 14:52:54	bitcoin above 62k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	2,458	10¢	$250	0x3a7f99…
06-14 14:52:37	bitcoin above 62k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	2,527	10¢	$250	0x25003f…
06-14 14:52:25	bitcoin above 62k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	2,541	10¢	$250	0x3ef86e…
06-14 14:47:43	bitcoin above 62k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xe4e3d2…
06-14 14:44:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?	No	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0x0a681e…
06-14 14:36:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	11,780	16¢	$1,875	0xb38cdb…
06-12 15:02:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	11,780	38¢	$4,500	0x2a4946…
06-12 15:00:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4,955	34¢	$1,673	0x785ead…
06-12 15:00:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	11,120	26¢	$2,906	0x30a3f9…
06-01 11:55:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5,292	38¢	$2,000	0xbddd1c…
05-31 03:26:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,955	40¢	$2,000	0x6b8e5a…
05-31 03:17:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5,829	34¢	$2,000	0x895e28…
05-31 00:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9e5f14…
05-31 00:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xfa5d10…
05-30 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x0ec2b5…
05-30 23:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x557f4a…
05-30 23:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x38ace5…
05-30 23:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x286501…
05-30 23:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x1cce68…
05-30 23:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7dc3ee…
05-30 23:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbb4b70…
05-30 23:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x62d179…
05-30 23:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3cdb67…
05-30 23:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf9bf5c…
05-30 23:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3e9e22…
05-30 23:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x58ff4f…
05-30 23:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x284607…
05-30 23:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	502	50¢	$250	0x440448…
05-30 23:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	880	22¢	$197	0xe2a97c…
05-30 23:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	193	28¢	$53	0x0ff8e9…
05-30 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	756	31¢	$232	0x3718e4…
05-30 23:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3fc957…
05-30 23:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1,497	41¢	$618	0xecc17f…
05-30 23:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	422	28¢	$118	0xa65ee6…
05-30 23:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	686	25¢	$173	0x3cbc90…
05-30 23:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	263	29¢	$77	0x94e29c…
05-30 23:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	744	25¢	$184	0x89bb63…
05-30 23:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	225	29¢	$66	0x3572b0…
05-30 23:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	124	30¢	$37	0xd0d2f9…
05-30 23:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	838	25¢	$213	0x510241…
05-30 23:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xa15afb…
05-30 23:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	902	27¢	$247	0x2f98fa…
05-30 23:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	496	20¢	$100	0xe915bb…
05-30 23:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	84	40¢	$33	0xa3e206…
05-30 23:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	612	35¢	$217	0x296deb…
05-30 23:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,374	10¢	$133	0x97270a…
05-30 23:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3,425	1¢	$34	0x934beb…
05-30 23:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3,965	2¢	$82	0x46730f…
05-30 23:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2,793	2¢	$50	0x31cb2a…
05-30 22:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	515	94¢	$482	0x7e403a…
05-30 22:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	515	49¢	$250	0xb05805…
05-30 22:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	389	64¢	$250	0x4ca8e5…
05-30 22:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	617	8¢	$50	0xc2632f…
05-30 22:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,229	20¢	$250	0x9b5708…
05-30 22:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8,964	1¢	$90	0xc89408…
05-30 22:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,036	1¢	$10	0x46d5dc…
05-30 22:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3,507	1¢	$50	0xe86187…
05-30 22:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	758	7¢	$50	0x3718aa…
05-30 22:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	780	19¢	$149	0x8129e6…
05-30 22:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	721	14¢	$101	0x7aca4d…
05-30 22:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0xc0780c…
05-30 22:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	228	38¢	$87	0xda4227…
05-30 22:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	609	41¢	$250	0x9fe90a…
05-30 22:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	778	99¢	$770	0xa6eb6f…
05-30 22:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	602	42¢	$250	0x73a30d…
05-30 22:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	175	41¢	$73	0x05cc6e…