Frightened-Cyst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$126

Unrealized P&L

-$41

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$406

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$59

1 position

First seen

2026-05-01

last 06-15 03:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Sports

37% 0% $-2

Politics

16% 100% +$128

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+625	$100	10¢	$59	$-41	05-28 01:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$100	625	0	+625	open	—	05-28 01:14
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	6	$97	148	0	+148	open	—	06-15 03:04
crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 11	2	$61	140	0	+140	open	—	06-11 11:29
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	1	$50	178	0	+178	Yes	+$128	05-04 11:00
ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 hokit win by ko tko	2	$37	62	0	+62	open	—	06-15 01:22
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	05-15 08:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$11	129	37	+93	open	—	05-17 18:23
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-12 08:28
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 pereira win by ko tko	1	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	06-15 03:05
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 23:08
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$2	7	0	+7	Knicks	$-2	05-05 00:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-07 02:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-07 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 03:05:42	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 pereira win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x40d868…
06-15 03:04:45	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0x4ef797…
06-15 01:22:24	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 hokit win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x6d9ba2…
06-15 01:21:48	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 hokit win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x32f360…
06-11 11:29:57	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 11	Australia	BUY	90	44¢	$40	0xb0be01…
06-11 11:28:22	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 11	Australia	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x870c7c…
06-10 07:38:33	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc7fc79…
06-10 07:09:34	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	37	66¢	$25	0x84a4b0…
06-10 00:03:58	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xeed701…
06-09 23:00:13	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x287230…
06-09 22:56:19	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd61792…
05-28 01:14:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x991d5c…
05-17 18:23:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xcb9f4c…
05-16 09:18:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x72a93c…
05-15 14:08:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x49af5d…
05-15 08:44:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x8cd303…
05-12 08:28:48	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xcdb342…
05-12 01:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x741a5e…
05-07 07:13:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x824282…
05-07 02:42:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x870867…
05-05 00:16:42	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2c7e83…
05-04 11:00:44	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	178	28¢	$50	0x1cc23c…
05-01 23:08:20	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x626631…