Miserable-Conviction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$302

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

2,718

Trades

5,946

lifetime

Volume

$34.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 68% +$306

Other

3% 69% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:00 UTC	5	$182	97	97	+0	Up	+$10	08-02 06:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 23:45 UTC	6	$174	103	102	+1	Down	+$13	01-10 00:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:30 UTC	6	$170	114	88	+25	Down	+$21	01-25 11:42
bnb up or down august 2 2026 1am et	3	$152	87	87	+0	Down	+$20	08-02 06:00
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 08:35 UTC	9	$125	80	80	+0	Down	+$33	08-02 08:39
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:40 UTC	2	$125	73	73	+0	Up	+$21	08-02 03:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:50 UTC	2	$119	68	68	+0	Up	+$11	08-02 05:54
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 05:00 UTC	6	$117	110	109	+2	Down	+$4	01-27 05:10
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:45 UTC	3	$104	55	55	+0	Up	+$6	08-02 05:50
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 03:00 UTC	2	$103	64	64	+0	Down	+$9	08-02 03:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:15 UTC	2	$102	71	71	+0	Down	-$6	08-02 03:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 04:00 UTC	3	$101	74	73	+1	Up	+$42	01-27 04:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 18:30 UTC	4	$99	56	55	+0	Down	+$7	01-25 18:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 06:00 UTC	7	$98	114	57	+57	Down	+$35	01-26 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:35 UTC	2	$98	72	72	+0	Up	+$11	08-02 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:40 UTC	2	$97	55	55	+0	Down	+$7	08-02 05:44
bitcoin up or down january 11 7pm et	2	$97	52	52	+0	Up	+$6	01-12 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 00:00 UTC	2	$97	66	65	+1	Down	+$31	01-10 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 06:45 UTC	6	$95	144	113	+31	Up	+$17	01-27 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:50 UTC	4	$93	65	65	+0	Up	+$15	08-02 02:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:10 UTC	6	$91	52	52	+0	Down	+$13	08-02 06:15
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$91	51	51	+0	Down	+$11	08-02 08:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 05:15 UTC	4	$90	62	40	+22	Down	+$6	01-25 05:28
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:35 UTC	4	$87	70	70	+0	Up	+$10	08-02 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 09:55 UTC	2	$87	59	59	+0	Down	+$13	08-02 09:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 05:15 UTC	2	$87	54	54	+0	Up	+$21	08-02 05:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 13:00 UTC	3	$85	88	70	+18	Up	+$62	01-26 13:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 08:45 UTC	2	$84	65	65	+0	Down	+$42	08-02 08:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 03:45 UTC	3	$83	76	42	+34	Up	-$18	01-26 03:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:15 UTC	5	$82	72	46	+25	Down	+$20	01-28 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 12:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x71a2ad…
10-24 12:12:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x532df0…
10-24 12:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x79d021…
10-24 12:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x7dc365…
10-24 12:04:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xec3e6a…
10-24 12:04:18	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$7	0xe23cf8…
10-24 12:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xe32981…
10-24 12:02:00	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x7f4d81…
10-24 12:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xefe764…
10-24 11:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x921355…
10-24 11:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x84b06c…
10-24 11:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x3f717b…
10-24 11:56:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x616c2c…
10-24 11:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x5625ad…
10-24 11:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xe9c8ad…
10-24 11:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x8f6e9a…
10-24 11:53:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x12d3a8…
10-24 11:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd120f7…
10-24 11:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x49eac2…
10-24 11:42:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x666d8c…
10-24 11:39:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x4eb11e…
10-24 11:36:38	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe9bf2e…
10-24 11:34:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6ad318…
10-24 11:34:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3a41fe…
10-24 11:33:06	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc77a9e…
10-24 11:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x09f174…
10-24 11:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x92b473…
10-24 11:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xd5992e…
10-24 11:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x93ce9c…
10-24 11:24:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x97805d…
10-24 11:23:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4d0d53…
10-24 11:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb621d7…
10-24 11:22:35	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x49a92d…
10-24 11:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7618e9…
10-24 11:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x1e4718…
10-24 11:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xa3fc17…
10-24 11:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xd0f6ad…
10-24 11:04:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc131fb…
10-24 11:02:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x306c80…
10-24 09:10:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x3fbbfd…
10-24 09:09:29	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x213302…
10-24 09:09:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x499130…
10-24 09:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x423bd4…
10-24 09:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8b6fbc…
10-24 08:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x022eef…
10-24 08:58:50	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xf8501b…
10-24 08:57:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8421ac…
10-24 08:54:05	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf8cafa…
10-24 08:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x476a38…
10-24 08:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x675e65…
10-24 08:42:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5250da…
10-24 08:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x023880…
10-24 08:39:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x738892…
10-24 08:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xf9eb39…
10-24 08:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd68a5e…
10-24 08:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5ec30f…
09-25 20:40:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xce0407…
09-25 20:36:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1dde64…
09-25 20:34:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x52fd8f…
09-25 20:33:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5d93cd…
09-25 20:32:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x309ec6…
09-25 20:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x372a99…
09-25 20:28:50	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2e8265…
09-25 20:28:38	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x65629f…
09-25 20:24:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf3327b…
09-25 20:23:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x81347d…
09-25 20:21:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3fca1b…
09-25 20:16:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb9eaee…
09-25 20:11:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5ad201…
09-25 20:09:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbc4e68…
09-25 19:55:56	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xcf3d68…
09-25 19:52:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x518d23…
09-25 07:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xb05429…
09-25 07:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:35 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6bcac2…
09-25 07:35:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xfa7e1d…
09-25 07:32:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x5b525a…
09-25 07:31:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x14b38b…
09-25 07:29:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb40375…
09-25 07:28:09	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x0ecce4…
09-25 07:27:05	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3f2a69…
09-25 07:25:56	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2fee85…
09-25 07:24:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5c70fc…
09-25 07:22:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x6334f5…
08-25 08:11:07	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xcae856…
08-25 08:02:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe0511c…
08-25 07:56:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x64b6f2…
08-19 06:39:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4efbe6…
08-19 06:34:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9e06fc…
08-19 06:24:54	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb1e4b2…
08-19 06:24:54	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x64bb34…
08-19 06:24:54	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x201f76…
08-19 06:24:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd54b2d…
08-19 06:24:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xca71ac…
08-19 06:24:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6203de…
08-19 06:24:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x575694…
08-19 06:24:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x434519…
08-19 06:24:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3b6406…
08-19 06:24:24	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xa5bd2b…
08-19 06:14:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x8174c8…
08-19 06:13:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x0c5370…