Substantial-Grouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$567

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

644

Trades

1,539

lifetime

Volume

$25.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 10-28 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 61% -$554

Sports

1% 25% -$12

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$531	356	356	+0	Up	+$131	10-12 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	11	$494	909	756	+152	Up	-$106	10-12 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	6	$491	5,289	289	+5,000	Down	+$35	10-09 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$454	179	357	-179	Up	+$75	10-12 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:00 UTC	4	$414	228	228	+0	Up	+$14	06-11 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:55 UTC	4	$384	333	333	+0	Down	-$16	06-11 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$330	457	457	+0	Up	+$80	10-12 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	26	$327	406	244	+163	Up	-$73	10-12 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	7	$308	295	141	+154	Up	-$92	10-12 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	9	$289	220	220	+0	Up	+$39	10-12 03:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:20 UTC	20	$264	280	280	+0	Down	+$14	06-11 00:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:40 UTC	2	$247	205	204	+0	Up	+$47	06-10 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:35 UTC	12	$246	182	182	+0	Up	+$53	06-10 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$245	152	152	+0	Up	+$45	10-12 03:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:50 UTC	4	$226	161	161	+0	Up	-$24	06-10 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$224	362	362	+0	Up	-$76	10-09 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$222	123	123	+0	Down	+$22	10-12 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:20 UTC	2	$221	122	122	+0	Down	+$21	06-11 01:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:25 UTC	18	$220	212	192	+19	Up	+$10	06-11 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 01:00 UTC	6	$199	161	161	+0	Up	-$1	06-23 01:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:30 UTC	2	$182	159	151	+8	Up	+$81	04-06 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:15 UTC	11	$169	134	134	+0	Up	+$19	06-11 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 23:45 UTC	7	$163	107	107	+0	Up	-$7	06-21 23:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 03:25 UTC	2	$154	272	272	+0	Up	-$146	07-22 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	10	$150	263	113	+150	Down	-$46	10-09 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 01:05 UTC	5	$135	97	97	+0	Up	-$15	06-23 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 02:50 UTC	3	$132	72	67	+4	Down	+$1	04-06 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:35 UTC	6	$129	128	128	+0	Down	+$19	06-11 00:39
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:10 UTC	8	$128	92	92	+0	Up	+$28	07-01 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 14:05 UTC	7	$126	95	95	+0	Down	+$6	06-21 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:47:40	Will PAOK win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x021e11…
10-12 13:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0x9de069…
10-12 13:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x5e68bf…
10-12 13:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x188fb4…
10-12 13:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	163	62¢	$100	0x586f3b…
10-12 13:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xdf6b4f…
10-12 13:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x558ee4…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xe79358…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xd03e55…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xbfba71…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	52¢	$11	0x99edc6…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x983aa7…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x97d10d…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x878a62…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x81c50c…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x80f1b8…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0x6e9f07…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x566f3a…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x32b28f…
10-12 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0x1ffe5f…
10-12 13:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	36	52¢	$19	0xf7aac8…
10-12 13:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xf0f1f8…
10-12 13:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xc9d5e0…
10-12 13:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	42	52¢	$22	0xb0baa8…
10-12 13:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x971a6f…
10-12 13:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x1d7917…
10-12 13:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x06df35…
10-12 13:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xf12f17…
10-12 13:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xeb15d4…
10-12 13:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x0e751a…
10-12 13:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xf08969…
10-12 13:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0xe6769e…
10-12 13:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xd2cbbd…
10-12 13:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xbbec5f…
10-12 13:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x6577e4…
10-12 13:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x406549…
10-12 13:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x1ec05c…
10-12 13:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xe3c9ee…
10-12 13:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x948272…
10-12 13:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	400	37¢	$149	0x1be336…
10-12 13:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x5014b3…
10-12 13:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x8b476d…
10-12 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	60	43¢	$26	0x8bf433…
10-12 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	60	43¢	$26	0x468e3a…
10-12 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x3cdc94…
10-12 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	46	43¢	$20	0x38216f…
10-12 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	60	43¢	$26	0x320d1d…
10-12 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x093fb9…
10-12 13:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x90b919…
10-12 13:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	229	6¢	$14	0xa63161…
10-12 13:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	271	26¢	$70	0x2d2b5e…
10-12 13:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x4106b9…
10-12 13:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xe29f6e…
10-12 13:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x829f3f…
10-12 13:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	356	93¢	$331	0xc0a4be…
10-12 13:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x23adfe…
10-12 13:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xd2d294…
10-12 13:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xcfdf6a…
10-12 12:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0xe5c57b…
10-12 12:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xcfa043…
10-12 12:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	179	99¢	$177	0xac404a…
10-12 12:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x8d0d40…
10-12 12:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x617a58…
10-12 03:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	36	98¢	$36	0xced8a8…
10-12 03:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x3452b4…
10-12 03:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x1f1365…
10-12 03:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xc36c24…
10-12 03:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x24ab16…
10-12 03:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xcbad53…
10-12 03:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	49	70¢	$34	0x2db1b7…
10-12 03:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x77058f…
10-12 03:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	85	70¢	$59	0x5618ed…
10-12 03:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x8e1521…
10-12 03:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x6c7eb9…
10-12 03:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x973cec…
10-12 03:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x59036d…
10-12 03:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	49	58¢	$28	0x66f8e8…
10-12 03:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xaa613a…
10-12 03:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	152	95¢	$145	0x0d03b8…
10-12 03:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x934d9a…
10-09 03:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x24ec58…
10-09 03:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xbe2eaa…
10-09 03:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0xe66d9c…
10-09 03:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0xc9cc09…
10-09 03:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x4746f4…
10-09 03:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x352b29…
10-09 03:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x0c63aa…
10-09 03:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	60	46¢	$28	0x74bf48…
10-09 03:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x582ccf…
10-09 03:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	113	43¢	$48	0xb1ee39…
10-09 03:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x4a74db…
10-09 03:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0xe24956…
10-09 03:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xdac2ca…
10-09 03:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xc504e2…
10-09 03:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0xbda8f0…
10-09 03:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0xb54ef1…
10-09 03:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x58c09d…
10-09 03:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x51be55…
10-09 03:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x441b15…
10-09 03:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0x30f178…