New-Trader — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$131

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-03 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

75% 62% +$20

Other

21% 50% -$6

Sports

4% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	07-03 15:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+11	$2	4¢	$0	-$2	04-30 00:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+12	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-07 03:22
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	+9	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	04-30 00:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	04-27 23:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	04-30 00:25
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$11	37	37	+0	No	-$9	03-27 03:09
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	04-29 20:49
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	04-29 20:49
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$7	14	14	+0	Yes	-$3	03-25 20:34
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$0	04-20 05:59
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	04-29 20:49
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$5	11	0	+11	Yes	-$5	03-20 21:46
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$5	14	0	+14	Yes	-$5	03-10 15:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	19	0	+19	No	+$14	04-19 01:47
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	1	$5	9	0	+9	Seahawks	+$4	01-25 23:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$2	05-07 03:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$4	7	0	+7	No	+$3	04-20 06:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	04-23 15:00
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	+$2	01-29 23:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	04-02 18:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	04-23 15:00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	05-05 02:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 00:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	04-22 01:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	07-03 15:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	+$4	04-20 06:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	2	$2	27	27	+0	No	$0	04-20 05:58
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	05-02 03:05
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-07 14:40
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	05-11 02:02
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	1	$1	12	0	+12	No	-$1	04-28 02:00
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	04-07 21:14
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	04-30 00:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 15:13:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbb54ff…
05-11 02:02:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6f7e68…
05-07 14:40:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0ac420…
05-07 03:22:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe9cb6b…
05-07 03:21:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf90ef6…
05-07 03:20:38	Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x02d677…
05-05 02:12:50	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x3b8804…
05-02 03:05:18	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x801bc0…
04-30 00:36:04	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb1d390…
04-30 00:30:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa4988f…
04-30 00:25:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8fec89…
04-29 20:49:44	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8fae57…
04-29 20:49:40	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x2fdbe9…
04-29 20:49:36	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x60a19d…
04-28 02:00:34	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x43b826…
04-27 23:21:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xeeb84c…
04-27 14:27:36	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xfb8b52…
04-25 01:25:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7be81c…
04-23 15:10:48	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe6c040…
04-23 15:09:08	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x29c861…
04-23 15:00:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xcbf797…
04-23 15:00:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xbef742…
04-23 15:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0fb169…
04-22 01:44:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8d6174…
04-20 06:13:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xaae695…
04-20 06:12:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf498d5…
04-20 06:12:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x6dc236…
04-20 05:59:02	Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	No	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xbb4af0…
04-20 05:58:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x0c2cb2…
04-19 01:47:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x742d8e…
04-07 21:14:05	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdcb301…
04-02 18:33:53	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xc208f9…
04-02 18:30:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4c9ac3…
03-27 03:09:41	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x77ef50…
03-25 20:34:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	14	18¢	$2	0x2a8bfb…
03-21 02:24:35	Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xe13f6a…
03-20 21:46:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x033c33…
03-20 21:25:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8d748f…
03-10 15:44:11	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x643a17…
03-10 03:33:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb7c67b…
03-10 02:59:53	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xb82b7e…
01-29 23:06:24	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xcaf954…
01-25 23:33:06	nfl la sea 2026 01 25	Seahawks	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x69be79…