Polite-Afterthought — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

51 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$12.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$238

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-30 23:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 43% +$30

Politics

49% 17% -$2,037

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$4.9K	5,484	2,359	+3,125	Yes	-$1,864	04-01 02:03
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 9pm et	2	$3.6K	2,064	2,026	+38	Down	+$527	04-01 02:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$868	1,014	1,014	+0	Yes	-$16	04-01 01:02
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 7pm et	2	$582	304	302	+2	Up	+$24	04-01 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	4	$519	540	540	+0	Up	-$378	05-30 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	2	$461	270	270	+0	Down	+$78	05-27 16:08
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 2pm et	2	$391	224	220	+4	Down	+$54	04-07 19:00
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 8pm et	2	$316	330	0	+330	Up	-$316	04-01 00:56
bitcoin up or down on april 7 2026	2	$282	175	171	+5	Down	+$64	04-07 16:22
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	5	$130	130,000	0	+130,000	Yes	-$130	04-08 04:18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	3	$48	105	105	+0	Yes	+$6	03-13 04:50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$48	134	134	+0	Yes	-$2	03-20 05:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	2	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-30 23:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$30	7,000	0	+7,000	Yes	-$30	04-08 07:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 07:30 UTC	1	$10	18	0	+18	Down	-$10	04-10 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:30 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	03-12 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	10-29 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:45 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	03-12 06:46
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 3am et	4	$4	72	67	+4	Up	-$4	04-06 07:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	-$3	04-04 17:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 16:45 UTC	2	$1	7	6	+0	Down	-$1	04-04 16:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x624918…
05-30 23:01:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x949021…
05-30 22:40:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xa03c7b…
05-30 15:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Down	SELL	540	13¢	$70	0x8ea6e0…
05-30 12:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Down	BUY	497	83¢	$413	0x271561…
05-30 12:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Down	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xa293b2…
05-30 12:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x2529f4…
05-27 16:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	270	100¢	$270	0x4cba35…
05-26 23:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	270	71¢	$192	0x9e7910…
04-10 07:30:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x2219eb…
04-08 07:36:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xe6c305…
04-08 07:29:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xac37e8…
04-08 05:06:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xcd70d4…
04-08 04:18:01	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0x654dcd…
04-08 04:17:17	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0xbfc7c4…
04-08 04:16:15	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0x56023f…
04-08 04:15:27	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0x7e66af…
04-08 04:04:53	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe32c29…
04-07 19:00:43	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x3f8f25…
04-07 18:24:31	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	224	76¢	$171	0xe7745c…
04-07 16:22:31	bitcoin up or down on april 7 2026	Down	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0xc4fe08…
04-06 17:46:43	bitcoin up or down on april 7 2026	Down	BUY	175	64¢	$111	0xef70cd…
04-06 07:57:49	bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x76e5d9…
04-06 07:53:35	bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2b2f1b…
04-06 07:52:01	bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x31704f…
04-06 07:50:39	bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xad82f5…
04-04 17:04:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$3	0xd22d14…
04-04 16:56:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xfd1f9f…
04-04 16:49:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x833833…
04-01 02:03:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3,125	64¢	$2,000	0xc35038…
04-01 02:01:03	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 9pm et	Down	SELL	2,026	100¢	$2,024	0x374968…
04-01 01:06:47	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	2,064	74¢	$1,535	0x8cbcc3…
04-01 01:02:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1,014	42¢	$426	0xb56900…
04-01 01:02:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	1,779	62¢	$1,109	0x292333…
04-01 00:56:35	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x8a617c…
04-01 00:43:19	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	311	97¢	$302	0xb22235…
04-01 00:06:45	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	302	100¢	$302	0xd8ae83…
03-31 23:44:09	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	304	92¢	$280	0x675081…
03-28 02:32:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	139	41¢	$57	0xdccaed…
03-26 03:29:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1,403	53¢	$744	0x5c8f9f…
03-24 12:33:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	376	57¢	$214	0x8c76fe…
03-21 05:23:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	875	44¢	$385	0x5dd3e2…
03-21 05:22:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	580	66¢	$385	0x639871…
03-20 05:23:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	580	69¢	$400	0xe30ee4…
03-20 05:20:11	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	134	17¢	$23	0x9e2e75…
03-13 05:37:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	134	19¢	$25	0x639179…
03-13 04:50:59	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	105	26¢	$27	0xfc62d3…
03-12 06:46:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x42cb2d…
03-12 06:36:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x439f22…
03-12 06:32:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7a8bee…
03-12 04:14:05	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x8f0bbf…
03-11 16:44:33	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	49	23¢	$11	0xbf2da9…