Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$249

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

179

Trades

569

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$87

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-01

last 10-20 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 26% -$49

Other

27% 18% -$195

Politics

6% 20% -$11

Sports

1% 50% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+113	$40	34¢	$38	-$2	10-09 13:36
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+63	$17	36¢	$22	+$5	10-08 15:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+44	$16	28¢	$12	-$4	10-08 15:20
Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+372	$13	2¢	$7	-$6	10-10 11:09
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+200	$10	4¢	$7	-$3	10-10 11:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	12	$100	469	167	+301	Vitality	+$26	10-04 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	12	$99	155	155	+0	Up	+$60	10-01 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$75	70	70	+0	Up	+$61	10-01 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$43	83	83	+0	Down	+$23	10-01 14:59
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$40	113	0	+113	open	—	10-09 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	6	$38	161	70	+91	Down	-$6	10-01 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$37	50	50	+0	Down	+$23	10-01 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	6	$36	26	26	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 15:43
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	9	$34	135	48	+88	1WIN	+$3	10-04 16:49
Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	6	$32	96	28	+68	Up	+$12	10-01 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	10	$32	295	38	+257	Down	-$14	10-01 16:37
Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	6	$29	146	30	+116	Up	+$9	10-05 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	5	$29	42	42	+0	Up	+$9	10-01 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$29	46	29	+17	Down	+$11	10-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$29	22	22	+0	Down	+$15	10-01 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	5	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$8	10-01 15:52
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	4	$24	32	32	+0	No	-$8	10-04 20:26
Counter-Strike: B8 vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	3	$22	33	15	+18	fnatic	+$8	10-02 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$22	17	17	+0	Down	+$8	10-01 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$7	10-01 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$21	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	10-01 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$20	14	14	+0	Down	+$6	10-05 11:33
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	-$20	10-09 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	4	$20	52	0	+52	Up	+$32	10-08 11:19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	11	$20	828	38	+790	MOUZ	-$16	10-04 15:57
cs2 ts7 prv 2026 10 04	9	$19	72	29	+43	Spirit	-$5	10-04 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	4	$19	169	169	+0	Up	-$9	10-01 19:00
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	8	$19	1,033	0	+1,033	Vitality	-$19	10-10 16:43
Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$19	87	12	+75	Down	+$1	10-05 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$18	16	16	+0	Up	+$10	10-15 11:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 19:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x10ba4d…
10-20 19:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x9aa764…
10-15 16:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x658921…
10-15 16:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x274d6c…
10-15 16:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x663105…
10-15 16:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf385b2…
10-15 16:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x22fe73…
10-15 16:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x97d319…
10-15 16:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6059d6…
10-15 16:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3fbac2…
10-15 15:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2e342f…
10-15 13:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x59dfce…
10-15 13:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x02dc02…
10-15 12:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x272226…
10-15 11:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0b1d30…
10-15 11:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0xb3d34d…
10-15 11:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x68f980…
10-15 11:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3f078e…
10-15 11:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8299d1…
10-11 13:16:39	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x9593f3…
10-10 16:43:57	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x2213e9…
10-10 16:38:51	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbf4494…
10-10 16:37:43	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xacf741…
10-10 16:33:09	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x9e294d…
10-10 16:32:34	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0xe3aded…
10-10 16:32:28	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa25312…
10-10 16:27:46	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x5e68fb…
10-10 16:24:48	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xe02741…
10-10 11:10:19	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfc0336…
10-10 11:09:28	Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0x0246e1…
10-09 17:53:26	Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x3f7814…
10-09 17:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x9d496d…
10-09 17:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9800c7…
10-09 16:31:43	Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x94d38c…
10-09 16:03:44	cs2 furia mouz 2026 10 09	FURIA	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x7c466c…
10-09 16:01:29	cs2 furia mouz 2026 10 09	FURIA	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0xf5cd9c…
10-09 13:36:13	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x51e0b4…
10-09 13:35:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x430f89…
10-09 13:34:12	Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x60b9ed…
10-09 13:13:58	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xe72edb…
10-09 13:12:09	cs2 vit prv 2026 10 09	PARIVISION	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x0acbf3…
10-09 13:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x487030…
10-09 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xd8e422…
10-09 13:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x19095f…
10-09 13:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x550535…
10-09 12:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2070fc…
10-09 12:57:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7a12d9…
10-09 12:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa4f40e…
10-09 12:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe229d3…
10-09 12:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x64f0a1…
10-09 12:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeb3473…
10-09 12:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x9f1b9b…
10-09 12:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbf0c6e…
10-09 12:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9b850f…
10-09 12:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x261a6b…
10-09 12:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x80db6f…
10-09 12:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xaf03e4…
10-09 12:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa5a807…
10-09 12:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xed0fd1…
10-09 12:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x40a493…
10-09 12:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x837a03…
10-09 12:25:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaa55ed…
10-09 12:21:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x882293…
10-09 12:00:22	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x4e0f41…
10-09 11:08:10	will jd vance say illegal alien during his midterm rally in ohio october 9 vance	No	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0xf5206c…
10-09 10:48:12	cs2 hotu ace1 2026 10 09	Acend	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x0e3d83…
10-09 10:46:30	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Acend (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Acend	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x82b8b4…
10-09 10:42:18	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Acend (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Acend	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x8aeea5…
10-09 10:29:40	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc5866a…
10-09 10:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x379ee5…
10-09 10:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7af493…
10-09 10:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x1c76cf…
10-09 10:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xce64db…
10-09 10:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x32fd63…
10-09 10:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x913c06…
10-09 10:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x7e4a4f…
10-09 10:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x84af0a…
10-09 10:10:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x4f5c13…
10-09 10:07:58	cs2 1win aur1 2026 10 09	1WIN	BUY	330	1¢	$4	0xb95bc4…
10-09 10:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x88bcfe…
10-09 10:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xf86eb2…
10-09 10:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x04946f…
10-09 10:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe037af…
10-09 10:02:18	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x5cbc33…
10-09 10:01:15	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	176	3¢	$5	0x3caeb1…
10-09 10:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9811e7…
10-09 09:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x72e706…
10-09 09:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x17c6a0…
10-09 09:57:16	cs2 hotu ace1 2026 10 09	Acend	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0x415389…
10-09 09:54:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7b8215…
10-09 09:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xb5d6c1…
10-09 09:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x522e6f…
10-09 09:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfc0bdb…
10-09 09:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x1caf60…
10-09 09:50:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Acend (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Acend	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0xfbc92b…
10-09 09:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x1b34f4…
10-09 09:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4c9522…
10-09 09:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xd0e063…
10-09 09:41:10	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Acend (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Acend	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x56d173…
10-09 09:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x30f739…