Chilly-Clank — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

389

Trades

4,262

lifetime

Volume

$40.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-02 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% +$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 438 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$970	96,996	0	+96,996	open	—	06-02 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	3	$737	546	546	+0	Up	+$137	05-12 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	7	$438	820	760	+60	open	—	04-30 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	5	$360	645	0	+645	open	—	05-04 00:42
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$249	182	182	+0	open	—	04-30 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	6	$220	819	0	+819	open	—	04-30 17:27
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	14	$144	120	120	+0	Down	+$84	05-11 12:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	5	$117	125	60	+65	Down	+$62	05-11 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$100	179	0	+179	open	—	05-04 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$100	278	0	+278	Up	$-100	05-05 06:45
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$100	160	0	+160	open	—	05-04 00:34
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	3	$99	159	159	+0	open	—	04-30 07:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$97	79	79	+0	Down	+$37	05-09 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$93	68	68	+0	open	—	04-30 08:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	8	$90	83	83	+0	Down	+$50	05-10 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$89	62	62	+0	Down	+$29	05-11 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	9	$89	62	62	+0	Down	+$29	05-09 18:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	6	$89	70	70	+0	Down	+$29	05-11 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	5	$88	61	61	+0	Down	+$28	05-10 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$87	60	60	+0	Up	+$27	05-09 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$85	77	77	+0	Down	+$45	05-09 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$81	169	0	+169	Down	$-81	05-05 06:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$81	71	71	+0	Up	+$41	05-10 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	8	$79	69	69	+0	Down	+$39	05-10 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$75	65	65	+0	Up	+$35	05-10 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$71	61	61	+0	Down	+$31	05-13 02:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	7	$71	59	59	+0	Up	+$31	05-13 03:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$70	65	60	+5	open	—	05-22 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$69	58	58	+0	Down	+$29	05-12 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	5	$68	57	57	+0	Down	+$28	05-12 22:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 20:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7a0b15…
06-02 20:01:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96,996	1¢	$970	0xb23eb8…
06-02 09:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd6b606…
06-02 09:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc09fa8…
06-02 09:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd5d055…
06-02 09:08:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x15fa3c…
06-02 08:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf65e99…
06-02 08:58:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc8d667…
06-02 08:54:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6fda55…
06-02 08:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x776a2d…
06-02 08:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x7e0ed6…
06-02 08:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x03c945…
06-02 08:43:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc57462…
06-02 08:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x98cdbe…
06-02 08:33:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8f3774…
06-02 08:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe548fe…
06-02 08:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xaaee1d…
06-02 08:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x971720…
06-02 08:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6a0e0b…
06-02 08:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x97406c…
06-02 08:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x22b5cc…
06-02 07:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x6bc2f0…
06-02 07:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7d18b1…
05-29 15:38:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa90009…
05-29 15:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa74378…
05-29 14:43:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x51b6d3…
05-29 14:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd5428d…
05-29 14:23:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x68a58f…
05-29 14:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x38a19f…
05-29 14:03:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb62c42…
05-29 13:49:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xacb306…
05-29 13:43:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf0d763…
05-29 12:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf92dee…
05-29 11:48:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd3d114…
05-29 11:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd912d3…
05-29 11:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x571b78…
05-29 11:33:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe571c4…
05-29 11:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc072ae…
05-29 11:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x3e37e8…
05-29 11:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfe1771…
05-29 11:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x03fb60…
05-29 11:08:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x828f6c…
05-29 11:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0f8136…
05-29 11:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6f8461…
05-29 11:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x942b16…
05-29 10:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe2f7ea…
05-29 10:58:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x02f3ad…
05-29 10:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x93ffd9…
05-29 10:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4c1e09…
05-29 10:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x813d7f…
05-29 10:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd61cf4…
05-29 10:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x875c5d…
05-29 10:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x46f047…
05-29 10:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xaf4daa…
05-29 10:08:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x908b5c…
05-29 10:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4ed778…
05-29 09:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x46786e…
05-29 09:43:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x867eb4…
05-29 09:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x16ecf1…
05-29 09:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x254bf7…
05-29 09:38:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc0a50c…
05-29 09:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0ce97e…
05-29 09:28:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x431cd4…
05-29 09:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x52a590…
05-29 09:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4eb1ec…
05-29 08:58:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x37da34…
05-29 08:54:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1b5711…
05-29 08:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf3c448…
05-29 08:48:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x865521…
05-29 08:43:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbd68c3…
05-29 08:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x702cf1…
05-29 08:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbb6fc6…
05-29 08:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2daf96…
05-29 08:33:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc75355…
05-29 08:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe094b9…
05-29 08:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xccc624…
05-29 08:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7ca800…
05-29 08:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2f2150…
05-29 08:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xb0fe56…
05-29 08:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5aa3d7…
05-29 08:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd5e415…
05-29 08:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2de0b7…
05-29 07:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc2e212…
05-29 07:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5f5153…
05-29 07:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2d0531…
05-29 07:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x97e6b9…
05-29 07:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1c06ba…
05-29 07:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd5e25f…
05-29 07:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfb6f36…
05-29 07:13:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x212670…
05-29 07:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xaa49d8…
05-29 07:08:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xae3374…
05-29 07:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3e5840…
05-29 07:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x31caac…
05-29 06:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xb25871…
05-29 06:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8193b3…
05-29 06:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2db2d3…
05-29 06:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8fdd29…
05-29 06:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x28ff91…
05-29 06:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7efb15…