Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$651

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

1,420

Trades

6,712

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-09

last 10-30 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 49% -$563

Other

38% 51% -$31

Sports

0% 0% -$58

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 239 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+46	$6	12¢	$5	-$1	10-18 18:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$483	4,407	4,340	+67	No	+$77	10-26 20:58
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	38	$247	186	181	+5	Norway	-$4	07-05 22:01
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	39	$215	150	98	+53	Spain	+$5	07-02 18:11
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?	16	$197	110	110	-0	No	-$1	07-05 14:08
lol g2 tes 2026 07 04 game4	44	$188	215	85	+130	G2 Esports	-$18	07-03 12:57
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team total away 2pt5	2	$167	86	86	+0	Under	$0	07-02 15:55
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?	18	$149	85	85	+0	No	-$1	07-05 14:10
Will GAIS win on 2026-07-06?	19	$146	123	123	+0	No	-$1	07-06 14:49
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	20	$144	124	114	+10	Yes	+$3	07-05 14:36
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	32	$131	126	120	+6	England	-$4	07-05 17:35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	2	$118	227	227	+0	No	+$18	10-20 20:18
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	20	$118	119	119	+0	Yes	-$1	07-05 14:10
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?	13	$117	63	63	+0	No	-$1	07-05 14:10
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?	11	$116	67	67	+0	No	-$1	07-05 14:35
lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02 game3	23	$109	115	0	+115	Hanwha Life Esports	+$6	07-03 05:13
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	33	$107	165	0	+165	Under	+$38	07-02 22:20
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 8pt5	15	$104	91	91	-0	Over	+$1	07-05 14:35
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?	11	$89	50	46	+4	No	$0	07-05 17:55
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 England?	10	$87	45	45	+0	No	$0	07-05 14:35
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	7	$86	94	86	+9	Spain	-$1	07-02 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:05 UTC	14	$75	67	67	+0	Down	+$34	07-12 09:09
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	10	$71	65	65	+0	No	-$1	07-05 14:10
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	19	$69	95	0	+95	Portugal	+$26	07-02 22:20
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	45	$68	215	10	+205	No	-$64	07-03 03:35
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	6	$68	38	38	-0	No	$0	07-05 14:35
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?	6	$65	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-05 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:30 UTC	70	$65	431	0	+431	Down	-$51	07-07 08:34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	4	$63	113	113	+0	No	+$19	10-20 20:42
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	20	$60	100	0	+100	Under	-$60	07-04 17:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:00 UTC	56	$59	267	102	+165	Down	+$142	07-07 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:12:52	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x036c17…
10-30 13:07:12	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xa25a00…
10-30 12:22:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbef46c…
10-30 12:21:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xaa771e…
10-29 14:38:41	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Alex Michelsen	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x31aa84…
10-29 11:11:20	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Alex Michelsen	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x840039…
10-29 10:28:11	Ningbo: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xfd400d…
10-29 09:17:44	Ningbo: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Jie Cui	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x7e7f7b…
10-28 19:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0x618588…
10-28 19:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x28c8d1…
10-28 19:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x266e2f…
10-28 19:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xfc5ba7…
10-28 19:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x8aba69…
10-28 19:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x7e04bf…
10-28 19:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xa422b5…
10-28 18:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x918c68…
10-28 18:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x1081b0…
10-28 18:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x3a8926…
10-28 18:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x431844…
10-28 18:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xa98b2f…
10-28 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x0e445d…
10-28 18:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xfaee86…
10-28 17:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x0a251a…
10-28 17:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa548de…
10-28 17:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x7ec624…
10-28 17:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa2708f…
10-28 16:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x09e708…
10-28 16:51:08	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x0d937c…
10-28 16:50:44	Will AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7e969d…
10-27 15:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x09ec58…
10-27 15:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb96bab…
10-27 15:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xaeda1c…
10-27 15:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xbdd2c3…
10-27 15:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe71117…
10-26 20:58:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x2f397a…
10-26 20:55:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	253	8¢	$20	0x6e68ce…
10-26 20:52:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xdfd6ce…
10-26 20:52:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x9b0fe9…
10-26 17:49:11	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	206	0¢	$1	0x8d4751…
10-26 09:27:53	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0xff688d…
10-25 20:35:30	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x0d39ad…
10-25 17:10:27	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xbae84b…
10-25 17:09:35	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x42b4e2…
10-25 16:24:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$31	0x2657de…
10-22 17:23:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3,107	6¢	$186	0x53cdad…
10-22 16:48:11	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TheMongolz (BO5) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x47b159…
10-22 16:37:47	Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team George (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group B	Team George	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xff3342…
10-22 16:36:54	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TheMongolz (BO5) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x690344…
10-22 15:34:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	719	6¢	$43	0x77a6c3…
10-22 15:32:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	315	6¢	$19	0x589e71…
10-22 15:27:45	Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0x21e36d…
10-22 14:46:08	Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x1f5dfd…
10-22 14:45:20	European Open: David Goffin vs Alex Michelsen	David Goffin	SELL	52	4¢	$2	0xb11a5a…
10-22 13:32:09	European Open: David Goffin vs Alex Michelsen	David Goffin	BUY	52	11¢	$6	0x72e8b0…
10-22 12:21:41	European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Jiri Lehecka	Raphael Collignon	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x7ad6ef…
10-22 12:21:30	European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Jiri Lehecka	Raphael Collignon	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x31786e…
10-22 11:51:20	European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Jiri Lehecka	Raphael Collignon	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xed66b7…
10-22 09:37:06	Florence: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Dimitris Sakellaridis	Dimitris Sakellaridis	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x090e1a…
10-20 20:42:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0x17fa96…
10-20 20:36:18	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x08fdcd…
10-20 20:20:56	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	91	39¢	$35	0x8b7374…
10-20 20:18:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	227	30¢	$68	0xa86b66…
10-20 19:45:23	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x2fd3f4…
10-20 11:17:33	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x586037…
10-18 18:04:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x3ca13b…
10-14 19:14:37	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xf5cbdc…
10-14 19:13:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1751bd…
10-13 18:27:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4,340	4¢	$190	0x33495c…
10-04 14:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0xed0fa4…
10-04 14:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x86398f…
10-04 12:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x818459…
10-04 12:33:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5745b9…
10-04 09:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa7952a…
10-02 09:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xe68c15…
10-02 09:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x6e0a60…
10-02 09:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x49502d…
10-02 09:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x24502b…
10-02 07:55:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc55dd1…
10-02 07:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$8	0x9ce8d8…
10-02 07:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x39e3c9…
10-02 07:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb8f485…
10-02 07:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2f134b…
10-01 16:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xfdb708…
10-01 16:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xf569f1…
10-01 16:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x29e77d…
10-01 16:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa4ef0b…
10-01 16:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4f4568…
10-01 15:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0xdae231…
10-01 15:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x65543b…
10-01 15:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x4dff23…
10-01 15:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x324535…
10-01 14:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x48b7d9…
10-01 14:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x26cd3e…
09-22 17:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x933b80…
09-22 17:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2a6385…
09-22 17:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe06577…
09-22 17:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc69561…
09-22 17:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe021ab…
09-22 17:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x32154d…
09-22 17:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3d723c…