Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$208

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

1,118

Trades

1,319

lifetime

Volume

$3.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 11-04 07:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 58% -$155

Other

13% 41% -$44

Tech

1% 50% -$2

Politics

1% 0% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $511,000 and $515,000 on December 31?	8	$50	80	80	+0	open	—	10-03 16:29
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	10-02 13:20
Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026?	6	$22	60	60	+0	No	-$2	10-04 07:39
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?	8	$21	60	60	+0	open	—	10-04 07:59
Mortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027?	4	$20	40	40	+0	open	—	10-03 04:06
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 14, 2026?	2	$19	38	0	+38	No	+$1	10-02 10:53
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	Down	-$2	10-06 15:45
Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	6	$18	40	40	+0	open	—	10-03 06:31
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3?	2	$17	20	20	+0	No	+$1	10-02 18:00
Will a Junior win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	2	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	10-07 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$15	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	10-06 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Down	-$14	10-15 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	10	$14	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	10-06 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	10-15 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$13	15	15	+0	Up	-$3	10-06 15:05
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?	4	$13	41	41	+0	No	-$5	10-03 23:27
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	10-02 23:22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1?	10	$12	132	0	+132	Yes	-$12	10-01 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:55 UTC	3	$12	18	0	+18	Up	-$12	10-14 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-15 19:09
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-15 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-15 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	10-15 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	10-15 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	10-15 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	10-15 19:18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 9?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	10-10 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	Up	-$2	10-06 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	10-06 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:25 UTC	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	10-14 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 08:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1b2eea…
11-04 08:37:39	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x363780…
11-04 08:37:33	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfcaa68…
11-04 08:33:06	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb4c5a8…
11-04 08:32:43	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4d4d46…
11-04 08:32:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8b85c8…
11-04 08:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc312c5…
11-04 08:28:06	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2b2999…
11-04 08:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa23cbf…
11-04 08:27:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x4e3c4f…
11-04 08:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf6014a…
11-04 08:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x88bb0f…
11-04 08:12:33	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa00067…
11-04 08:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x2b5d38…
11-04 07:57:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x338799…
11-04 07:57:33	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x09abbc…
11-04 07:47:37	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x565420…
11-04 07:43:40	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3b5b31…
11-04 07:08:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x05f719…
11-04 07:07:55	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x79acce…
11-04 07:05:19	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x60af1b…
11-04 07:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x658244…
11-04 07:00:22	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x361f39…
11-04 06:58:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7c222c…
11-04 06:58:25	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x282002…
11-04 06:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc11751…
11-04 06:50:24	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xde5e0d…
11-04 06:07:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x726073…
11-04 06:05:13	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x678c75…
11-04 06:03:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x73b82c…
11-04 05:55:04	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2d28a1…
11-04 05:48:24	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xf6e0d4…
11-04 05:45:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x4d8414…
11-04 05:40:13	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcebf4a…
11-04 05:34:06	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x93223e…
11-04 05:32:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x46bbfb…
11-04 05:22:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x275718…
11-04 04:45:25	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf54356…
11-04 04:39:03	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2f11b9…
11-04 04:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbd2b59…
11-04 04:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa95b65…
11-04 04:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xcca743…
11-04 04:27:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1dd1b1…
11-04 04:25:15	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe16350…
11-04 04:20:03	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8a45ef…
11-04 04:15:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbc4d8c…
11-04 04:10:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x91f2a1…
11-04 04:08:49	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x893698…
11-04 04:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xea0046…
11-04 04:05:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xa24ec3…
11-04 04:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x552390…
11-04 04:00:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x59807a…
11-04 03:53:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x92d379…
11-04 03:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2f2506…
11-04 03:50:22	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x13b3b2…
11-04 03:48:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc7b6ba…
11-04 03:45:12	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa76c2b…
11-04 03:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x6f2aae…
11-04 03:42:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc1876c…
11-04 03:40:07	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x437fab…
11-04 03:35:06	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf27608…
11-04 03:33:00	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1c3c3c…
11-04 03:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x354983…
11-04 03:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x6d61e4…
11-04 03:29:03	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x6809b5…
11-04 03:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x14cb85…
11-04 03:20:07	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6b9ae2…
11-04 03:18:31	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0960a8…
11-04 03:17:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xe1599d…
11-04 03:15:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2f3d55…
11-04 03:05:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x85ca51…
11-04 02:52:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd43857…
11-04 02:52:33	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x352f07…
11-04 02:50:10	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x498766…
11-04 02:49:03	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3b4da5…
11-04 02:48:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xed90bb…
11-04 02:47:36	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xad72ac…
11-04 02:45:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xed71fb…
11-04 02:42:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb6ef1e…
11-04 02:35:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbfd029…
11-04 02:30:16	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6c3bba…
11-04 02:29:10	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6bdada…
11-04 02:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x78bc23…
11-04 02:25:09	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc8788c…
11-04 02:22:57	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xff80dc…
11-04 02:15:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xeb22ed…
11-04 02:08:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x1e4155…
11-04 02:07:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0b4aad…
11-04 02:00:16	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xf5841b…
11-04 01:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x43be6c…
11-04 01:55:30	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa2c50d…
11-04 01:52:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9ded9b…
11-04 01:50:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6fc1ee…
11-04 01:43:18	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2b4b31…
11-04 01:42:07	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x37b1c7…
11-04 01:37:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb22ae6…
11-04 01:37:33	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb8ab0e…
11-04 01:35:21	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4d757f…
11-04 01:32:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x3aca77…
11-04 01:30:16	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0ceae7…