Offbeat-Hypothesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$403

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

381

Trades

875

lifetime

Volume

$9.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-07 00:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

84% 53% -$281

Sports

11% 41% -$41

Politics

4% 25% -$80

Crypto

0% 33% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$122	83	83	+0	Yes	+$44	05-30 19:36
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	15	$115	197	196	+0	Yes	-$13	03-06 19:35
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	3	$112	65	65	+0	Rafael Jodar	+$18	05-31 15:42
cs2 g2 bb3 2026 04 02 total games 2pt5	11	$111	118	116	+2	Over	-$3	04-02 15:11
Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score	4	$100	64	64	+0	Yes	+$27	06-01 18:39
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score	3	$100	66	66	+0	Yes	+$32	06-05 17:25
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	2	$98	76	76	+0	Golden Knights	-$1	06-02 21:32
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set totals 3pt5	2	$90	56	56	+0	Over 3.5	+$20	06-05 15:12
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5	2	$88	53	53	+0	Over	+$18	05-31 18:30
atp lehecka bublik 2026 04 09 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$87	53	52	+1	Bublik	+$18	04-09 13:44
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)	2	$86	49	49	+0	Cobolli	+$13	06-01 12:29
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	3	$85	50	50	+0	Colombia	+$15	06-02 01:05
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	3	$84	54	54	+0	Marta Kostyuk	+$23	06-02 12:21
Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score	3	$83	50	50	+0	Yes	+$18	06-04 18:34
wta eala masarov 2026 06 06	4	$83	48	48	+0	Alexandra Eala	+$2	06-06 16:04
fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	3	$77	50	50	+0	Yes	+$22	03-29 21:04
wta podrez boulter 2026 04 17	2	$76	57	56	+1	Veronika Podrez	+$37	04-17 15:08
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	5	$76	75	75	+0	No	-$1	03-03 09:37
wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	2	$72	52	52	+0	Maja Chwalinska	+$32	06-04 17:29
Spread: Germany (-2.5)	3	$72	48	48	+0	Germany	+$24	05-31 20:49
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	5	$69	50	50	+0	No	+$6	03-03 16:16
nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	4	$69	83	46	+37	Over	+$17	06-04 21:43
Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5	2	$69	41	41	+0	Over 3.5	+$13	05-31 21:51
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	2	$69	117	0	+117	Jakub Mensik	-$69	06-02 20:10
atp fonseca zverev 2026 04 10 set handicap away 1pt5	3	$66	41	41	+0	Fonseca	+$15	04-10 11:19
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)	2	$63	39	39	+0	Brazil	+$14	05-31 23:22
sea int cag 2026 04 17 int	2	$63	38	38	+0	Yes	+$13	04-17 20:50
uwcl bm mcu 2026 04 01 btts	8	$63	42	42	+0	Yes	+$11	04-01 18:31
cs2 9ine m8 2026 04 02	9	$62	55	54	+1	9INE	-$4	04-02 14:48
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Osaka	5	$62	38	38	+0	Sabalenka	+$14	06-01 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 00:13:15	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Hurricanes	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0x48596f…
06-06 23:43:22	fif bra egy 2026 06 06 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x32f470…
06-06 23:26:46	fif bra egy 2026 06 06 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xd27167…
06-06 18:41:52	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x2a371f…
06-06 17:06:55	Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Portugal	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xa6041b…
06-06 17:05:10	atp skatov rocha 2026 06 06 first set winner Skatov vs Rocha	Rocha	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x17acb8…
06-06 16:05:43	atp skatov rocha 2026 06 06 first set winner Skatov vs Rocha	Rocha	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xf15f2f…
06-06 16:04:55	wta eala masarov 2026 06 06	Alexandra Eala	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xc9622d…
06-06 14:52:13	wta eala masarov 2026 06 06	Alexandra Eala	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x6f60e4…
06-06 14:51:45	Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	Belgium	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf5ed89…
06-06 13:19:39	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	32	33¢	$11	0x348ffd…
06-06 13:18:31	Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	Belgium	BUY	30	52¢	$15	0x76be16…
06-06 13:17:30	wta eala masarov 2026 06 06	Alexandra Eala	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0x8eb257…
06-06 12:25:34	wta eala masarov 2026 06 06	Alexandra Eala	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xf9349e…
06-06 12:09:42	atp baez izquier 2026 06 06 first set winner Baez vs Izquierdo	Baez	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x74731b…
06-06 10:41:36	atp baez izquier 2026 06 06 first set winner Baez vs Izquierdo	Baez	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xeae8e1…
06-05 20:12:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 6pt5	Knicks	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc24d21…
06-05 20:10:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 rebounds victor wembanyama 11pt5	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc448b2…
06-05 19:42:55	Will Azerbaijan vs. Malta end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xd3bc5c…
06-05 18:50:34	San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xbf28f4…
06-05 18:40:09	Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf739b3…
06-05 18:25:51	San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf5214b…
06-05 18:25:22	Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xfc61b7…
06-05 17:25:52	Slovakia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x22ddb1…
06-05 16:57:01	Slovakia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xbb83d0…
06-05 16:15:01	Slovakia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x3404fe…
06-05 15:47:13	fif tjk ind 2026 06 05 btts	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x863192…
06-05 15:43:21	atp trungel dedurap 2026 06 05	Marco Trungelliti	SELL	22	31¢	$7	0xa4a345…
06-05 15:20:15	atp trungel dedurap 2026 06 05	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xe39bbc…
06-05 15:12:30	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x23e132…
06-05 11:07:13	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0xae5f57…
06-05 11:03:30	atp shimabu majchrz 2026 06 05	Kamil Majchrzak	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xee43d5…
06-05 09:52:30	atp shimabu majchrz 2026 06 05	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa8368c…
06-04 21:43:40	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x754449…
06-04 21:41:39	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Hurricanes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xda6007…
06-04 21:23:55	atp nardi bertola 2026 06 04	Luca Nardi	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6c6db6…
06-04 21:22:16	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x749859…
06-04 21:22:04	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Hurricanes	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0x5e624d…
06-04 21:21:10	atp nardi bertola 2026 06 04	Luca Nardi	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x5edda3…
06-04 21:18:13	atp nardi bertola 2026 06 04	Luca Nardi	BUY	16	22¢	$3	0x71fa78…
06-04 21:10:06	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x959aee…
06-04 21:02:33	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x952804…
06-04 20:59:03	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x78b117…
06-04 20:57:03	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x2b911a…
06-04 20:55:48	Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xe51e3b…
06-04 20:42:58	Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x469382…
06-04 20:42:10	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6fcafa…
06-04 20:35:15	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	46	53¢	$24	0x2e3d3f…
06-04 20:21:33	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xbcd628…
06-04 19:51:16	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x4a4911…
06-04 19:46:21	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x1c7edd…
06-04 18:59:01	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 btts	No	BUY	62	66¢	$41	0xaedc9f…
06-04 18:35:10	Spread: Sweden (-1.5)	Sweden	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x002593…
06-04 18:34:10	Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x990931…
06-04 18:04:27	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd8cf2b…
06-04 18:04:04	Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0xb434eb…
06-04 18:03:09	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xeb293e…
06-04 18:02:45	Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xca7404…
06-04 17:31:10	Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xc1ca32…
06-04 17:29:27	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Maja Chwalinska	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xe69c05…
06-04 14:29:48	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x4eec64…
06-04 13:46:45	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc2721b…
06-04 13:20:04	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0xa46340…
06-03 11:25:33	Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)	Sabalenka	BUY	50	69¢	$35	0x5dcd94…
06-03 11:25:10	Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5	Over	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xb20dc9…
06-03 06:38:57	Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xc1a884…
06-03 06:32:55	Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	180	10¢	$19	0xbd0039…
06-02 21:33:39	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	79	60¢	$47	0xe7657d…
06-02 21:32:21	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Golden Knights	SELL	76	64¢	$48	0xf0e727…
06-02 21:30:22	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Golden Knights	BUY	76	65¢	$49	0xf406ab…
06-02 20:10:18	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0xd46388…
06-02 18:43:44	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	81	67¢	$55	0x85237e…
06-02 15:12:30	Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xede4ec…
06-02 14:59:44	Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x4f7b65…
06-02 14:43:48	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xbdee37…
06-02 14:43:38	Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	180	11¢	$19	0x4b0284…
06-02 14:42:35	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x34f0b4…
06-02 14:06:30	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x0e4d4f…
06-02 14:06:04	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x275dce…
06-02 12:23:01	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0xb783eb…
06-02 12:21:30	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Marta Kostyuk	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0xb54577…
06-02 10:44:12	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	8	67¢	$6	0x033733…
06-02 10:41:54	Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Enrico Dalla Valle	Henrique Rocha	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x734ae9…
06-02 10:32:16	Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Enrico Dalla Valle	Henrique Rocha	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf1f64e…
06-02 10:30:44	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x3597bc…
06-02 10:09:21	Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)	Andreeva	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc79563…
06-02 10:09:10	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea	Mirra Andreeva	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xee84ce…
06-02 10:07:45	Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Enrico Dalla Valle	Henrique Rocha	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x6c610d…
06-02 09:18:03	Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)	Andreeva	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x0d5db3…
06-02 09:17:52	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xc55961…
06-02 01:07:03	Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf50969…
06-02 01:05:15	Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	Colombia	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xaec423…
06-01 23:09:15	Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	Colombia	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xbb5bec…
06-01 23:07:14	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x40775c…
06-01 23:06:36	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x18b360…
06-01 21:34:33	Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	Colombia	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x8b9221…
06-01 21:30:31	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x3d4101…
06-01 21:28:15	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	129	19¢	$24	0xacee75…
06-01 20:45:57	Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x070556…
06-01 19:19:58	Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x494cff…