Familiar-Elongation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.5%

Resolved

414

Trades

799

lifetime

Volume

$7.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-15 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 92% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	04-30 20:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	3	$49	34	19	+15	Up	$-2	05-08 14:12
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	3	$48	33	17	+16	open	—	04-29 21:59
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$46	23	23	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 12:03
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$43	25	25	+0	open	—	04-30 20:45
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$40	21	21	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 03:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$39	20	20	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 11:57
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	3	$37	19	19	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 07:13
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$35	21	21	+0	open	—	04-29 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	04-30 10:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$33	19	19	+0	open	—	04-30 06:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$32	21	21	+0	Down	$-8	05-06 10:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8AM ET	3	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-30 13:04
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8AM ET	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	04-30 12:44
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 16:55
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 16:55
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	04-30 20:59
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$29	15	15	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 03:18
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$29	29	0	+29	Up	+$0	05-08 17:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$28	28	0	+28	Up	+$0	05-08 14:26
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-30 19:11
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$27	27	0	+27	Up	+$0	05-08 08:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$25	13	13	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 11:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 14:15
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 16:00
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$23	12	12	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 21:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$23	23	0	+23	Down	+$0	05-07 21:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$21	21	0	+21	Down	+$0	05-05 17:43
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	05-06 03:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	05-06 08:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 02:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa38bff…
05-15 02:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x65ec8e…
05-15 01:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x62af1c…
05-15 01:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc81701…
05-15 01:47:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa789dd…
05-15 01:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x015059…
05-15 01:32:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7268c0…
05-15 01:29:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x204bc7…
05-15 01:21:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x15d34c…
05-15 01:07:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x70e1e1…
05-15 01:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdde37d…
05-15 00:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc4a06f…
05-15 00:53:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x656ab4…
05-15 00:47:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5dfbb1…
05-15 00:41:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe6b583…
05-15 00:39:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x752086…
05-15 00:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x237caa…
05-15 00:29:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1024f8…
05-15 00:19:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x4318a5…
05-15 00:13:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x185207…
05-15 00:08:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x2fd7b4…
05-14 23:23:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd0bc4c…
05-14 18:12:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2c3e1d…
05-14 16:49:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4c449d…
05-14 16:33:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc865fd…
05-14 16:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9d5595…
05-14 16:19:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xc626de…
05-14 16:04:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xada627…
05-14 15:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x471f3c…
05-14 15:48:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x469d59…
05-14 15:24:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x9e8e5f…
05-14 15:09:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7e5c04…
05-14 15:04:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5a770a…
05-14 14:53:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf06178…
05-14 14:47:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb856af…
05-14 14:27:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xf70565…
05-14 14:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcc4f41…
05-14 14:07:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe8de36…
05-14 13:53:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xdf35da…
05-14 13:36:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc4cca0…
05-14 13:33:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xaf5538…
05-14 12:53:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xcd2c3f…
05-14 11:38:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7fe895…
05-14 11:23:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x297dc3…
05-14 10:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5d2c3f…
05-14 10:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8cc3aa…
05-14 10:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1a12b9…
05-14 10:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x59b2d1…
05-14 10:07:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xbd5cb5…
05-14 09:43:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x87b74a…
05-14 09:41:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3a4a0c…
05-14 09:33:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xd168e8…
05-14 09:18:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x015a9b…
05-14 09:12:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xe914b1…
05-14 08:33:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x75b9b8…
05-14 08:23:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4897c3…
05-14 08:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1464a5…
05-13 23:43:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x43ab46…
05-13 23:33:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xf34d48…
05-13 23:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc4392c…
05-13 23:24:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xe21898…
05-13 23:19:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9de0ad…
05-13 23:14:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5d37ab…
05-13 23:08:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xe2f5a0…
05-13 23:04:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x26cd43…
05-13 22:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x91ddb5…
05-13 22:42:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xe9a95e…
05-13 22:24:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xac32f6…
05-13 21:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xd100ed…
05-13 21:07:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x920eb3…
05-13 20:59:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa086cb…
05-13 20:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xb08493…
05-13 19:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x9be8fd…
05-13 19:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfaaf10…
05-13 19:27:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x7b7847…
05-13 19:25:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc2eb9d…
05-13 18:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcbf013…
05-13 18:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7a8fd7…
05-13 18:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9dd1fa…
05-13 18:08:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x454fa6…
05-13 17:53:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x12585b…
05-13 17:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xc82e4c…
05-13 17:12:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd0646d…
05-13 16:33:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x05ffe0…
05-13 16:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x6c554b…
05-13 16:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf75287…
05-13 16:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa521c3…
05-13 16:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x1573bc…
05-13 15:26:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x18c709…
05-13 13:58:15	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x13e5c6…
05-13 13:34:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x50fd22…
05-13 13:29:02	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x1304cb…
05-13 13:13:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x73bcf4…
05-13 12:37:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcbf170…
05-13 12:28:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xc43b8a…
05-13 10:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9209d6…
05-13 09:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x53a890…
05-13 09:24:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x07e92e…
05-13 09:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x720ced…
05-13 09:10:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2f4901…