Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$628

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$128

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-02 23:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

93% 31% -$45

Other

7% 0% -$28

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+103	$53	70¢	$72	+$19	11-02 23:18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+108	$10	18¢	$19	+$9	10-25 10:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	+16	$10	80¢	$13	+$3	11-02 18:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+27	$10	38¢	$10	+$0	10-25 10:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+147	$16	7¢	$10	-$6	10-25 10:16
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+56	$6	6¢	$4	-$2	10-25 10:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$136	146	73	+73	No	+$67	01-30 06:36
will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	5	$70	72	72	+0	No	+$44	01-13 21:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	3	$53	103	0	+103	open	—	11-02 23:18
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$45	26	26	+0	No	+$5	01-15 18:50
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$40	48	0	+48	No	+$8	01-21 21:49
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	4	$35	138	0	+138	No	-$35	11-02 18:19
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$28	35	0	+35	No	+$7	01-12 13:35
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$25	98	0	+98	Yes	-$25	11-02 17:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$25	106	0	+106	No	-$25	01-15 21:02
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	1	$20	54	0	+54	No	-$20	10-29 03:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	2	$20	42	0	+42	No	-$20	11-02 18:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	1	$20	41	0	+41	No	-$20	10-25 10:22
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	3	$20	83	0	+83	No	-$20	01-15 18:49
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$16	147	0	+147	open	—	10-25 10:16
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$15	52	0	+52	No	-$15	10-29 03:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	10-25 10:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$10	108	0	+108	open	—	10-25 10:18
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$10	30	0	+30	No	-$10	10-27 23:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	11-02 18:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$6	56	0	+56	open	—	10-25 10:20
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$6	20	0	+20	No	-$6	01-15 12:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$3	15	0	+15	No	-$3	01-12 13:27
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$3	8	0	+8	Yes	-$3	01-30 06:38
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	11-01 23:44
will solana dip to 110 in january 2026	1	$0	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-30 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 23:18:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xec677f…
11-02 18:20:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x343164…
11-02 18:19:36	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6e7575…
11-02 18:17:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8308c6…
11-02 17:56:39	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xfba3e6…
11-01 23:44:22	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xef4d36…
10-29 03:48:41	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x8286f1…
10-29 03:47:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x69b91f…
10-29 03:45:46	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x78e52b…
10-29 03:45:04	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x17be66…
10-27 23:57:08	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3bcd73…
10-25 10:32:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf5916b…
10-25 10:31:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x92e0a7…
10-25 10:22:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x3293ce…
10-25 10:20:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	11¢	$6	0xe94ccf…
10-25 10:18:08	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0xb80e59…
10-25 10:16:59	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	147	11¢	$16	0x05439b…
10-25 10:12:41	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xb02dd7…
10-25 10:11:39	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0a7428…
10-25 10:11:15	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xe0e5b8…
10-25 10:09:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xccc0a5…
01-30 06:44:30	will solana dip to 110 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x9fe9ce…
01-30 06:38:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xba70a7…
01-30 06:36:36	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	73	89¢	$65	0x23a34d…
01-21 21:49:28	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x1cbbab…
01-15 21:02:20	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	43	18¢	$8	0xc1961e…
01-15 18:53:08	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd495de…
01-15 18:50:22	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xaeede7…
01-15 18:49:22	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xec645b…
01-15 12:54:54	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x50f397…
01-13 21:30:40	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x7647ce…
01-13 21:27:56	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x8e20a7…
01-13 21:09:12	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x6ade1b…
01-12 13:35:38	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xbafcda…
01-12 13:34:30	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x958863…
01-12 13:29:00	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7ed999…
01-12 13:27:56	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x473e75…
01-12 13:27:16	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xde4c15…
01-12 11:21:28	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xdf32a3…
01-12 11:17:34	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb2aadf…
01-12 11:14:28	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x8429bd…
01-12 11:12:18	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa72dfe…
01-12 00:47:34	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xe1fb80…
01-12 00:46:42	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0xda3736…
01-12 00:44:40	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x1b8773…
01-12 00:41:32	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	126	48¢	$60	0xa5bcc9…