Tough-Deed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

153

Trades

1,110

lifetime

Volume

$4.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-03 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 93% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	21	$34	100	+100	open	—	06-03 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$16	18	+18	open	—	05-21 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$16	17	+17	open	—	05-21 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$16	17	+17	open	—	05-21 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$12	14	+14	open	—	05-22 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$12	14	+14	open	—	05-22 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-22 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$11	13	+13	open	—	05-22 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$11	13	+13	open	—	05-22 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-22 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$11	13	+13	open	—	05-22 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$11	14	+14	open	—	05-22 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$11	13	+13	open	—	05-23 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$11	15	+15	open	—	05-22 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$11	13	+13	open	—	05-22 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$11	13	+13	open	—	05-22 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$11	14	+14	open	—	05-22 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$11	14	+14	open	—	05-22 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-23 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-22 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-22 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	05-22 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	05-22 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	05-22 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	05-24 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$9	11	+11	open	—	05-24 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$9	10	+10	open	—	05-23 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	05-22 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$9	12	+12	open	—	05-22 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$9	12	+12	open	—	05-24 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 15:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xddd222…
06-03 15:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xc0f84d…
06-03 15:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x3c3dd3…
06-03 15:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xececd0…
06-03 14:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe4b597…
06-03 14:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xfc2049…
06-03 14:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xe471bb…
06-03 14:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9dcc26…
06-03 14:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4bbf69…
06-03 14:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x177b41…
06-03 14:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x698a2b…
06-03 14:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5d0864…
06-03 14:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2e7f90…
06-03 14:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x042c9c…
06-03 14:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb3acfc…
06-03 14:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x98508e…
06-03 14:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb99903…
06-03 14:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdedf4c…
06-03 14:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5be05b…
06-03 14:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe123bc…
06-03 14:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x9a232d…
06-03 14:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x027140…
06-03 14:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1e0edb…
06-03 14:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1243f9…
06-03 14:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf3f0de…
06-03 14:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xcf3815…
06-03 14:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xdf1a7f…
06-03 12:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xe135f3…
06-03 10:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xbe999f…
06-03 10:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xacc08f…
06-03 10:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x75155a…
06-03 09:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xc75ecc…
06-03 09:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x68d2ec…
06-03 06:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x4ccc49…
06-03 06:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7c8163…
06-03 06:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xd92f5a…
06-03 06:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x0c15bb…
06-03 06:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8b09db…
06-03 05:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf4babc…
06-03 05:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x534899…
06-03 04:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xa5e6b0…
06-03 04:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x9a5ae2…
06-03 04:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa4a79c…
06-03 04:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1cfea9…
06-03 04:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x87cfa3…
06-03 03:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x4e2006…
06-03 03:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x82d334…
06-03 03:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x313245…
06-03 03:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x9c4716…
06-03 03:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd9f897…
06-03 03:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x6ecce8…
06-03 01:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xbd4faa…
06-03 01:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x75c76c…
06-03 00:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x0c6fdf…
06-02 23:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf29739…
06-02 23:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x91fb36…
06-02 23:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x54760d…
06-02 22:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x487076…
06-02 22:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4061f6…
06-02 20:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x94ead2…
06-02 20:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x3163fb…
06-02 19:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbca2a6…
06-02 19:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa8ad0f…
06-02 19:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x0f787a…
06-02 18:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x44de0a…
06-02 17:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x334ac9…
06-02 17:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x32505d…
06-02 17:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7e4101…
06-02 16:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3263db…
06-02 15:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x3bc229…
06-02 15:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa9b080…
06-02 15:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4b16b5…
06-02 15:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x60d56e…
06-02 15:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xc3c48c…
06-02 14:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xcff5e3…
06-02 14:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x40c0b9…
06-02 14:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x681e12…
06-02 14:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x467dd5…
06-02 12:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x39cf58…
06-02 12:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x608f26…
06-02 12:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xda9c6a…
06-02 11:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x868cb9…
06-02 11:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x791c87…
06-02 11:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbfa23e…
06-02 10:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x48eb69…
06-02 10:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf359de…
06-02 09:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x01f06f…
06-02 09:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf7409a…
06-02 09:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd116f6…
06-02 07:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x264dc8…
06-02 06:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x748977…
06-02 06:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x52c24b…
06-02 06:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0c6c4b…
06-02 06:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x636d2c…
06-02 05:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0eea5b…
06-02 05:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6bfb6b…
06-02 04:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x709c89…
06-02 03:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfd627a…
06-02 03:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9b6f49…
06-02 03:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x94804e…