(anonymous) 0xdf1797…2d0507 Create alert
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
+$125
Hit rate
43.9%
Resolved
109
Trades
879
lifetime
Volume
$1.95K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$364
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 11-02 21:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
53% 42% -$4
Politics
37% 59% -$7
Tech
4% — —
Sports
3% 60% +$0
Crypto
3% 33% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +66 $23 99¢ $66 +$43 10-25 19:38
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +45 $20 99¢ $44 +$24 10-25 20:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +35 $22 66¢ $23 +$1 10-30 02:50
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? Yes +20 $5 99¢ $20 +$15 10-25 20:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +20 $6 96¢ $19 +$13 10-30 00:45
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +25 $15 66¢ $17 +$1 10-25 14:54
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +25 $16 62¢ $15 -$1 10-30 06:30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +35 $12 34¢ $12 $0 10-29 23:31
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +10 $3 100¢ $10 +$7 10-24 13:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +10 $7 98¢ $10 +$3 11-02 18:23
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +25 $9 38¢ $10 +$1 10-30 07:56
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +10 $3 94¢ $9 +$7 10-30 01:15
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +25 $9 34¢ $8 $0 10-25 15:43
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +10 $7 84¢ $8 +$2 10-28 03:53
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +15 $3 54¢ $8 +$5 10-25 20:36
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? Yes +10 $5 80¢ $8 +$3 10-28 18:06
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$1 10-24 16:06
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +10 $7 72¢ $7 $0 11-02 17:46
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +15 $10 46¢ $7 -$3 10-25 20:39
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +10 $5 66¢ $7 +$2 10-30 15:40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? No +10 $6 57¢ $6 -$1 10-28 01:32
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +10 $6 56¢ $6 -$1 10-30 05:54
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +10 $6 52¢ $5 -$1 10-27 11:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +10 $4 48¢ $5 +$1 10-27 11:42
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +9 $6 52¢ $5 -$1 10-27 12:37
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 10-24 17:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +5 $2 92¢ $5 +$3 10-28 02:07
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +10 $4 44¢ $4 +$1 10-30 07:23
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +9 $3 48¢ $4 +$1 10-27 12:37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes +10 $4 43¢ $4 +$1 10-28 07:53