Exotic-Cranky-Debris — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$48

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

5,396 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$283

$12.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-29 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 39% -$789

Other

15% 47% +$3

Sports

3% 50% -$21

Politics

0% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5	Under	+7	$4	96¢	$7	+$3	10-29 01:21
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	+7	$3	78¢	$5	+$2	10-29 00:13
Browns vs. Steelers	Steelers	+7	$5	64¢	$5	$0	10-27 19:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	15	$70	98	98	+0	LGD Gaming	+$14	10-08 10:57
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Blasterbl - Game 1 Winner	15	$65	91	83	+8	Blasterbl	+$9	10-08 14:18
mlb phi laa 2026 08 30	14	$56	144	0	+144	Philadelphia Phillies	-$56	08-30 20:03
FC Schalke 04 leading at halftime?	18	$47	92	0	+92	No	-$47	08-24 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	7	$41	40	36	+4	Up	+$9	10-24 08:50
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner	18	$41	92	0	+92	Natus Vincere	+$52	08-24 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	3	$31	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	10-28 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	3	$31	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	10-28 12:21
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	6	$31	61	0	+61	Manchester United FC	+$31	08-30 15:27
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-08-24?	14	$30	72	0	+72	No	-$30	08-24 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	10-22 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	3	$29	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	10-27 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$29	30	30	+0	Up	+$5	10-28 13:35
val sen kru1 2026 08 22 game2	12	$28	61	0	+61	KRÜ Esports	+$33	08-23 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	6	$28	20	20	+0	Down	+$5	10-23 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$27	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	10-27 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	5	$27	24	20	+4	Up	+$8	10-23 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$27	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	10-24 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	6	$27	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	10-24 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	10-24 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$26	20	20	+0	Down	+$5	10-25 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$25	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	10-25 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	4	$25	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	10-27 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	Down	+$0	05-17 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	4	$24	30	30	+0	Down	-$3	10-28 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$24	30	30	+0	Down	-$6	10-27 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	4	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	10-27 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	4	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	10-27 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	4	$23	20	20	+0	Up	$0	10-22 02:35
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 14:20 UTC	6	$23	45	0	+45	Down	-$23	06-22 14:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xd259d8…
10-29 01:48:23	Will XRP dip to $1.30 on October 28?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x451fa3…
10-29 01:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc7f286…
10-29 01:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0xa8f099…
10-29 01:21:35	Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xed7057…
10-29 01:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x060af4…
10-29 01:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xa9f18d…
10-29 00:55:38	Inter Miami CF vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x660d63…
10-29 00:13:20	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x4fd359…
10-28 23:56:53	Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)	Nuggets	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x56f95e…
10-28 23:49:47	Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5)	New Mexico State	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x58c1a4…
10-28 22:47:29	Spread: Hawks (-2.5)	Heat	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xed39d9…
10-28 21:10:41	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xeeae18…
10-28 21:04:05	New England Revolution vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xf06d7f…
10-28 20:26:56	Fulham FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xd1467d…
10-28 20:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x758626…
10-28 20:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	31¢	$7	0x604858…
10-28 20:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x2f4877…
10-28 20:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xb88448…
10-28 19:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0x47ae8e…
10-28 19:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x204f1e…
10-28 19:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xbdc23f…
10-28 19:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xe771d7…
10-28 19:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa2189b…
10-28 19:44:31	Pisa SC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xa2b772…
10-28 18:38:20	Dundee FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x08dca6…
10-28 17:45:08	PAOK vs. AEK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x2d9fc6…
10-28 16:08:29	Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x0d7e1c…
10-28 15:59:01	SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x3ee75e…
10-28 14:19:13	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Wizards	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x5893f7…
10-28 13:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x5d021f…
10-28 13:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x19b680…
10-28 13:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x22ad58…
10-28 12:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0xff3ce4…
10-28 12:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x4f7444…
10-28 12:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xc22bdc…
10-28 12:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0x2d55a6…
10-28 12:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x7f155d…
10-28 11:48:05	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xf70031…
10-28 09:43:35	Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	Invictus Gaming	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x186d98…
10-28 08:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x2dfbf5…
10-28 08:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0xd44853…
10-28 08:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x18e0f7…
10-28 08:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0x050723…
10-28 08:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x1bd638…
10-28 08:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x7f2b43…
10-28 08:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfc51b4…
10-28 08:06:17	Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)	Team Nemesis	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x99fa85…
10-28 03:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x3d4d7a…
10-28 03:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x619701…
10-28 03:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x304355…
10-28 02:45:45	Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x5ea864…
10-28 02:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x49e840…
10-28 02:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0x65131a…
10-28 02:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x650539…
10-28 02:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x4d60d0…
10-28 02:02:21	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xb59acb…
10-28 01:35:08	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x7fbc39…
10-27 23:35:17	Kings vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5	Under	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x4c515c…
10-27 23:10:42	Devils vs. Stars	Devils	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x3b62ef…
10-27 23:03:20	Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5	Under	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x769f20…
10-27 22:57:53	Spread: Celtics (-12.5)	Celtics	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xb65072…
10-27 22:51:23	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x83929c…
10-27 22:49:12	Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xa5d70c…
10-27 21:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xbaf409…
10-27 21:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x3587bd…
10-27 21:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xeaf02c…
10-27 21:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd29574…
10-27 21:15:05	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x471b57…
10-27 19:50:17	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xa9e377…
10-27 19:30:12	AIK vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xc79f64…
10-27 19:27:57	Browns vs. Steelers	Steelers	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x8bbc2d…
10-27 19:05:45	Mantova 1911 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x31ca8c…
10-27 18:13:51	Cesena FC vs. Empoli FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x16cb0d…
10-27 17:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x003448…
10-27 17:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0x7b2f82…
10-27 17:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x2df5a9…
10-27 16:38:33	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xbe3590…
10-27 16:13:24	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x92f6e7…
10-27 13:49:41	Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xbddd52…
10-27 12:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xe26b4b…
10-27 12:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x4d797c…
10-27 12:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xa43863…
10-27 12:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x5d88bf…
10-27 12:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc44f2d…
10-27 12:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa3b5b8…
10-27 12:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7624f6…
10-27 12:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf25cb7…
10-27 10:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xb1541f…
10-27 10:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf35ed3…
10-27 10:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x88436c…
10-27 10:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x721e1b…
10-27 09:18:38	Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Port FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xa0a3a0…
10-27 06:43:44	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Lakers	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xae2a48…
10-27 06:10:57	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	Celtics	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x64d9a9…
10-27 04:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x789b9c…
10-27 04:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdf0ab5…
10-27 03:21:54	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x03e2dd…
10-27 03:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x8e3a05…
10-27 03:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xf8b0ae…