Far-Raisin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

320

Trades

736

lifetime

Volume

$9.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-01 02:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

79% 80% +$1

Crypto

16% 86% +$0

Politics

2% 67% $0

Sports

2% 50% $0

Tech

1% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes		+8	$8	100¢	$8	$0	11-01 02:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 110-111°F on June 29?	8	$118	59	59	+0	No	$0	06-28 12:32
bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	4	$112	56	56	+0	Yes	+$0	07-12 04:54
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	5	$85	43	43	+0	No	$0	05-26 11:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 11?	3	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-11 00:04
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 92°F or higher on July 13?	4	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-13 01:49
will the match not air 20260625200259146	5	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-27 18:41
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 4?	5	$59	35	24	+11	No	+$0	06-03 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or below on July 6?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-05 19:20
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 27?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-27 23:18
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 3?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-03 11:47
Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-31 16:00
bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-05 05:29
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on July 20?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-19 17:09
will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-19 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 2?	5	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-01 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 11?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-10 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on July 12?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-11 07:47
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on June 25?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-25 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 23?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-23 15:18
will usd fall to 16000 indonesian rupiah by june 30	8	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-30 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 5?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-05 17:27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 13?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-12 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or below on July 10?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-10 09:53
Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	06-02 18:54
will bitcoin reach 71k on july 22	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-22 22:35
will bitcoin reach 67k on july 16	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-16 23:28
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on July 18?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-17 03:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 17?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-17 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 13?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-13 05:25
bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-10 14:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:22:57	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10a72d…
10-25 11:10:17	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa27b95…
10-25 11:09:27	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe35975…
10-25 11:08:33	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfb5950…
10-25 11:07:38	Will Osasuna win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb93fa1…
10-20 04:39:05	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x870ce8…
10-13 08:11:23	Will Osasuna win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x604fb5…
10-13 02:46:30	Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1f89e0…
09-16 15:51:24	Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x79e896…
09-07 19:27:51	Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x61a0da…
09-07 19:26:37	Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x079ed6…
09-07 19:25:24	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x8ff25d…
09-04 11:12:51	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3b5aa6…
08-27 19:39:43	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xad7a66…
08-24 18:40:34	Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6bb7e1…
08-10 14:00:52	Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x54913e…
08-05 18:20:26	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x1971cd…
07-25 15:00:43	Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1b8cc2…
07-23 15:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 23?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x6fd499…
07-23 13:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x61d9bd…
07-23 13:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3ec7b9…
07-23 13:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 23?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc5e616…
07-23 13:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xef7c93…
07-23 11:48:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 23?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x729cfc…
07-23 09:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0x7c1cc9…
07-23 07:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x14cf04…
07-23 04:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3da1a…
07-23 01:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x68553d…
07-22 22:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on July 23?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa43883…
07-22 22:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb6464c…
07-22 22:35:25	will bitcoin reach 71k on july 22	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb8ca8e…
07-22 22:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1c3255…
07-22 16:14:49	will bitcoin reach 71k on july 22	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xea24d8…
07-22 12:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on July 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8d49bc…
07-22 12:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or below on July 22?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xeb00ff…
07-22 11:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 23?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x61e1f2…
07-22 11:32:33	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2cb813…
07-22 11:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 23?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2cf2f1…
07-22 11:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 23?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x007a5c…
07-22 07:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 23?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb602c2…
07-22 06:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 22?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xeeb526…
07-22 06:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or below on July 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf14421…
07-22 05:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 23?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6b9f12…
07-22 05:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 23?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xddfc08…
07-22 04:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb1578b…
07-21 23:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x16a329…
07-21 21:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf3bdc5…
07-21 17:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcdfc66…
07-21 17:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0929c3…
07-21 15:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfac1cd…
07-21 15:24:30	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on July 21?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0xbef9e8…
07-21 14:07:07	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69e65c…
07-21 11:46:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 21	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa6d1e0…
07-21 11:35:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 21	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5bb79e…
07-21 09:41:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb731ca…
07-21 07:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x485140…
07-21 06:34:46	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on July 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x230d29…
07-21 05:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc85b11…
07-21 02:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6fa632…
07-21 02:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on July 22?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x690e11…
07-21 01:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on July 22?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc9e4da…
07-20 23:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on July 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5532f7…
07-20 22:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe5a1c0…
07-20 14:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6e101a…
07-20 13:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x3c5726…
07-20 13:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd543a0…
07-20 09:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e1cbe…
07-20 08:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x30cf89…
07-20 06:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 20?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf20191…
07-20 04:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x740819…
07-20 02:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9dd321…
07-20 02:04:40	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xae8885…
07-20 01:01:03	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x54591e…
07-19 20:06:30	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1b12f8…
07-19 17:10:43	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa516d8…
07-19 17:09:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x2b2963…
07-19 14:51:37	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5d184…
07-19 13:33:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcba5f1…
07-19 09:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on July 20?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7230ca…
07-19 08:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xc62013…
07-19 04:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on July 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xebde77…
07-19 02:59:45	will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x9d44d2…
07-18 23:58:30	will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x659346…
07-18 01:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 18?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd0cada…
07-18 01:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7c1c0e…
07-17 23:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x46034f…
07-17 20:24:01	will wti reach 90 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe2294b…
07-17 20:13:03	will abnb reach 158 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5c56e7…
07-17 19:20:55	will wti reach 90 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbe9394…
07-17 17:32:27	will abnb reach 158 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb4795f…
07-17 14:20:49	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa1bdeb…
07-17 14:15:22	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa1ceb9…
07-17 14:01:03	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3f3835…
07-17 12:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x127c16…
07-17 12:06:03	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2fb927…
07-17 05:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3d5bfc…
07-17 04:53:46	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x987e6b…
07-17 03:39:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xc4b59d…
07-17 01:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 79°F or below on July 17?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa0bda7…
07-17 01:06:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x219dc4…