Menacing-Toffee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-11 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 29% $-64

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$210	121	121	+0	Down	+$30	05-10 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$100	81	81	+0	Up	+$60	05-11 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$84	161	161	+0	Down	+$44	05-11 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$70	64	64	+0	Down	+$50	05-11 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$55	45	45	+0	Up	+$35	05-11 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$55	67	67	+0	Down	+$35	05-10 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$55	45	45	+0	Down	+$35	05-11 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$45	91	91	+0	Up	+$25	05-10 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$44	108	19	+89	Down	$-16	05-11 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$38	34	34	+0	Down	+$18	05-10 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$35	564	0	+564	Up	$-35	05-11 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$34	89	18	+71	Up	$-6	05-11 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$34	37	37	+0	Up	+$14	05-10 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$30	127	0	+127	Up	$-30	05-11 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$28	279	29	+250	Up	$-12	05-10 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$23	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$20	51	0	+51	Up	$-20	05-11 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$20	536	0	+536	Down	$-20	05-10 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$20	543	0	+543	Up	$-20	05-11 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$20	53	0	+53	Down	$-20	05-11 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$20	57	0	+57	Down	$-20	05-11 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$20	110	0	+110	Up	$-20	05-11 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$20	80	0	+80	Up	$-20	05-11 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$20	136	0	+136	Down	$-20	05-11 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$20	229	0	+229	Down	$-20	05-11 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$11	125	0	+125	Up	$-11	05-11 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$11	59	0	+59	Down	$-11	05-10 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$11	56	0	+56	Up	$-11	05-11 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$11	37	0	+37	Up	$-11	05-11 11:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 18:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7461bc…
05-11 18:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xa26684…
05-11 18:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0x7a232f…
05-11 18:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xcec548…
05-11 18:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x01e4db…
05-11 18:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x179965…
05-11 18:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x90b242…
05-11 16:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x75fa7c…
05-11 16:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xf1f5e9…
05-11 16:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x540a5b…
05-11 16:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa0778d…
05-11 16:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x83bc6c…
05-11 16:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9883ee…
05-11 16:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x1e5bb6…
05-11 16:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x459196…
05-11 16:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x14ca0a…
05-11 15:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x8505a3…
05-11 15:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x912e5f…
05-11 15:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	46	20¢	$9	0x75e946…
05-11 15:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x147b96…
05-11 13:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x24fce6…
05-11 12:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	64	94¢	$60	0x8ce1d5…
05-11 12:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xd14fd0…
05-11 12:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7af2da…
05-11 12:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x7828b4…
05-11 11:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0cffb2…
05-11 11:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xef16a8…
05-11 11:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	23	56¢	$13	0x7d0bbb…
05-11 11:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x69c6f3…
05-11 11:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7da773…
05-11 11:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0xd1318e…
05-11 10:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xa90ac8…
05-11 10:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x1d9746…
05-11 10:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xc24522…
05-11 10:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0x6703bd…
05-11 10:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0f8766…
05-11 10:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	45	98¢	$45	0x55f5f3…
05-11 10:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xd5dd0f…
05-11 10:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x752fdd…
05-11 10:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x0f8633…
05-11 09:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0xfd9689…
05-11 09:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xc463fd…
05-11 09:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x85eff1…
05-11 09:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xb0f162…
05-11 08:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x1227a3…
05-11 08:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x88cb0b…
05-11 08:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	19	71¢	$14	0x067969…
05-11 08:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbb7d03…
05-11 08:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x37eafa…
05-11 08:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x10b093…
05-11 08:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x425137…
05-11 08:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xe6d249…
05-11 08:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x77c97d…
05-11 08:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	192	5¢	$10	0xba0e8c…
05-11 08:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4322e4…
05-11 08:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	161	40¢	$64	0x2be406…
05-11 08:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x61b5e0…
05-11 08:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xa34f36…
05-10 18:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	67	67¢	$45	0x17439e…
05-10 18:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x8a1092…
05-10 18:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xc3d78d…
05-10 18:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x4e4105…
05-10 18:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x9f512d…
05-10 17:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xe111fc…
05-10 17:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	34	80¢	$28	0xc71da9…
05-10 17:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x87b31f…
05-10 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xc9c793…
05-10 16:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	29	29¢	$8	0x47eb50…
05-10 16:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x4a099e…
05-10 11:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	37	64¢	$24	0xcf9f33…
05-10 11:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd0fbc5…
05-10 11:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	19¢	$8	0xb22c8c…
05-10 11:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x825473…
05-10 06:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xc0de61…
05-10 05:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	91	39¢	$35	0x6136ed…
05-10 05:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xda30a0…
05-10 05:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	121	99¢	$120	0xc41404…
05-10 05:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	121	74¢	$90	0xfe624e…
05-10 04:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	304	3¢	$10	0xc20a64…