Unused-Hepatitis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

1,307

Trades

3,579

lifetime

Volume

$681.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$190

Open exposure

$74

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-10 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Other

86% 85% +$12,649

Politics

10% 75% +$8

Tech

2% 80% -$2,906

Crypto

2% 75% +$533

Sports

0% 44% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		+77	$63	96¢	$74	+$11	05-02 23:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	6	$13.9K	14,000	0	+14,000	Yes	+$62	06-18 00:03
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?	6	$13.2K	13,190	0	+13,190	Yes	+$24	07-01 15:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	30	$11.4K	111,665	99,999	+11,666	No	+$570	06-03 22:38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	Yes	+$11	04-08 17:43
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	7	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$10	04-28 23:42
Paramount+ subscribers above 78M in Q1?	1	$8.9K	9,000	0	+9,000	Yes	+$54	05-04 20:25
Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?	1	$8.9K	8,863	0	+8,863	No	+$9	08-06 22:43
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	1	$8.5K	8,500	0	+8,500	Yes	+$8	05-13 13:01
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$8.5K	8,500	0	+8,500	No	+$26	04-30 21:52
mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 03 2026 2pt98	3	$7.9K	6,738	1,199	+5,539	Yes	+$6	02-03 12:13
bfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 2pt19	8	$7.8K	8,468	0	+8,468	No	+$714	04-16 22:47
hok hero esp 2026 01 29	3	$7.6K	7,145	500	+6,645	Hero JiuJing	+$7	01-29 12:32
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	1	$7.5K	7,516	0	+7,516	Yes	+$30	04-21 14:15
will claude opus 4pt7 by anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500 969	3	$7.4K	7,371	0	+7,371	No	+$9	04-17 21:17
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	12	$7.2K	7,254	0	+7,254	No	+$63	04-15 21:02
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	1	$6.6K	6,607	0	+6,607	No	+$7	07-18 19:37
Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	4	$6.4K	6,404	0	+6,404	Yes	+$9	04-24 15:06
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Suplex Team vs Aterion Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division	3	$6.4K	5,000	1,400	+3,600	Aterion Esports	+$9	05-15 02:07
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	38	$6.3K	7,819	3,933	+3,886	No	-$1,894	05-20 17:02
mrx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 1pt02	3	$6.3K	6,286	0	+6,286	Yes	+$8	03-03 12:43
wta amariei jacquem 2026 07 14 match total 23pt5	6	$6.2K	3,275	3,000	+275	Under	+$30	07-15 13:50
usb quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 1pt19	4	$5.7K	5,727	0	+5,727	Yes	+$15	01-20 12:24
coin quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt61	19	$5.6K	5,726	0	+5,726	No	+$136	02-12 23:36
will paradex launch a token on march 5	3	$5.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	+$2	03-05 18:59
will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	8	$4.4K	4,447	0	+4,447	No	+$6	04-14 15:33
Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	3	$4.4K	4,433	0	+4,433	Yes	+$75	04-24 14:37
tfc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 21 2026 1pt1	18	$4.4K	5,101	2,276	+2,825	Yes	-$225	01-21 16:44
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$4.2K	4,173	0	+4,173	No	+$4	06-02 16:22
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Rey vs RRQ Tora - Game 2 Winner	1	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	RRQ Tora	+$4	05-22 14:10
highest temperature in denver on march 24 2026 69forbelow	9	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$6	03-24 18:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 12:40:07	tbph quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt08	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x2c040c…
08-06 22:43:05	Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?	No	BUY	8,863	100¢	$8,854	0x32873f…
08-01 11:53:53	2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?	No	BUY	3,637	100¢	$3,633	0x01480b…
07-29 21:39:20	will microsoft say database during earnings call 20260727154558547	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x84ef14…
07-28 21:36:53	dlb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt67	No	SELL	67	13¢	$9	0xd8de55…
07-28 21:26:22	will there be 20260723192532702	No	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0x6fcfcc…
07-28 21:25:04	will there be 20260723192532702	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xaf881b…
07-28 21:24:08	will there be 20260723192532702	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x821e96…
07-28 15:19:11	will boeing say fraud during earnings call 20260724221853550	No	BUY	362	99¢	$358	0x4e8daa…
07-28 12:06:29	will paypal say stablecoin or stable coin during earnings call 20260724221739510	Yes	SELL	45	64¢	$29	0xe34b48…
07-28 11:50:22	will paypal say stablecoin or stable coin during earnings call 20260724221739510	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xb49d28…
07-28 11:50:20	will paypal say stablecoin or stable coin during earnings call 20260724221739510	Yes	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0xba67c1…
07-28 11:50:17	will paypal say stablecoin or stable coin during earnings call 20260724221739510	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1c06de…
07-28 11:50:16	will paypal say stablecoin or stable coin during earnings call 20260724221739510	Yes	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x0836b5…
07-28 11:50:13	will paypal say stablecoin or stable coin during earnings call 20260724221739510	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x9be7c8…
07-28 11:50:10	will paypal say stablecoin or stable coin during earnings call 20260724221739510	Yes	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x8a2bbc…
07-28 11:50:07	will paypal say stablecoin or stable coin during earnings call 20260724221739510	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xce95c8…
07-28 11:50:04	will paypal say stablecoin or stable coin during earnings call 20260724221739510	Yes	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x0aab40…
07-28 11:49:29	will paypal say stablecoin or stable coin during earnings call 20260724221739510	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xcfb877…
07-28 11:49:26	will paypal say stablecoin or stable coin during earnings call 20260724221739510	Yes	BUY	23	73¢	$17	0xc028ad…
07-28 11:47:10	will paypal say stablecoin or stable coin during earnings call 20260724221739510	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x15a197…
07-28 10:09:32	will sp global spgi q2 rating revenues be above 14pt5b 20260718021704405	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb65d1f…
07-28 10:09:26	will sp global spgi q2 rating revenues be above 14b 20260718021704404	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeb12db…
07-28 10:09:20	will sp global spgi q2 rating revenues be above 12pt5b 20260718021704401	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9e1993…
07-28 10:09:14	will sp global spgi q2 rating revenues be above 13b 20260718021704402	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9bbe24…
07-28 10:09:07	will sp global spgi q2 rating revenues be above 13pt5b 20260718021704403	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0f38c8…
07-27 20:11:01	Welltower (WELL) Q2 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 15%-18%?	Yes	BUY	528	99¢	$520	0x96c010…
07-24 19:02:52	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	743	0¢	$1	0x21fa82…
07-24 19:02:13	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x0e3550…
07-24 19:02:10	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb3c0eb…
07-24 19:02:06	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	245	0¢	$0	0x9c2472…
07-24 13:40:36	will american express say crypto during earnings call 20260717164416065	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe6f44e…
07-24 13:37:18	will american express say wealth during earnings call 20260717164416074	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0xd50fb5…
07-24 13:36:39	will american express say crypto during earnings call 20260717164416065	No	BUY	397	94¢	$375	0x506988…
07-24 13:30:42	will american express say inventory during earnings call 20260717164416068	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x0171bc…
07-24 12:37:42	will american express say restaurant during earnings call 20260717164416063	Yes	BUY	351	99¢	$346	0x8aae41…
07-23 22:31:42	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	420	18¢	$75	0xa8df97…
07-23 21:56:31	will intel say chip during earnings call 20260717163650077	No	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x0e4658…
07-23 21:52:21	will intel say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650073	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x74721c…
07-23 21:52:09	will intel say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650073	No	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0x1c39d0…
07-23 21:48:55	will intel say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650073	No	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x23ad5c…
07-23 21:47:13	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	452	19¢	$85	0x5843f1…
07-23 21:45:58	will intel say chip during earnings call 20260717163650077	No	BUY	248	4¢	$10	0xaaf5f6…
07-23 21:31:45	will intel say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650073	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3fe27a…
07-23 21:22:07	will intel say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650071	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x1b1bd0…
07-23 16:59:07	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	1,121	3¢	$34	0x0378bb…
07-23 16:56:06	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x805f5c…
07-23 16:52:24	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0xd5818b…
07-23 13:00:48	will dow say monopoly during earnings call 20260717163814094	No	BUY	931	97¢	$903	0xe1b167…
07-23 12:41:49	will dow say ai or artificial intelligence during earnings call 20260717163814096	No	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x99082b…
07-23 12:31:46	will dow say capacity during earnings call 20260717163814090	Yes	SELL	1,058	100¢	$1,057	0xe81357…
07-23 12:27:06	will dow say income 10 times during earnings call 20260717163814080	No	BUY	284	96¢	$272	0xa51467…
07-23 12:25:27	will dow say demand 10 times during earnings call 20260717163814083	Yes	BUY	643	98¢	$632	0xfeac6e…
07-23 12:19:42	Will Dow say "Capacity" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	96	93¢	$89	0x14408a…
07-23 12:15:45	Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x7d8421…
07-23 12:11:39	Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xdc32d1…
07-23 12:11:28	Will Dow say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	150	97¢	$145	0x7f5cfd…
07-23 12:03:52	Will Dow say "Win" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0x950c53…
07-23 12:03:49	Will Dow say "Win" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	267	72¢	$192	0x5d47d9…
07-23 11:57:37	Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	259	88¢	$227	0x827b08…
07-23 11:57:24	Will Dow say "Iran" during earnings call?	No	BUY	170	78¢	$132	0xb8bc89…
07-23 11:50:43	Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	379	99¢	$374	0xb7a73b…
07-23 11:50:27	Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	345	99¢	$342	0x49a37e…
07-23 11:50:19	Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4b4b14…
07-23 11:50:06	Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	417	98¢	$408	0x17e1e6…
07-23 11:49:58	Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	322	97¢	$310	0x698b03…
07-23 11:47:06	Will Dow say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x7ea04b…
07-23 11:46:58	Will Dow say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1,230	97¢	$1,188	0xebe870…
07-23 11:45:03	will dow say margin 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814087	Yes	BUY	647	98¢	$638	0xc5145b…
07-23 11:25:01	will dow say capacity during earnings call 20260717163814090	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe6da7c…
07-23 11:24:51	will dow say capacity during earnings call 20260717163814090	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xb1d4f2…
07-23 11:24:30	will dow say capacity during earnings call 20260717163814090	Yes	BUY	1,124	98¢	$1,106	0x804e7f…
07-22 23:37:52	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1,533	100¢	$1,531	0xb53f77…
07-22 22:28:48	will google googl q2 youtube ads revenue be above 10pt6b 20260703213709253	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xd9d01c…
07-22 21:34:39	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0x2e7e35…
07-22 10:38:24	will att t q2 total revenue be above 31pt6b 20260703212929587	No	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0x4d3cff…
07-22 10:33:52	will att t q2 total revenue be above 31pt6b 20260703212929587	No	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x64ad32…
07-22 10:32:58	will att t q2 total revenue be above 32pt2b 20260703212929590	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x44d6b8…
07-22 10:32:54	will att t q2 total revenue be above 32b 20260703212929589	No	BUY	46	94¢	$44	0xa3cfa0…
07-21 21:56:09	will interactive brokers ibkr q2 net interest income be above 1pt025b 20260618172832474	Yes	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0x0a4049…
07-21 20:10:25	cof quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 21 2026 4pt75	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$898	0x20229c…
07-21 20:03:33	will interactive brokers ibkr q2 net interest income be above 975m 20260618172832472	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x1d40bc…
07-20 08:43:18	dlb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x274e1a…
07-20 07:42:45	dlb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xaaafb3…
07-19 15:09:45	dlb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xaa1808…
07-18 19:40:15	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	1,453	100¢	$1,449	0x3569cd…
07-18 19:37:15	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	6,607	100¢	$6,601	0x516b35…
07-17 23:06:45	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x84b5ed…
07-17 22:52:25	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xd3d57e…
07-17 22:28:54	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf4f3c5…
07-17 21:17:48	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	BUY	893	100¢	$892	0x6370bd…
07-17 21:17:39	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 85k at auction 20260713233758305	Yes	BUY	3,411	100¢	$3,408	0x21f241…
07-16 17:42:16	Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xedd5f4…
07-16 17:41:05	Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	BUY	94	31¢	$29	0x64ddc6…
07-16 17:26:13	Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	BUY	94	31¢	$29	0xf3d2a6…
07-16 17:24:04	Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	BUY	94	31¢	$29	0xa5346f…
07-16 16:46:17	will united airlines say boeing during earnings call 20260709145423406	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xdce273…
07-16 16:40:01	will united airlines say internet during earnings call 20260709145423416	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x681ed9…
07-16 15:36:10	will united airlines say disruption during earnings call 20260709145423408	No	BUY	58	97¢	$57	0xdde9ad…
07-16 15:21:13	will united airlines say disruption during earnings call 20260709145423408	No	BUY	24	64¢	$16	0x2ca27c…