Scholarly-Espalier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$180

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$4.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 05-07 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 53% +$180

Politics

8% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$358	351	351	+0	open	—	04-16 22:00
btc updown 5m 1776182700	3	$304	208	201	+7	open	—	04-14 16:09
btc updown 5m 1776367800	4	$279	271	256	+16	open	—	04-16 19:34
btc updown 5m 1776181200	3	$197	176	122	+54	open	—	04-14 15:46
btc updown 5m 1776269100	4	$191	194	184	+10	open	—	04-15 16:10
btc updown 5m 1776268500	2	$185	167	157	+10	open	—	04-15 16:00
btc updown 5m 1776108900	2	$185	143	136	+7	open	—	04-13 19:41
btc updown 5m 1776100500	2	$174	134	128	+6	open	—	04-13 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$165	116	116	+0	Up	+$65	05-06 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$160	309	109	+200	Up	+$56	05-07 14:24
btc updown 5m 1776249300	2	$127	103	98	+5	open	—	04-15 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$127	85	74	+11	Up	+$19	05-06 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$122	214	82	+132	Down	+$20	05-07 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$117	148	56	+93	Up	+$70	05-06 17:39
btc updown 5m 1776269400	2	$113	83	79	+4	open	—	04-15 16:15
btc updown 5m 1776269700	3	$110	221	73	+148	open	—	04-15 16:19
btc updown 5m 1776109800	2	$99	67	65	+2	open	—	04-13 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$89	171	71	+100	Up	+$39	05-07 14:09
btc updown 5m 1776099900	2	$87	83	78	+5	open	—	04-13 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$87	115	65	+50	Down	+$7	05-06 20:44
btc updown 5m 1776367500	3	$82	256	54	+202	open	—	04-16 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$77	52	52	+0	Up	+$27	05-06 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$73	156	37	+119	Down	$-17	05-06 20:48
btc updown 5m 1776104400	2	$62	59	55	+4	open	—	04-13 18:24
btc updown 5m 1776104700	3	$59	78	43	+35	open	—	04-13 18:29
btc updown 5m 1776103200	2	$54	42	40	+2	open	—	04-13 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$53	161	36	+125	Down	+$8	05-06 21:58
btc updown 5m 1776182100	1	$50	156	0	+156	open	—	04-14 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$50	125	0	+125	Down	$-50	05-06 21:10
btc updown 5m 1776376500	1	$50	102	0	+102	open	—	04-16 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 14:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	112	17¢	$19	0x91f0f5…
05-07 14:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x759d61…
05-07 14:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x5023ed…
05-07 14:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xa15c14…
05-07 14:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7c0044…
05-07 14:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0xe93818…
05-07 14:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	82	86¢	$71	0xe653ae…
05-07 14:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	82	48¢	$40	0xb7bdf6…
05-07 14:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x4b260c…
05-07 14:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd308f2…
05-07 14:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6bcfdd…
05-07 14:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x88e307…
05-07 14:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	67	89¢	$60	0x388dc2…
05-07 14:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xb526dc…
05-06 21:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x4b419d…
05-06 21:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	36	85¢	$31	0xcadf79…
05-06 21:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0xc5c79b…
05-06 21:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x40f2c0…
05-06 21:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xea7249…
05-06 21:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xb6ee8f…
05-06 21:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x41f78d…
05-06 21:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	17¢	$8	0x0f0050…
05-06 21:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x589a73…
05-06 21:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x52b4ab…
05-06 20:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb3e0ce…
05-06 20:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6120d3…
05-06 20:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x81f512…
05-06 20:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xbd7ba2…
05-06 20:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x145c30…
05-06 20:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x14871c…
05-06 20:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	37	75¢	$28	0x2967be…
05-06 20:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x90d77a…
05-06 20:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x90d612…
05-06 20:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	65	73¢	$47	0xaa55a4…
05-06 20:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xaf13aa…
05-06 20:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x84ef0e…
05-06 20:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x316ca9…
05-06 17:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x47a648…
05-06 17:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0xcf699d…
05-06 17:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	106	38¢	$40	0x3ddb5f…
05-06 17:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	56	85¢	$47	0x8f71f8…
05-06 17:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x8b1752…
05-06 17:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x060ee7…
05-06 17:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0xb65073…
05-06 17:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x8ac9e0…
05-06 17:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x9e9be5…
04-16 22:10:24	btc updown 5m 1776377400	Up	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0x25b830…
04-16 22:09:48	btc updown 5m 1776377100	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x73ebbb…
04-16 22:09:12	btc updown 5m 1776377100	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd637cb…
04-16 22:07:54	btc updown 5m 1776377100	Up	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x74b5d2…
04-16 22:05:22	btc updown 5m 1776377100	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x392cab…
04-16 22:01:08	btc updown 5m 1776376800	Down	BUY	229	17¢	$40	0x11ed71…
04-16 22:00:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x86544c…
04-16 21:56:16	btc updown 5m 1776376500	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x85d8c0…
04-16 21:55:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	112	45¢	$51	0x8148da…
04-16 21:53:42	btc updown 5m 1776376200	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x6c4eb0…
04-16 21:52:04	btc updown 5m 1776376200	Up	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0xe80445…
04-16 21:51:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	114	45¢	$51	0x733514…
04-16 21:48:08	btc updown 5m 1776375900	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x7ca083…
04-16 21:45:00	btc updown 5m 1776375600	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x28b199…
04-16 21:43:32	btc updown 5m 1776375600	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2c05ed…
04-16 21:35:50	btc updown 5m 1776375300	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xe9cc2e…
04-16 21:34:36	btc updown 5m 1776375000	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x92a264…
04-16 21:34:16	btc updown 5m 1776375000	Up	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x2605dd…
04-16 21:32:54	btc updown 5m 1776375000	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x2a1af1…
04-16 21:32:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x3fc219…
04-16 21:27:00	btc updown 5m 1776374700	Down	BUY	64	22¢	$14	0xfef7ee…
04-16 21:24:00	btc updown 5m 1776374400	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x188a32…
04-16 21:22:16	btc updown 5m 1776374400	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x014f75…
04-16 19:39:38	btc updown 5m 1776368100	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe92bc8…
04-16 19:34:54	btc updown 5m 1776367800	Down	SELL	162	87¢	$140	0x0a575b…
04-16 19:32:30	btc updown 5m 1776367800	Down	BUY	174	6¢	$10	0x0c9f69…
04-16 19:32:24	btc updown 5m 1776367800	Up	SELL	93	95¢	$89	0xa91bc3…
04-16 19:31:08	btc updown 5m 1776367800	Up	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0xc22bb3…
04-16 19:29:42	btc updown 5m 1776367500	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8ae427…
04-16 19:29:30	btc updown 5m 1776367500	Up	SELL	54	94¢	$50	0xbca1b0…
04-16 19:25:38	btc updown 5m 1776367500	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xfefe45…
04-16 19:24:32	btc updown 5m 1776367200	Up	SELL	37	85¢	$32	0x49d331…
04-16 19:20:30	btc updown 5m 1776367200	Up	BUY	39	44¢	$17	0xa83205…
04-16 19:19:16	btc updown 5m 1776366900	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa8fb8e…
04-15 16:29:36	btc updown 5m 1776270300	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x051cc6…
04-15 16:24:26	btc updown 5m 1776270000	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xd20242…
04-15 16:19:26	btc updown 5m 1776269700	Up	SELL	73	97¢	$71	0x7962c1…
04-15 16:19:18	btc updown 5m 1776269700	Down	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0xa4379c…
04-15 16:17:02	btc updown 5m 1776269700	Up	BUY	76	38¢	$29	0x6b19a7…
04-15 16:15:38	btc updown 5m 1776269400	Up	SELL	79	99¢	$79	0xb49635…
04-15 16:12:50	btc updown 5m 1776269400	Up	BUY	83	41¢	$34	0xc701b6…
04-15 16:10:26	btc updown 5m 1776269100	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x095da0…
04-15 16:09:52	btc updown 5m 1776269100	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5cfd48…
04-15 16:09:02	btc updown 5m 1776269100	Up	SELL	132	64¢	$85	0xecb335…
04-15 16:07:08	btc updown 5m 1776269100	Up	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x9e4849…
04-15 16:03:18	btc updown 5m 1776268800	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x36385c…
04-15 16:00:48	btc updown 5m 1776268500	Up	SELL	157	99¢	$155	0x2f8f46…
04-15 15:55:46	btc updown 5m 1776268500	Up	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x5d2e82…
04-15 15:54:52	btc updown 5m 1776268200	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x193c6b…
04-15 15:53:00	btc updown 5m 1776268200	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x53c847…
04-15 10:49:24	btc updown 5m 1776249900	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x66eb84…
04-15 10:41:00	btc updown 5m 1776249300	Up	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0xeaaf6b…
04-15 10:36:14	btc updown 5m 1776249300	Up	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x283c68…
04-15 10:34:02	btc updown 5m 1776249000	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x1ec45a…