Major-Forearm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$663

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

120

Trades

1,368

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-09 22:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 64% $-663

Sports

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		-5	$-2	64¢	$-3	$-1	06-02 03:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$815	445	445	+0	open	—	04-29 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	5	$609	539	354	+185	open	—	04-29 17:15
btc updown 5m 1776273900	5	$494	1,736	1,635	+101	open	—	04-15 17:28
btc updown 5m 1776266700	4	$444	371	359	+12	open	—	04-15 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$406	266	266	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 13:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$400	414	0	+414	Down	$-91	05-09 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$385	252	252	+0	open	—	04-29 17:32
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$381	194	194	+0	open	—	04-25 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$305	222	222	+0	Up	+$65	05-09 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$300	661	0	+661	open	—	05-16 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$299	377	377	+0	open	—	04-29 17:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$287	208	199	+8	open	—	04-28 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$261	199	193	+6	open	—	04-25 02:45
btc updown 5m 1776561600	3	$247	139	137	+2	open	—	04-19 01:25
btc updown 5m 1776432600	2	$236	121	121	+0	open	—	04-17 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$233	127	127	+0	open	—	04-29 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$232	130	111	+19	Down	$-6	05-08 21:49
btc updown 5m 1776393600	4	$231	122	121	+1	open	—	04-17 02:44
btc updown 5m 1776281400	4	$223	120	119	+1	open	—	04-15 19:33
btc updown 5m 1776392100	2	$221	113	113	+0	open	—	04-17 02:18
btc updown 5m 1776561300	2	$220	114	114	+0	open	—	04-19 01:19
btc updown 5m 1776391800	2	$218	118	117	+1	open	—	04-17 02:14
btc updown 5m 1776480900	2	$218	120	119	+1	open	—	04-18 03:00
eth updown 5m 1776875700	3	$214	149	144	+5	open	—	04-22 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$214	132	105	+27	open	—	04-25 02:25
eth updown 5m 1776821100	3	$214	304	245	+59	open	—	04-22 01:29
btc updown 5m 1776381900	2	$214	109	108	+0	open	—	04-16 23:29
btc updown 5m 1776267600	4	$212	130	129	+1	open	—	04-15 15:42
btc updown 5m 1776381600	2	$210	108	108	+0	open	—	04-16 23:24
btc updown 5m 1776471900	2	$209	111	110	+1	open	—	04-18 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:30:58	btc updown 15m 1781044200	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xcdc6fc…
06-09 22:30:58	btc updown 15m 1781044200	Up	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x2e29d9…
06-09 22:30:52	btc updown 15m 1781044200	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x4f8ef9…
06-09 22:30:15	btc updown 15m 1781044200	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x56e5b9…
06-09 22:30:09	btc updown 15m 1781044200	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xf3f386…
06-09 22:30:09	btc updown 15m 1781044200	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x5be03a…
06-09 22:30:07	btc updown 15m 1781044200	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbc6966…
06-09 22:18:07	btc updown 5m 1781043300	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x69b1a5…
06-09 22:14:45	btc updown 5m 1781043300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4147df…
06-09 22:13:16	btc updown 5m 1781043000	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x195faf…
06-09 22:08:42	btc updown 5m 1781043000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6ac034…
06-09 21:35:55	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x1fb6b1…
06-09 20:59:40	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x89b1c4…
06-09 20:59:40	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x876c82…
06-09 20:13:40	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0133a8…
06-09 20:13:30	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x26cf1a…
06-09 20:13:28	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd1708c…
06-09 19:51:18	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xa812aa…
06-09 19:04:10	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x43a5b8…
06-09 18:59:33	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5db937…
06-09 17:00:06	sol updown 15m 1781024400	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb8637f…
06-09 16:47:15	sol updown 15m 1781023500	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdf696c…
06-09 16:40:09	sol updown 15m 1781023500	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2e2fac…
06-09 16:31:37	sol updown 15m 1781022600	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1095e5…
06-09 16:30:06	sol updown 15m 1781022600	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x67c7a3…
06-09 16:15:42	sol updown 15m 1781021700	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1b0dd8…
06-09 16:14:33	sol updown 15m 1781021700	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x89f111…
06-09 16:06:09	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xab479e…
06-09 16:05:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x6f8fed…
06-09 16:05:06	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc23f52…
06-09 16:05:06	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x6b7dbb…
06-09 16:05:06	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4c5783…
06-09 16:02:48	sol updown 15m 1781020800	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9aed91…
06-09 15:59:43	sol updown 15m 1781020800	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc3df09…
06-09 15:56:46	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xadf4de…
06-09 15:45:52	sol updown 15m 1781019900	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x915f0b…
06-09 15:45:03	sol updown 15m 1781019900	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x370752…
06-09 15:32:12	sol updown 15m 1781019000	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0f2a85…
06-09 15:31:36	sol updown 15m 1781019000	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf548a6…
06-09 15:01:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x208a7d…
06-09 14:56:27	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe6ea2c…
06-09 03:02:40	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xb6c711…
06-09 03:02:40	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6c01f9…
06-09 03:02:39	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x83cb07…
06-09 03:02:39	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7116f3…
06-09 03:02:30	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x29d472…
06-09 03:02:28	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x14edbc…
06-09 03:02:27	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x554d57…
06-09 03:02:25	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x07389f…
06-09 03:02:24	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x912450…
06-09 03:02:21	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x73817b…
06-09 03:02:19	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xcbcc18…
06-09 03:01:04	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0xdcd4b6…
06-09 03:01:04	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xc1a240…
06-09 03:01:04	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x728245…
06-09 03:01:00	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc87ecc…
06-09 03:00:54	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x65c00b…
06-09 03:00:51	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x901b70…
06-09 03:00:49	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xefb1df…
06-09 03:00:36	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xa4b8f0…
06-09 02:40:04	sol updown 5m 1780972800	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4b1a0e…
06-09 02:35:10	sol updown 5m 1780972500	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe4ae3c…
06-09 02:35:10	sol updown 5m 1780972500	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xd99233…
06-09 02:35:09	sol updown 5m 1780972500	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5fb25a…
06-09 02:30:09	sol updown 5m 1780972200	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x083761…
06-09 02:30:06	sol updown 5m 1780972200	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3bb1c4…
06-09 02:26:06	sol updown 5m 1780971900	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x489262…
06-09 02:25:06	sol updown 5m 1780971900	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xbd17a3…
06-09 02:25:03	sol updown 5m 1780971900	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8dfa68…
06-09 02:20:16	sol updown 5m 1780971600	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbc8b0f…
06-09 02:20:09	sol updown 5m 1780971600	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x504c05…
06-09 02:20:06	sol updown 5m 1780971600	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x954bfc…
06-09 02:07:48	sol updown 5m 1780970700	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9e511b…
06-09 02:05:04	sol updown 5m 1780970700	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x145a31…
06-09 02:00:33	sol updown 5m 1780970400	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xb42ac9…
06-09 02:00:30	sol updown 5m 1780970400	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa6295f…
06-09 02:00:12	sol updown 5m 1780970400	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xc40a89…
06-09 02:00:12	sol updown 5m 1780970400	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x569f60…
06-09 01:56:33	sol updown 5m 1780970100	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xdc481c…
06-09 01:56:31	sol updown 5m 1780970100	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xe54732…
06-09 01:56:30	sol updown 5m 1780970100	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x46aa71…
06-09 01:55:18	sol updown 5m 1780970100	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0eaaf1…
06-09 01:20:55	btc updown 5m 1780968000	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x4d783a…
06-09 01:20:13	btc updown 5m 1780967700	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0d17f6…
06-09 01:19:39	btc updown 5m 1780967700	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x39c421…
06-09 01:18:57	btc updown 5m 1780968000	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaa84cb…
06-09 01:16:09	btc updown 5m 1780967700	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4fe8be…
06-09 01:13:10	btc updown 5m 1780967700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb873c5…
06-09 00:40:06	sol updown 5m 1780965600	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa2e3df…
06-09 00:35:25	sol updown 5m 1780965300	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x98c912…
06-09 00:30:19	sol updown 5m 1780965000	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcec2fb…
06-09 00:30:03	sol updown 5m 1780965000	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe0d2b9…
06-09 00:25:39	sol updown 5m 1780964700	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x67e04f…
06-09 00:25:39	sol updown 5m 1780964700	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x413e8d…
06-09 00:25:06	sol updown 5m 1780964700	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb6302a…
06-09 00:20:19	sol updown 5m 1780964400	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x87b5f5…
06-09 00:20:16	sol updown 5m 1780964400	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x09333c…
06-09 00:20:09	sol updown 5m 1780964400	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9a9ec3…
06-09 00:15:07	sol updown 5m 1780964100	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xca4d40…
06-09 00:15:04	sol updown 5m 1780964100	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x805059…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	618	$54.1K	6,824	06-09 22:44
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	610	$149.5K	26,067	06-09 22:44
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	597	$404.9K	16,209	06-09 22:45
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	594	$125.9K	21,080	06-09 22:43
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	591	$149.2K	45,846	06-09 22:44
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	590	$144.7K	44,582	06-09 22:44
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	577	$54.0K	15,016	06-09 22:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	562	$1.02M	61,159	06-09 22:44