Trained-Picket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.26K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.23K

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

387

Trades

2,656

lifetime

Volume

$162.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$2.54K

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 10-30 05:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

87% 64% +$8,366

Sports

12% 46% -$1,893

Pop-Culture

2% 52% -$244

Politics

0% 33% +$32

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+2,239	$1,037	55¢	$1.2K	+$183	10-29 17:03
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+1,197	$257	36¢	$425	+$168	10-23 07:28
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+529	$353	74¢	$394	+$41	10-24 16:14
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+1,343	$191	24¢	$326	+$135	10-22 16:57
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+200	-$528	87¢	$173	+$701	10-27 21:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	29	$18.8K	11,568	11,368	+200	open	—	10-27 21:12
No one announced as next James Bond?	28	$3.2K	2,118	2,118	+0	open	—	10-26 17:47
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	39	$2.9K	4,172	2,975	+1,197	open	—	10-23 07:28
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	3	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	08-25 13:53
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	19	$2.5K	3,401	1,966	+1,435	Yes	+$902	09-11 05:02
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	3	$2.4K	8,718	1,144	+7,574	open	—	10-29 16:45
Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	5	$2.2K	1,340	1,340	+0	open	—	10-28 15:38
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	40	$1.9K	2,588	2,588	+0	open	—	10-28 15:50
Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	19	$1.8K	1,546	1,388	+158	Yes	+$145	09-14 22:05
Will "Too Much to Ask" from Ray Gunn be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$1.7K	1,213	798	+415	open	—	10-27 22:31
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	15	$1.6K	1,713	1,713	+0	open	—	09-29 18:24
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	20	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-26 18:02
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$1.5K	1,200	955	+245	open	—	10-24 03:20
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	21	$1.5K	1,925	0	+1,925	open	—	10-27 22:33
Will "Whalefall" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	10	$1.5K	849	849	+0	open	—	10-22 19:58
Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	33	$1.4K	2,364	1,348	+1,016	No	-$405	09-14 16:49
Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	7	$1.4K	777	777	+0	open	—	10-20 20:50
Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?	6	$1.3K	1,239	693	+546	Yes	+$431	09-14 21:59
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?	7	$1.3K	1,000	906	+94	open	—	10-22 07:59
Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	15	$1.3K	1,043	1,043	+0	open	—	10-23 12:21
Will "Beef" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	7	$1.3K	773	551	+222	No	-$12	09-14 22:06
Will "Your God is Sleeping" from Behemoth! be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	5	$1.3K	988	661	+327	open	—	10-29 16:59
Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	9	$1.3K	1,507	1,103	+403	No	-$49	09-14 21:38
Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	8	$1.2K	838	587	+250	open	—	10-29 17:01
Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	31	$1.2K	2,167	606	+1,562	No	-$540	09-14 16:49
Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	11	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	10-22 21:43
Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	6	$1.1K	1,688	0	+1,688	No	+$606	09-09 13:58
will the drama opening weekend box office be greater than 10m	5	$1.1K	560	560	+0	Yes	+$57	04-10 17:35
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	41	$1.0K	2,239	0	+2,239	open	—	10-29 17:03
nba okc den 2026 04 10	40	$1.0K	1,451	0	+1,451	Nuggets	+$420	04-09 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 05:16:16	Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xe0b78b…
10-29 17:03:05	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0xed398d…
10-29 17:03:05	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x982408…
10-29 17:01:14	Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	228	89¢	$204	0x1e05c4…
10-29 16:59:52	Will "Your God is Sleeping" from Behemoth! be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	343	86¢	$294	0x2f4345…
10-29 16:45:55	Will Dune: Messiah have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xd2c014…
10-29 16:45:55	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$14	0xb45f1d…
10-29 16:45:55	Will Dune: Messiah have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$2	0x421975…
10-29 16:45:55	Will Dune: Messiah have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x40f643…
10-29 16:45:23	Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	7,574	7¢	$530	0xcfb00b…
10-29 16:44:04	Will Dune: Messiah have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$26	0xfec3c8…
10-29 09:53:55	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	120	70¢	$84	0xcadd61…
10-29 08:34:59	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x33360c…
10-29 06:37:35	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	49	48¢	$24	0xd8c97c…
10-29 06:37:35	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x06cb1e…
10-29 03:51:16	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	103	27¢	$28	0xa697dc…
10-29 01:37:38	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x891f47…
10-28 20:28:37	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x962241…
10-28 18:45:05	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	51	12¢	$6	0x17879f…
10-28 18:44:13	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x51e885…
10-28 18:44:11	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x8cfbc2…
10-28 18:29:28	Will "Ebenezer" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	134	28¢	$38	0xb1f848…
10-28 18:27:46	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x24cfb6…
10-28 16:30:19	Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xd8daef…
10-28 16:30:16	Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	101	53¢	$54	0x60386e…
10-28 16:26:13	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xf28e4f…
10-28 16:26:13	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xd4106d…
10-28 16:26:13	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x5d1346…
10-28 16:26:13	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x4f341d…
10-28 16:26:13	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x044b10…
10-28 16:15:20	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0fdb08…
10-28 15:50:17	Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	449	46¢	$205	0x6cc357…
10-28 15:38:13	Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1,262	86¢	$1,080	0x720c61…
10-28 15:37:29	Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x1c1ff0…
10-28 15:37:19	Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x7f61fb…
10-28 15:04:49	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	97	27¢	$26	0xf230b3…
10-28 13:14:31	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x1278b9…
10-28 13:05:10	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	28	48¢	$14	0x202229…
10-28 09:53:46	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x77c6b0…
10-28 09:29:35	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	112	80¢	$89	0xce1747…
10-28 09:29:35	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x82b9e2…
10-28 04:54:29	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x781973…
10-28 03:49:07	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xa4f885…
10-28 01:31:06	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	38	80¢	$31	0xfb79bb…
10-27 23:18:15	Will "Ebenezer" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	321	47¢	$152	0x47731e…
10-27 23:17:59	Will "Ebenezer" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	353	65¢	$230	0x417628…
10-27 23:05:32	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x8d27ec…
10-27 22:54:06	Will "The Cat in the Hat" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	222	56¢	$125	0xd79f3a…
10-27 22:48:05	Will "Wicker" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	92	64¢	$58	0xa9bdc0…
10-27 22:33:41	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xecbd2f…
10-27 22:31:44	Will "Too Much to Ask" from Ray Gunn be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	250	92¢	$229	0x0d3191…
10-27 21:49:35	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	251	76¢	$191	0xbcd37a…
10-27 21:44:03	Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x38e466…
10-27 21:26:15	Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xe83b3a…
10-27 21:18:05	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xe8b08d…
10-27 21:12:36	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xe766b1…
10-27 21:12:30	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x0b436e…
10-27 21:12:27	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	3,496	88¢	$3,092	0xc9bdff…
10-27 21:03:44	Will "Your God is Sleeping" from Behemoth! be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	318	91¢	$290	0x36a907…
10-27 21:03:12	Will "How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	175	79¢	$138	0x7680d0…
10-27 21:02:29	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	73	76¢	$55	0x7e9b30…
10-27 05:39:56	Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	49	15¢	$7	0xfe4dc5…
10-27 05:05:24	Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x13863e…
10-27 03:48:00	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xff7b0d…
10-27 03:47:48	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xd980de…
10-26 22:18:15	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x41659d…
10-26 21:39:47	Will Kate O'Flynn win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xca5275…
10-26 21:39:39	Will Kate O'Flynn win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xa3bb59…
10-26 20:45:29	Will Kate O'Flynn be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	95	25¢	$24	0x312d4f…
10-26 18:02:05	Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	SELL	817	81¢	$663	0x1b9a22…
10-26 17:49:33	Will "Your God is Sleeping" from Behemoth! be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	822	68¢	$562	0xf12717…
10-26 17:47:30	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	618	82¢	$508	0xe6baf8…
10-26 17:43:32	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x972ac8…
10-26 17:42:39	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	251	33¢	$83	0x3a2e2a…
10-26 17:33:12	Will Obsession win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	55	92¢	$50	0x2592f2…
10-26 17:23:59	Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x04da12…
10-26 17:18:56	Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	507	73¢	$370	0x6aa959…
10-26 17:16:30	Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	300	68¢	$202	0xd9ca30…
10-26 17:12:06	Will Dakota Johnson be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	75	94¢	$71	0x8b68bb…
10-26 16:58:06	Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	141	82¢	$116	0x0c64c1…
10-26 16:58:06	Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	140	83¢	$116	0x09fe52…
10-26 16:55:42	Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	303	79¢	$239	0x20f0f1…
10-26 16:48:14	Will "Wuthering Heights" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	80	56¢	$45	0xeb2646…
10-26 16:42:35	Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xe19497…
10-26 16:40:24	Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	240	31¢	$74	0x2d1a27…
10-26 16:39:32	Will Wuthering Heights win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x03896a…
10-26 16:31:41	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xbfffaf…
10-26 16:28:38	Will "When I'm Home" from The Odyssey be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$77	0xcf59dd…
10-26 14:59:54	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc22450…
10-26 14:56:38	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xb0065c…
10-26 14:56:35	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	978	87¢	$847	0x4f7fa2…
10-26 14:54:53	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0xc3133d…
10-26 14:45:05	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x2da37e…
10-26 14:40:14	Will "Too Much to Ask" from Ray Gunn be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x722cbe…
10-26 13:44:56	Will Scarlett Johansson be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	252	94¢	$238	0xbb2054…
10-26 13:43:33	Will Peter Farrelly be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	101	92¢	$93	0x0f61d8…
10-26 13:39:29	Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	110	95¢	$104	0x809e1c…
10-26 13:37:54	Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	36	89¢	$32	0x8151ec…
10-26 13:36:39	Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	251	94¢	$235	0xfb30b3…
10-26 13:03:42	Will "The Odyssey" receive between 14 and 15 Oscar nominations?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x5d6567…