Regal-Gift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

301

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$3.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-14 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 237 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$6

Politics

2% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	+$0	11-14 17:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 06:57
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 05:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-13 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 10?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-10 04:28
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 9?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-09 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 7?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-07 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 6?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-07 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 6?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-06 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-06 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 5?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-05 11:16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-05 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	05-04 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 02:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:16
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:50
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 30c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-06 09:35
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-05 08:46
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 17:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60c662…
11-12 04:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46b939…
11-10 10:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd65b66…
11-08 14:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb69f63…
11-07 12:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on November 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0630e…
11-06 09:22:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c25fe…
11-04 04:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17ef9e…
11-03 17:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c2f58…
11-02 06:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78e762…
10-31 15:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3a2a4…
10-30 14:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63e62d…
10-29 17:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x884027…
10-29 09:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbfc06d…
10-28 08:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f9a6d…
10-27 10:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b14be…
10-26 09:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35f2aa…
10-24 11:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4165b1…
10-22 10:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfeefb1…
10-20 08:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4145fa…
10-19 09:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47b0b8…
10-18 10:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05c667…
10-17 15:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9353e3…
10-16 14:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x527576…
10-15 14:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa91b03…
10-14 10:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe547e3…
10-13 10:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4244d…
10-12 10:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc14e5e…
10-11 09:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa0246…
10-08 12:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9943fb…
10-07 15:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd53c01…
10-06 15:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cf504…
10-05 08:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc41b59…
10-03 09:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x520552…
10-02 14:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64ed4b…
10-01 09:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1624bd…
09-30 14:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1e2ec…
09-30 03:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x511e65…
09-28 10:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7f9f1…
09-27 09:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x264e8b…
09-25 16:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x955717…
09-24 09:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdacf5…
09-23 10:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f5793…
09-22 08:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x533981…
09-21 09:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x925fd2…
09-20 05:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa001ae…
09-19 09:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d5605…
09-18 07:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ca4a2…
09-17 04:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb07163…
09-16 08:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa49e1…
09-15 10:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37e7eb…
09-14 09:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed0b92…
09-13 03:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5d8d7…
09-11 09:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7a354…
09-10 09:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x111a31…
09-09 02:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd4106…
09-08 06:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x097683…
09-07 08:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54bec3…
09-06 11:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fd284…
09-05 06:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfc939…
09-04 01:03:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6183f…
09-02 07:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x524cc6…
08-30 14:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ff468…
08-29 09:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e07ed…
08-28 09:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2451c4…
08-27 09:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c5908…
08-26 08:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8cce9b…
08-25 09:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x104a65…
08-24 15:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0f532…
08-24 01:16:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeaba52…
08-22 09:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6cbc90…
08-21 08:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfae9e1…
08-20 09:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9603f9…
08-18 08:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32cbb7…
08-17 08:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a80a7…
08-16 14:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b4a23…
08-15 16:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e29dc…
08-14 07:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26af5b…
08-13 09:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea0500…
08-12 09:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb3811…
08-11 07:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac48cd…
08-10 08:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b70df…
08-09 07:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd53f73…
08-08 07:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x115c8e…
08-07 08:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x114715…
08-06 08:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x378007…
08-05 08:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd924bd…
08-04 08:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x973041…
08-03 07:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89e384…
08-02 06:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x391256…
08-01 07:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xface12…
07-31 14:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ee646…
07-30 07:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48432c…
07-29 07:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1e0e4…
07-28 07:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x218683…
07-27 09:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x623ca5…
07-26 08:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00ca6d…
07-25 09:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe70413…
07-24 13:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x832cc8…
07-23 08:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19c2f1…
07-22 02:13:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1527e…