Lone-Flesh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$126

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-09 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 36% $-6

Politics

22% 0% $-10

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	8	$10	5,433	0	+5,433	Yes	$-10	05-09 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$9	8	8	+0	Up	+$7	05-08 17:15
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	3	$8	125	125	+0	open	—	05-09 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$6	39	3	+36	Up	$-0	05-08 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$5	11	3	+8	Down	$-3	05-08 19:29
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$4	104	104	+0	open	—	05-08 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 17:10
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$4	47	47	+0	open	—	05-09 10:42
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$3	21	21	+0	open	—	05-09 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$3	5	2	+3	Down	$-1	05-08 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$2	31	0	+31	Down	$-2	05-08 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$2	42	0	+42	Up	$-2	05-08 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$2	7	0	+7	Up	$-2	05-08 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$2	23	0	+23	Down	$-2	05-08 17:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 13:03
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	2	$2	27	27	+0	Yes	$-0	05-09 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$2	13	0	+13	Down	$-2	05-08 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-01 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-08 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 13:29:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0xfb0740…
05-09 10:42:29	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	47	3¢	$2	0xfdec0f…
05-09 06:49:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x182f5e…
05-09 06:47:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x8ac3da…
05-09 06:47:18	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	125	3¢	$4	0xb58ca4…
05-09 06:47:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x620914…
05-09 06:45:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x97ba63…
05-09 06:44:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xf17b42…
05-09 05:57:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x967ad3…
05-09 05:17:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xb57327…
05-09 05:15:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2a38e0…
05-09 03:22:40	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0xaaf8cb…
05-09 03:07:01	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x43b0ca…
05-09 03:03:39	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x8defa1…
05-09 03:03:22	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa22ba2…
05-09 02:56:13	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x1db97f…
05-08 20:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6b4cb4…
05-08 20:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x775182…
05-08 20:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x12d0e7…
05-08 20:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9165aa…
05-08 20:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb1cadd…
05-08 19:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x68a192…
05-08 19:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x72f787…
05-08 19:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb9ec85…
05-08 19:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2edc10…
05-08 19:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x915639…
05-08 19:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x271ae8…
05-08 19:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x005c3d…
05-08 19:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x93c630…
05-08 19:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfbd412…
05-08 19:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfb996a…
05-08 19:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x657433…
05-08 19:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x98153a…
05-08 19:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xbac692…
05-08 19:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x802036…
05-08 19:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8fedc7…
05-08 18:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd319ac…
05-08 17:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xf93888…
05-08 17:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x10705d…
05-08 17:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe1ccbb…
05-08 17:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd34fac…
05-08 17:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x650eb5…
05-08 17:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb8791d…
05-08 17:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0f7498…
05-08 17:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x15af64…
05-08 17:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4ce343…
05-08 17:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd01f22…
05-08 17:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5d4899…
05-08 17:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1c990e…
05-08 17:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x380b43…
05-08 17:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7d51b9…
05-08 17:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0ead0a…
05-08 17:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7d1d75…
05-08 17:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x57e078…
05-08 17:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe0e2e5…
05-08 16:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcbd8c2…
05-08 16:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4b0ac5…
05-08 16:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x385abe…
05-08 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x8d8983…
05-08 15:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xaef7b6…
05-08 15:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa93e13…
05-08 15:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x82f9b1…
05-08 07:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4dbf1c…
05-08 07:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbd4281…
05-08 07:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3faeb7…
05-08 06:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe34961…
05-08 03:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4521fb…
05-08 03:42:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x81db0e…
05-08 03:38:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x997831…
05-08 03:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc7851c…
05-08 03:32:47	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x6548f8…
05-08 03:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe53dc9…
05-08 03:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd6733…
05-08 03:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x06aaf6…
05-08 03:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2a7e09…
05-08 03:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x53ec88…
05-08 03:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x433629…
05-08 03:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd95f63…
05-08 03:08:37	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x188dbc…
05-01 13:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfa734d…
05-01 13:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8c8b1c…
05-01 13:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7403ee…
05-01 13:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x84f2b1…
05-01 13:20:32	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x478cfc…
05-01 13:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0b0fb1…
05-01 13:12:20	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	63	3¢	$2	0x7c27f2…
05-01 13:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x225b62…
05-01 13:03:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xabdd6b…
05-01 12:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe70da9…
05-01 12:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5427f7…
05-01 06:42:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x976fa0…
04-30 16:04:28	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x2a0bf3…
04-30 15:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc863f6…