Twin-Semiconductor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.53K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

902

Trades

1,856

lifetime

Volume

$88.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 09-07 05:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

65% 39% -$340

Sports

15% 45% -$1,934

Politics

11% 70% +$362

Crypto

9% 63% +$386

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	9	$6.3K	3,912	3,912	+0	Yes	+$321	04-12 23:23
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	2	$6.1K	3,335	3,324	+11	No	-$51	04-28 04:38
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	12	$4.9K	4,248	4,248	+0	Yes	-$1,036	04-12 23:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	7	$4.5K	2,709	2,709	+0	Yes	+$185	04-12 23:26
atp izquier rodiono 2026 04 09	2	$4.4K	2,248	2,246	+2	Jurij Rodionov	+$75	04-10 14:13
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	1	$2.6K	3,033	0	+3,033	Yes	+$433	06-07 05:19
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	5	$2.6K	2,497	1,466	+1,030	Yes	+$390	06-21 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$2.5K	2,612	0	+2,612	Up	+$65	04-26 01:15
mlb mil col 2026 06 06	1	$1.7K	2,431	0	+2,431	Milwaukee Brewers	+$681	06-06 17:28
nba okc lac 2026 04 08	3	$1.7K	872	871	+1	Thunder	+$30	04-09 05:02
mlb mil oak 2026 06 10	2	$1.6K	2,118	0	+2,118	Athletics	-$1,560	06-11 01:47
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	5	$1.4K	820	813	+6	Michigan Wolverines	+$212	04-07 03:48
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	4	$1.4K	1,670	657	+1,012	Yes	-$30	06-14 06:04
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	4	$1.3K	847	847	+0	No	+$197	04-13 15:01
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastian Baez	3	$1.3K	736	736	+0	Sebastian Baez	+$149	05-06 10:45
nba orl det 2026 04 19	2	$1.1K	1,220	1,198	+22	Magic	+$133	04-20 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$888	931	0	+931	Up	+$43	04-26 04:43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	2	$787	438	438	+0	Alexander Blockx	+$87	05-07 14:18
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere	2	$689	390	390	+0	Lanlana Tararudee	+$89	05-05 07:02
mlb nyy tb 2026 04 12	2	$632	326	326	+1	Tampa Bay Rays	+$19	04-12 20:18
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$604	370	370	+0	Yes	+$4	06-04 07:06
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	2	$585	345	345	+0	Yes	-$15	04-12 22:28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Tomas Barrios	2	$495	295	295	+0	Daniel Merida Aguilar	+$95	05-05 11:02
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	4	$455	414	414	+0	No	-$95	06-11 03:47
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	3	$445	446	446	+0	Yes	-$155	04-13 01:53
Wuxi: Jason Jung vs Andre Ilagan	2	$441	241	241	+0	Andre Ilagan	+$41	05-05 07:03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng	2	$430	352	352	+0	Qinwen Zheng	-$70	05-05 11:05
Wuxi: Rio Noguchi vs Petr Bar Biryukov	2	$424	225	225	+0	Rio Noguchi	+$24	05-05 07:03
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs	2	$380	483	0	+483	Shanxi Loongs	-$380	05-07 07:24
mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20	2	$377	547	547	+0	Cincinnati Reds	-$323	06-20 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 05:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xbebca4…
09-07 05:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x2a6649…
09-07 05:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x04614c…
09-07 05:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x11d673…
09-07 05:56:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xbbfea4…
09-06 23:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x070b3c…
09-06 23:42:21	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x829ba9…
09-06 16:41:15	Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x4ec9c0…
09-06 16:01:58	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x4903df…
09-06 15:27:31	Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x040b4b…
09-06 15:27:27	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x95e7f8…
09-06 14:53:06	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x87b4d5…
09-06 14:52:58	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0xedaaf7…
09-06 14:49:40	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdf6ed6…
09-06 14:49:09	Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfe058e…
09-06 14:48:57	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd734e3…
09-06 14:48:40	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 4°C or below on September 7?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x53cafc…
09-06 14:48:27	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x82bc33…
09-06 14:48:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfebfa2…
09-06 14:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x54615b…
09-06 14:47:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2c15bc…
09-06 14:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfe34b1…
09-06 14:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc17153…
09-06 14:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x26602d…
09-06 14:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa9dee0…
09-06 14:45:10	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd25a69…
09-06 14:45:01	Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb978f9…
09-06 07:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x55316b…
09-06 02:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x77cac8…
09-06 01:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4ebb36…
09-06 01:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x496a1b…
09-06 01:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x424991…
09-06 01:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x73636b…
09-06 01:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x71112f…
09-06 00:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xa2e8a8…
09-06 00:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x22a8b6…
09-06 00:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfdac60…
09-06 00:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc75e53…
09-05 22:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9af797…
09-05 22:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe2b6d2…
09-05 21:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on September 6?	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xbd1b55…
09-05 21:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3915ff…
09-05 21:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8f60d7…
09-05 21:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8b7ec5…
09-05 20:25:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8f5f91…
09-05 20:23:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2fd6df…
09-05 20:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x05429c…
09-05 20:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4a669c…
08-22 23:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 23?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x2908ef…
08-22 23:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 23?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xf704e2…
08-22 23:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xfc5380…
08-22 23:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 23?	No	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x5d4749…
08-22 23:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x0d3162…
08-22 23:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 23?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x4e39a5…
08-22 23:18:12	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C or below on August 24?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5e1823…
08-22 23:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x5e06cf…
08-22 23:18:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 23?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xdbf932…
08-22 23:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 23?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xfc603e…
08-22 23:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 23?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x16ad1a…
08-22 23:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23?	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x44a465…
08-22 23:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 23?	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xb01eea…
08-22 23:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 24?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x2b6f3f…
08-22 23:17:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xef246d…
08-22 22:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 23?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd3b47e…
08-22 22:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 23?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9cb16a…
08-22 22:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xebf73b…
08-22 22:32:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 23?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe3adf8…
08-22 22:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 23?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf9db0d…
08-22 22:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5d33d4…
08-22 22:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 23?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdb53af…
08-22 22:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd22fd1…
08-22 22:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x48310e…
08-22 22:32:24	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x48b620…
08-22 22:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 22?	No	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0x013bd0…
08-22 21:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x32f582…
08-22 21:36:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x9232d9…
08-22 21:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 22?	Yes	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0x75fc8d…
08-22 21:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 24?	No	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0x05de0f…
08-22 21:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 23?	No	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0xfcd512…
08-22 21:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 22?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x2ae82d…
08-22 21:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 22?	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x2826fa…
08-22 21:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa9a0fe…
08-22 21:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xbf3a3e…
08-22 21:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 22?	No	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x75c8b1…
08-22 21:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x4e7b67…
08-22 21:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 23?	No	SELL	17	61¢	$11	0xc0a31e…
08-22 21:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x94bfef…
08-22 21:24:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x2d0c44…
08-22 21:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 22?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x1eb455…
08-22 21:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 22?	Yes	SELL	33	43¢	$14	0x2308bc…
08-22 21:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 23?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xce198f…
08-22 21:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x3e80ab…
08-22 21:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 23?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xee77f6…
08-22 21:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x40b46c…
08-22 21:09:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa78f2a…
08-22 21:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x37596c…
08-22 21:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xe18a6d…
08-22 21:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 22?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0xea3806…
08-22 21:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 22?	No	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x278e5b…
08-22 21:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xd3bda1…