Ethical-Woodshed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-12 13:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 100% +$2

Other

29% 92% -$3

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	06-08 09:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-23 06:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 1?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	06-01 09:44
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-07 11:27
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-23 12:31
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 11c	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-03 09:26
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-10 09:59
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-04 10:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	05-13 07:04
ethereum above 2600 on april 18	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-18 07:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	05-17 10:47
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-30 12:04
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 8	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-08 06:12
bitcoin above 66k on march 14	1	$88	88	+88	Yes	+$0	03-14 06:47
bitcoin above 80k on march 23	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-22 10:50
solana above 40 on march 1	1	$88	88	+88	Yes	+$0	03-01 07:36
ethereum above 2400 on march 20	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-20 06:21
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 380 399	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-16 12:49
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 4	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-04 06:41
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-10 12:04
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-26 09:40
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	1	$87	87	+87	Yes	+$0	01-18 11:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 24	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	01-24 03:23
ethereum above 2900 on january 4	1	$87	87	+87	Yes	+$0	01-04 07:29
bitcoin above 76k on february 8	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	02-08 09:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	01-13 12:58
bitcoin above 100k on january 9	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	01-08 11:58
bitcoin above 92k on february 2	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	02-01 11:18
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$87	87	+87	Yes	+$0	01-30 11:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 13:40:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d1509…
09-12 13:37:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0xbc1ea6…
08-01 09:40:15	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3fce4d…
06-08 09:23:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xebe0f4…
06-01 09:44:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 1?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xb091c6…
05-23 06:35:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x5a1122…
05-17 10:47:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xba096d…
05-13 07:04:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x933711…
05-07 11:27:17	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x41eb4b…
05-04 10:43:58	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xec0b6e…
04-26 09:29:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x65b5dd…
04-23 12:31:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xa905d4…
04-18 07:56:46	ethereum above 2600 on april 18	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xa7e917…
04-15 07:49:58	highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 14c	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x201b61…
04-10 09:59:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x8f47eb…
04-03 09:26:51	highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 11c	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x462219…
03-30 12:04:18	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x5f69c7…
03-26 09:40:23	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa21383…
03-22 10:50:23	bitcoin above 80k on march 23	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x0cd61b…
03-20 06:21:55	ethereum above 2400 on march 20	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x63bf65…
03-16 12:49:39	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 380 399	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x156b97…
03-14 06:47:37	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xcb2df8…
03-10 12:04:33	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa53c62…
03-08 06:12:39	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 8	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x711ee6…
03-04 06:41:21	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 4	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x765f07…
03-01 07:36:51	solana above 40 on march 1	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xdecd95…
02-08 09:26:47	bitcoin above 76k on february 8	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xae388c…
02-01 11:18:28	bitcoin above 92k on february 2	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xa7ee23…
01-30 11:01:54	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x84ffb7…
01-24 03:23:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 24	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xd52e9f…
01-18 11:43:14	bitcoin above 86k on january 19	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xeac9c0…
01-13 12:58:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xb30c58…
01-08 11:58:31	bitcoin above 100k on january 9	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x03aefd…
01-04 07:29:51	ethereum above 2900 on january 4	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xddcfcc…