Bleak-Transfer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$243

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

13,115

Trades

36,915

lifetime

Volume

$215.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-04 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$243

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 617 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	10	$400	485	436	+48	Up	+$16	08-25 08:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:30 UTC	9	$371	355	355	+0	Down	+$41	08-25 07:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 08:10 UTC	11	$367	527	261	+266	Up	-$107	08-25 08:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 08:05 UTC	18	$297	291	291	+0	Down	+$28	08-14 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 08:05 UTC	10	$297	392	194	+198	Up	-$90	08-25 08:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:35 UTC	30	$292	300	0	+300	Up	+$8	06-12 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:05 UTC	28	$275	280	0	+280	Up	+$5	06-12 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:55 UTC	13	$260	341	175	+166	Down	-$6	08-20 17:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 00:30 UTC	45	$219	225	0	+225	Down	+$6	06-27 00:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 12:40 UTC	1	$214	315	0	+315	Up	-$214	08-09 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 08:00 UTC	16	$210	286	286	+0	Up	+$24	08-14 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:25 UTC	10	$196	173	173	+0	Down	+$70	08-25 06:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 06:30 UTC	39	$192	195	0	+195	Up	+$3	06-27 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:20 UTC	1	$187	246	0	+246	Up	+$59	08-13 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:30 UTC	4	$184	121	121	+0	Down	+$57	08-25 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:40 UTC	4	$183	209	209	+0	Down	+$41	08-25 06:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:05 UTC	37	$180	185	0	+185	Down	+$5	06-24 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:00 UTC	70	$179	350	0	+350	Down	-$14	06-09 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:45 UTC	16	$176	175	150	+25	Up	+$23	08-20 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 11:05 UTC	36	$175	180	0	+180	Down	+$5	06-27 11:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 19:00 UTC	2	$166	200	0	+200	Down	+$14	09-14 19:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:50 UTC	5	$162	125	105	+20	Down	+$65	08-28 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 11:00 UTC	2	$159	114	114	+0	Up	+$62	08-09 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:45 UTC	10	$158	227	159	+68	Down	+$64	08-25 06:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 21:45 UTC	34	$156	170	0	+170	Down	+$14	06-28 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 08:20 UTC	11	$156	300	159	+141	Down	+$1	08-14 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC	43	$155	215	0	+215	Up	-$155	06-30 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:00 UTC	2	$149	80	80	+0	Down	+$4	08-12 06:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 22:30 UTC	15	$148	150	0	+150	Down	+$2	06-12 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:05 UTC	5	$145	101	91	+10	Up	+$36	08-28 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 03:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7970fc…
11-04 03:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xeb8f57…
11-04 03:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xccce28…
11-04 03:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xd6ec57…
11-04 03:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0c962c…
11-04 03:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x327b7b…
11-04 03:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x73f371…
11-04 03:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x1eb0d6…
11-04 03:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe6d8e7…
11-04 03:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x16ba2b…
11-04 03:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9776ab…
11-04 03:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x37c3b5…
11-04 03:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7740a7…
11-04 03:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x966b71…
11-04 03:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xebbb37…
11-04 03:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x605ac2…
11-04 03:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3c4d03…
11-04 03:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd12640…
11-04 03:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xd907ff…
11-04 03:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x13329b…
11-04 02:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xd608ac…
11-04 02:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4d9d50…
11-04 02:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd8b898…
11-04 02:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa2eea0…
11-04 02:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x396b10…
11-04 02:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6504df…
11-04 02:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8ea57f…
11-04 02:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x1866db…
11-04 02:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9f5790…
11-04 02:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x53f7e7…
11-04 02:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x581d42…
11-04 02:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0c7a55…
11-04 02:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x010714…
11-04 02:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4f3507…
11-04 02:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc8ea8e…
11-04 02:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x581bed…
11-04 02:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x749ae9…
11-04 02:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbcb9aa…
11-04 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe32aea…
11-04 02:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa5b4f5…
11-04 01:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe6f726…
11-04 01:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x32c890…
11-04 01:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa8a1e5…
11-04 01:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xffac91…
11-04 01:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x77a1bb…
11-04 01:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5c11fd…
11-04 01:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x295614…
11-04 01:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbeb8cb…
11-04 01:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2d7904…
11-04 01:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x424fdf…
11-04 01:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4dd5a6…
11-04 01:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf56c6a…
11-04 01:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0ec533…
11-04 01:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5f783c…
11-04 01:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7a5b90…
11-04 01:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x67ee02…
11-04 01:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4c023d…
11-04 01:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xeeebd7…
11-04 00:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x69899c…
11-04 00:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x35745a…
11-04 00:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe2d13c…
11-04 00:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xaff19f…
11-04 00:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7cbadb…
11-04 00:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbd07ac…
11-04 00:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8226e3…
11-04 00:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x575246…
11-04 00:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x07ccb4…
11-04 00:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf4c972…
11-04 00:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x157f41…
11-04 00:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbfd50b…
11-04 00:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x3d3b01…
11-04 00:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xa71c62…
11-04 00:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xced2d0…
11-04 00:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x83117a…
11-03 23:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf419d3…
11-03 23:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0ae6d3…
11-03 23:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x642210…
11-03 23:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x4be932…
11-03 23:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2027a0…
11-03 23:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9f7c6a…
11-03 23:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3703d7…
11-03 23:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb2416e…
11-03 23:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xf30864…
11-03 23:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x94ff83…
11-03 23:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x433782…
11-03 23:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa0abfe…
11-03 23:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xab2f6e…
11-03 23:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x286a07…
11-03 23:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x620a6d…
11-03 23:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x169bcd…
11-03 23:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x964c0f…
11-03 23:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb62439…
11-03 23:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc00466…
11-03 23:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2e2489…
11-03 21:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1c23fd…
11-03 21:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8ebb2a…
11-03 21:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xca15aa…
11-03 21:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc9f612…
11-03 21:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe3314e…
11-03 21:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbbb236…