Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 02-20 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

61% 83% +$220

Politics

23% 71% -$98

Tech

14% 43% -$247

Crypto

2% 100% +$19

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	7	$1.2K	1,342	1,342	+0	No	+$163	02-16 13:26
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	No	+$1	02-16 06:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$440	267	267	+0	Yes	+$29	02-14 12:49
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	3	$424	260	260	+0	No	+$24	02-16 06:01
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	2	$405	212	212	+0	No	+$5	02-16 06:02
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 14	2	$303	327	0	+327	No	+$25	02-14 13:57
will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	10	$254	310	310	+0	No	-$46	01-27 22:52
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$224	127	127	+0	Yes	-$5	02-07 05:56
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	2	$218	120	120	+0	No	+$18	02-20 04:24
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$209	109	109	+0	No	+$9	02-14 05:48
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$174	180	0	+180	No	+$6	01-25 15:15
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$171	174	0	+174	Yes	+$3	01-24 13:07
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$157	90	90	+0	No	+$5	01-27 12:29
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$107	161	0	+161	Yes	-$107	02-19 00:13
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	4	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	01-27 13:18
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 28	1	$100	202	0	+202	Yes	-$100	02-14 13:58
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 18	1	$100	128	0	+128	Yes	-$100	02-14 13:57
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 22	1	$100	182	0	+182	Yes	-$100	02-14 13:58
bitcoin above 80k on february 3	1	$100	119	0	+119	No	+$19	02-03 05:26
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	1	$96	100	0	+100	No	+$4	01-27 13:09
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	2	$94	100	0	+100	No	+$6	01-27 13:17
will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	1	$76	94	0	+94	Yes	+$18	02-12 14:33
gpt 5pt3 released by january 31 2026	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	01-27 12:03
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-24 12:30
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 20	2	$17	12	12	+0	No	-$3	02-19 00:12
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	01-27 13:04
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	01-18 04:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-20 04:24:32	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	SELL	120	98¢	$118	0xa6ab30…
02-19 00:13:00	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x2dda52…
02-19 00:12:36	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 20	Yes	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x1b2c30…
02-16 13:26:03	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	SELL	1,342	52¢	$698	0xb4524a…
02-16 06:02:11	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	No	SELL	212	97¢	$205	0x637479…
02-16 06:01:39	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	SELL	260	86¢	$224	0x53cc82…
02-16 06:01:23	will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	No	SELL	515	99¢	$508	0x46da8c…
02-15 10:55:25	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x8f8a5b…
02-15 10:29:41	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xaca50f…
02-14 14:16:19	will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	No	BUY	515	98¢	$506	0x2d0e81…
02-14 14:16:03	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	No	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0x4ab170…
02-14 14:15:35	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x71224c…
02-14 14:09:07	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 20	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x28c429…
02-14 14:05:31	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0xb2976e…
02-14 14:05:23	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xd6abec…
02-14 14:05:15	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0xecec12…
02-14 13:58:19	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 28	No	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0x7b9778…
02-14 13:58:05	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 22	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x4a249b…
02-14 13:57:49	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 18	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x8ac3e9…
02-14 13:57:35	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 14	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x931368…
02-14 12:59:09	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	252	37¢	$94	0xec6b34…
02-14 12:58:03	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	336	36¢	$121	0x9a85f9…
02-14 12:57:47	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x9e83c9…
02-14 12:49:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	267	88¢	$235	0x544ce2…
02-14 05:59:27	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 14	No	BUY	225	90¢	$203	0xef4506…
02-14 05:48:55	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x6cb6a6…
02-12 14:33:59	will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	Yes	BUY	94	80¢	$76	0xe920c2…
02-07 13:49:13	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	267	77¢	$206	0x94b693…
02-07 05:56:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	127	86¢	$109	0x092128…
02-03 10:39:18	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	127	90¢	$114	0xbb6b43…
02-03 05:26:02	bitcoin above 80k on february 3	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xa9ddf2…
02-03 05:24:48	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x84e2fb…
02-03 05:23:42	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xced1d2…
01-27 22:52:27	will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	Yes	SELL	110	30¢	$33	0x7320f3…
01-27 13:30:03	will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x41656f…
01-27 13:29:27	will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	Yes	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x520272…
01-27 13:28:23	will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	No	SELL	200	36¢	$71	0x9a0168…
01-27 13:18:21	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x70b0fd…
01-27 13:17:57	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x075ed4…
01-27 13:17:51	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0xb11d22…
01-27 13:17:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9286a5…
01-27 13:16:39	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x075f61…
01-27 13:15:59	will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	No	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0x25b8c9…
01-27 13:14:19	will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5d3693…
01-27 13:13:05	will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xeff222…
01-27 13:12:25	will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xd5b298…
01-27 13:11:59	will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x5dd3d3…
01-27 13:11:57	will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	No	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x9fe095…
01-27 13:09:39	gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x0307e1…
01-27 13:04:59	us strike on somalia by january 31 563	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x6c5aac…
01-27 12:50:45	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xef1f41…
01-27 12:29:23	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	90	90¢	$81	0x082e43…
01-27 12:03:35	gpt 5pt3 released by january 31 2026	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x753bf1…
01-25 15:15:02	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	No	BUY	180	97¢	$174	0xb9121c…
01-25 15:10:44	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x1c0450…
01-25 15:10:30	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x462e92…
01-25 15:08:12	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x1edc7c…
01-24 13:07:46	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	174	98¢	$171	0xbf5d3f…
01-24 12:30:42	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd51104…
01-18 04:16:04	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xdab979…
01-17 14:39:04	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe2fa7c…
01-17 14:36:38	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5aff11…