Sizzling-Disagreement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$796

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

1,272

Trades

4,865

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-02 09:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% -$796

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 10:25 UTC	4	$78	122	122	+0	Down	+$17	06-17 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 12:05 UTC	6	$62	51	51	+0	Up	+$30	07-31 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:50 UTC	6	$50	56	56	+0	Down	+$5	08-14 10:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$44	33	33	+0	Up	+$12	05-28 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 11:50 UTC	10	$42	66	66	+0	Down	+$5	08-01 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:25 UTC	8	$42	66	66	+0	Down	+$0	07-28 11:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 11:30 UTC	15	$41	68	67	+1	Down	+$6	08-11 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 11:35 UTC	14	$41	58	58	+0	Down	+$3	07-27 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:20 UTC	4	$39	34	34	+0	Up	+$5	08-14 12:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:15 UTC	6	$38	29	29	+0	Up	+$1	06-08 11:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:35 UTC	5	$37	44	44	+0	Down	+$14	08-10 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:30 UTC	7	$37	44	44	+0	Down	+$9	08-14 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 11:30 UTC	5	$36	56	44	+12	Down	+$7	07-24 11:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	6	$36	32	32	+0	Up	+$10	05-23 18:27
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:05 UTC	10	$35	41	41	+0	Up	+$6	06-25 09:09
ethereum up or down june 24 2026 6am et	12	$35	56	56	+0	Down	+$0	06-24 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 10:35 UTC	8	$34	56	44	+12	Up	+$0	07-22 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:45 UTC	4	$34	45	33	+12	Down	-$1	07-10 12:48
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-04 08:00 UTC	10	$34	33	33	+0	Down	+$2	07-04 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 08:05 UTC	10	$34	57	57	+0	Up	+$3	07-11 08:09
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-29 08:00 UTC	24	$33	73	59	+14	Down	+$5	06-29 11:51
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 10:05 UTC	6	$33	33	33	+0	Up	+$2	06-08 10:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:55 UTC	4	$33	44	44	+0	Up	+$9	08-01 10:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:40 UTC	6	$33	36	36	+0	Down	+$8	07-20 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:10 UTC	13	$32	78	56	+22	Up	+$2	08-01 10:14
ethereum up or down june 24 2026 4am et	5	$32	30	30	+0	Up	+$8	06-24 08:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	5	$32	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-23 18:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:00 UTC	10	$32	33	33	+0	Up	+$8	06-22 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 11:30 UTC	8	$31	88	33	+55	Down	+$1	08-13 11:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	11	$31	73	51	+22	Down	+$8	08-20 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 09:23:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x99e5a2…
10-02 09:23:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x1c1a28…
10-02 09:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x37d176…
10-02 08:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x84f032…
10-02 08:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xf14796…
10-02 08:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x3b1487…
09-09 10:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x6461ae…
09-09 10:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x950940…
09-09 10:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x07cc77…
09-09 10:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xf8630e…
09-09 10:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x615a02…
09-08 10:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x3c3492…
09-08 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x755b1b…
09-08 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x5d3914…
09-07 11:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xb51d0c…
09-07 11:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x681b4e…
09-07 11:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x3ff609…
09-07 11:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xf467cf…
09-04 08:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xd50aec…
09-04 08:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xc8e0f6…
09-04 08:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x0f939f…
09-04 08:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x044c11…
09-03 12:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x08ee74…
09-03 12:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xc91709…
09-03 12:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xdb096c…
09-03 11:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xe1fd18…
09-03 11:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xccdeff…
09-03 11:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xba67cb…
09-03 11:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x978590…
09-03 11:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x861b4f…
09-03 11:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x848fe7…
09-03 11:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x9bb074…
08-22 10:58:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:55 UTC	Up	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0x4f890d…
08-22 10:56:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0xb26387…
08-22 10:53:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	23	49¢	$11	0xb08b39…
08-22 10:52:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x23b31b…
08-22 10:52:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xca91ca…
08-22 10:47:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x86d32f…
08-22 10:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xdaca43…
08-22 10:47:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x3c13f9…
08-22 10:46:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xf2e697…
08-21 10:03:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xee676c…
08-21 10:03:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8b12d0…
08-21 09:57:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x64ac46…
08-21 09:57:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x1cdb53…
08-21 09:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe72e40…
08-21 09:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xa25cf5…
08-21 09:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x8f9c53…
08-21 09:27:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x69280b…
08-21 09:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc657b8…
08-21 09:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbe02a0…
08-21 09:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x9c05b9…
08-21 09:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3a84f0…
08-21 09:23:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x67931f…
08-21 09:23:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6ffc46…
08-21 08:31:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x5c7426…
08-20 12:33:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x6eb502…
08-20 12:33:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x2ad213…
08-20 12:33:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xa1c5ec…
08-20 12:33:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5d4579…
08-20 12:33:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf3cb33…
08-20 12:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:25 UTC	Down	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x40a76f…
08-20 12:27:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0xdc8525…
08-20 12:18:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xf66180…
08-20 12:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xee9ab0…
08-20 12:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa40f9f…
08-20 12:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x298af6…
08-20 12:06:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x07f7bc…
08-20 12:03:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x64c6be…
08-20 12:02:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb43383…
08-20 11:52:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:50 UTC	Up	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xeb9bf5…
08-20 11:51:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x2c7603…
08-20 11:29:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:25 UTC	Up	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x45b01b…
08-20 11:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xe1b98a…
08-20 11:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xda70c2…
08-20 11:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x5ec662…
08-20 11:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x497810…
08-20 11:28:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xb265ce…
08-20 11:28:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x476824…
08-20 10:54:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x76fb45…
08-20 10:53:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x56d1b7…
08-20 10:52:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	22	65¢	$14	0x1ba50c…
08-20 10:51:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd4a7d8…
08-20 10:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0xe3e223…
08-20 10:46:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x96ee8e…
08-20 10:46:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xbc24cc…
08-20 10:46:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xadd3ed…
08-20 10:43:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x10d299…
08-20 10:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x896085…
08-20 10:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x3a0a30…
08-20 10:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xbeda40…
08-20 10:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xd26f00…
08-20 10:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x8df52f…
08-20 10:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0x0176cc…
08-20 10:27:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0x58e408…
08-20 10:26:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x753eba…
08-20 10:26:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x204e27…
08-20 10:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xae9430…
08-20 10:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x449db6…
08-20 10:25:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0x91e3bf…