Bruised-Lycra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$257

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-02 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Crypto

36% 0% $-5

Politics

4% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	4	$3.3K	4,402	4,402	+0	open	—	01-10 15:45
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$2.0K	3,350	0	+3,350	open	—	01-01 16:10
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	2	$1.6K	1,916	1,916	+0	open	—	01-10 15:50
over 90m committed to the ranger public sale 166	1	$1.6K	2,438	0	+2,438	open	—	01-10 02:35
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	5	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-01 10:00
over 120m committed to the ranger public sale 394 737 727 472 842	1	$1.5K	2,033	0	+2,033	open	—	01-10 10:11
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	5	$999	7,990	0	+7,990	open	—	01-10 15:24
will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 28 623 432	3	$901	549	549	+0	open	—	02-09 15:20
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$843	3,920	0	+3,920	open	—	01-12 13:38
Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	5	$712	450	450	+0	open	—	05-26 15:40
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	4	$690	600	600	+0	open	—	04-30 09:27
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$644	360	360	+0	open	—	04-30 07:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$632	14,769	484	+14,286	open	—	06-02 07:51
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	4	$616	924	1,145	-220	open	—	02-22 18:37
will company b be accused of insider trading	2	$514	350	350	+0	open	—	02-25 03:07
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$481	830	0	+830	open	—	02-07 11:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$429	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$11	03-02 16:24
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$365	0	4,557	-4,557	open	—	02-08 02:51
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$215	400	400	+0	open	—	03-31 13:33
btc updown 5m 1770911100	2	$200	152	151	+2	open	—	02-12 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$195	244	244	+0	Up	$-5	05-14 03:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$188	129	125	+4	open	—	04-25 11:58
btc updown 5m 1771066500	3	$141	225	222	+3	open	—	02-14 10:58
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	4	$105	600	600	+0	open	—	01-25 01:43
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	1	$103	190	0	+190	open	—	05-26 15:46
btc updown 5m 1770911700	2	$88	104	102	+2	open	—	02-12 15:58
btc updown 5m 1770954000	2	$75	81	80	+1	open	—	02-13 03:42
btc updown 5m 1771066800	2	$66	106	104	+2	open	—	02-14 11:01
btc updown 5m 1771066200	1	$50	209	0	+209	open	—	02-14 10:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 07:51:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,286	1¢	$100	0x270581…
06-01 12:10:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	484	69¢	$332	0x50f3c5…
06-01 12:03:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x9b762a…
06-01 12:00:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xd61f05…
05-26 15:46:48	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	190	54¢	$103	0xf53dad…
05-26 15:40:49	Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	SELL	85	85¢	$72	0x9c6da8…
05-26 15:40:47	Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x1bdecd…
05-26 15:40:45	Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	SELL	353	85¢	$300	0xc1aba4…
05-26 15:37:47	Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	250	95¢	$238	0xf615e4…
05-26 15:14:48	Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x9ddb2c…
05-14 03:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	244	39¢	$95	0x3304e5…
05-14 03:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x4034b7…
05-01 10:00:32	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	500	97¢	$485	0xd409d4…
04-30 10:01:26	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	488	70¢	$342	0x89f239…
04-30 10:01:26	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x1f51af…
04-30 09:27:06	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	420	58¢	$244	0xac4020…
04-30 09:14:18	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	180	58¢	$104	0x1d9654…
04-30 09:04:46	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	366	57¢	$209	0xcce909…
04-30 09:02:16	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	234	57¢	$133	0xe03314…
04-30 08:12:34	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	500	70¢	$350	0x246424…
04-30 07:20:26	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0xe48587…
04-30 07:17:08	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	360	99¢	$356	0xdf6903…
04-29 06:54:42	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	360	80¢	$288	0x982277…
04-25 11:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	125	90¢	$113	0x063531…
04-25 11:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	129	58¢	$75	0x9abf50…
03-31 13:33:35	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	400	26¢	$103	0x2db3e7…
03-30 13:17:36	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xf0fe53…
03-30 13:17:08	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x5549b2…
03-30 13:15:16	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xdca06a…
03-30 13:09:48	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x150073…
03-30 13:08:26	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xc05c76…
03-30 13:01:44	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	28¢	$34	0xbd1b2e…
03-02 16:24:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,100	20¢	$220	0xa29eb1…
03-01 19:40:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,100	19¢	$209	0x3572ff…
02-25 03:07:42	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	350	74¢	$259	0xe620e0…
02-25 02:53:38	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	350	73¢	$256	0x38c9f3…
02-22 18:37:24	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	Yes	SELL	1,145	23¢	$263	0x60f446…
02-18 08:53:12	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	Yes	BUY	44	35¢	$15	0xadef56…
02-18 08:53:06	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	Yes	BUY	106	35¢	$37	0x9dfe42…
02-14 14:06:07	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	Yes	BUY	775	39¢	$300	0x578603…
02-14 11:01:39	btc updown 5m 1771066800	Down	SELL	104	15¢	$16	0xba0eda…
02-14 11:00:25	btc updown 5m 1771066800	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xd6b6b2…
02-14 10:58:53	btc updown 5m 1771066500	Down	SELL	222	10¢	$21	0x55a196…
02-14 10:56:01	btc updown 5m 1771066500	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x89509c…
02-14 10:55:01	btc updown 5m 1771066500	Down	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x0b7720…
02-14 10:52:31	btc updown 5m 1771066200	Down	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0xa55bfd…
02-13 03:42:45	btc updown 5m 1770954000	Down	SELL	80	37¢	$29	0xe0faac…
02-13 03:42:07	btc updown 5m 1770954000	Down	BUY	81	56¢	$45	0x92a6fb…
02-12 15:58:09	btc updown 5m 1770911700	Up	SELL	102	37¢	$38	0xe72b6e…
02-12 15:55:13	btc updown 5m 1770911700	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x6ed06d…
02-12 15:51:05	btc updown 5m 1770911100	Up	SELL	151	100¢	$150	0xfb2a52…
02-12 15:49:09	btc updown 5m 1770911100	Up	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xad8280…
02-09 15:20:11	will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 28 623 432	No	SELL	549	98¢	$538	0x530e68…
02-08 11:18:13	will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 28 623 432	No	BUY	446	67¢	$300	0x72c396…
02-08 11:17:41	will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 28 623 432	No	BUY	103	62¢	$64	0x7a9e79…
02-08 02:51:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4,557	8¢	$365	0x1c9160…
02-07 11:27:35	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	771	58¢	$447	0x82636e…
02-07 11:27:23	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	58¢	$34	0x80ce08…
01-25 01:43:18	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	No	SELL	600	2¢	$15	0xbf5834…
01-24 15:07:50	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	No	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0xf05f80…
01-24 15:07:10	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	No	BUY	57	15¢	$9	0x5839e3…
01-24 15:06:44	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	No	BUY	143	15¢	$21	0xa9945e…
01-12 13:38:56	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	21¢	$105	0x7f3d31…
01-11 11:15:12	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	600	21¢	$126	0x23ae12…
01-10 15:50:04	over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	No	SELL	1,916	17¢	$326	0x5dc88b…
01-10 15:48:10	over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	No	BUY	1,916	69¢	$1,321	0x8599cf…
01-10 15:45:22	over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	No	SELL	4,402	30¢	$1,321	0x264187…
01-10 15:32:22	over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	No	BUY	1,820	55¢	$1,000	0x070217…
01-10 15:24:20	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	No	BUY	1,660	12¢	$207	0x5b40b2…
01-10 15:24:18	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	No	BUY	1,000	12¢	$125	0x4ff9aa…
01-10 15:24:18	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	No	BUY	116	12¢	$15	0x05ac85…
01-10 15:24:16	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	No	BUY	4,214	12¢	$527	0x76d968…
01-10 15:24:06	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	No	BUY	1,000	12¢	$125	0x28af91…
01-10 14:15:42	over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	No	BUY	776	44¢	$339	0x0edf0a…
01-10 14:14:40	over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	No	BUY	1,806	37¢	$668	0x2ca903…
01-10 10:11:20	over 120m committed to the ranger public sale 394 737 727 472 842	No	BUY	2,033	74¢	$1,499	0xa26b38…
01-10 02:35:02	over 90m committed to the ranger public sale 166	No	BUY	2,438	64¢	$1,560	0xd741f4…
01-02 13:51:49	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	800	21¢	$168	0xe09793…
01-02 12:46:25	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,020	22¢	$444	0x2f8345…
01-01 16:10:29	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,336	60¢	$2,002	0x6835b1…
01-01 12:49:01	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0xe23294…