Lawful-Handgun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.46K

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

1,276

Trades

2,029

lifetime

Volume

$156.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

$70

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-25 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Other

52% 60% -$1,210

Sports

46% 48% -$2,258

Politics

1% 74% +$61

Crypto

1% 56% -$53

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No		-74	-$44	95¢	$-70	-$26	04-28 14:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bun bay uni 2026 03 21 spread home 2pt5	1	$2.5K	4,491	0	+4,491	FC Bayern München	-$2,470	03-21 04:04
cs2 ice faze 2026 04 06	1	$2.0K	3,303	0	+3,303	Inner Circle Esports	-$2,000	04-05 22:52
khl lok spa 2026 03 26	1	$1.8K	2,485	0	+2,485	Spartak Moscow	-$1,752	03-26 10:06
nba cle mem 2026 04 06 total 235pt5	1	$1.4K	2,979	0	+2,979	Over	+$1,579	04-06 15:19
lol gx th 2026 04 06	2	$1.3K	1,966	0	+1,966	GIANTX	+$629	04-06 14:53
cricipl raj che 2026 03 30	1	$1.3K	2,280	0	+2,280	Rajasthan Royals	+$950	03-30 13:57
nba orl dal 2026 04 03	2	$1.3K	1,781	0	+1,781	Magic	+$481	04-03 01:08
atp shelton shevche 2026 03 21	2	$1.2K	2,410	0	+2,410	Alexander Shevchenko	-$1,229	03-21 04:18
khl ava nef 2026 03 24	1	$1.0K	1,308	0	+1,308	Avangard Omsk	+$273	03-24 03:25
lol sk gx 2026 04 05	1	$1000	1,221	0	+1,221	GIANTX	+$221	04-04 18:03
atp damm zverev 2026 03 20	1	$967	1,074	0	+1,074	Alexander Zverev	+$107	03-20 16:39
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	4	$894	1,134	1,134	+0	Knicks	+$138	06-11 03:22
lol kcb sly 2026 04 16	3	$884	634	628	+6	Solary	+$52	04-16 19:22
khl met sib 2026 03 24	1	$865	1,161	0	+1,161	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	+$296	03-24 11:22
lol gen fox1 2026 04 05	1	$863	1,040	0	+1,040	Gen.G	+$177	04-04 13:08
nba tor det 2026 03 31	3	$821	1,962	0	+1,962	Pistons	-$821	03-31 17:56
cs2 sta6 bbp 2026 03 30	1	$817	1,877	0	+1,877	STATE	+$1,060	03-30 16:07
nba was mia 2026 04 04 total 247pt5	1	$800	1,749	0	+1,749	Over	+$949	04-04 14:02
nba bos cha 2026 03 29 points coby white 13pt5	2	$786	1,793	0	+1,793	No	-$786	03-29 17:03
cs2 hin run2 2026 03 18	1	$750	938	0	+938	Rune Eaters	+$188	03-18 10:30
nba lac dal 2026 03 21	1	$750	1,042	0	+1,042	Clippers	+$292	03-21 18:46
nba mia hou 2026 03 21	1	$700	1,273	0	+1,273	Rockets	+$573	03-21 18:50
mlb tex phi 2026 03 28	1	$670	1,523	0	+1,523	Texas Rangers	+$853	03-28 16:11
nhl phi det 2026 03 28	2	$668	1,213	0	+1,213	Flyers	-$668	03-28 11:57
khl csk ska 2026 03 23	1	$666	1,014	0	+1,014	CSKA Moscow	+$348	03-21 22:21
nhl utah lak 2026 03 28	2	$662	1,283	0	+1,283	Utah	-$662	03-28 11:57
lol zena she1 2026 04 03	2	$650	1,222	0	+1,222	Zena Esports	+$572	04-03 16:43
nhl mon nsh 2026 03 28	1	$638	1,173	0	+1,173	Canadiens	+$535	03-27 13:00
nhl pit ott 2026 03 26	1	$636	1,015	0	+1,015	Penguins	-$636	03-24 09:41
wta rybakin fernand 2026 04 17	2	$629	351	349	+2	Elena Rybakina	+$70	04-17 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 20:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd88a63…
10-25 20:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x789155…
10-25 20:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7a60e5…
10-25 20:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xd7ef7a…
10-25 20:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa468e3…
10-25 19:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc4fdef…
10-25 19:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xa1757c…
10-25 19:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5efe57…
07-09 04:29:44	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	130	6¢	$8	0x79b593…
07-09 04:28:31	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x9ac5f9…
06-14 03:14:58	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	265	65¢	$172	0x8f25af…
06-13 23:33:46	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	265	37¢	$98	0xdae798…
06-11 03:22:46	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	545	60¢	$327	0x66f6db…
06-11 01:10:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	545	33¢	$180	0xd80a5f…
06-11 01:09:34	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	589	32¢	$188	0x2cb570…
06-11 01:09:31	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	589	34¢	$198	0x7629f3…
06-09 01:19:09	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x106fe4…
06-03 16:19:46	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0x64f6b6…
06-01 18:30:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	58	59¢	$34	0xfe73c0…
06-01 18:27:56	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xc3485e…
06-01 15:56:21	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x1ddda4…
05-30 17:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa272e4…
05-30 17:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xfc0ea6…
05-30 17:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5d7bff…
05-29 14:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9f8a68…
05-27 14:02:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 27?	No	BUY	276	72¢	$200	0x6b907c…
05-25 15:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?	No	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xe499ca…
05-25 15:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x9520fc…
05-25 15:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x492f59…
05-25 15:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$11	0xb31f03…
05-25 14:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?	No	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x1dafa7…
05-25 14:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$8	0x0e0ec7…
05-25 14:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd033c2…
05-25 14:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0xa911d8…
05-25 14:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$16	0x100eff…
05-23 17:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	307	31¢	$95	0xdab673…
05-23 16:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x2e38ae…
05-23 16:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xf6bd4e…
05-23 16:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x38fa1d…
05-23 16:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0xb4f38f…
05-23 16:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4a9ba2…
05-23 16:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xbc679b…
05-23 16:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	107	23¢	$25	0x709f72…
05-23 16:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x65b55c…
05-23 16:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x26cae1…
05-23 16:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$9	0x407408…
05-22 14:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 22?	No	BUY	154	73¢	$112	0xc41588…
05-22 14:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 22?	No	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xa1f2d6…
05-22 14:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 22?	No	BUY	92	73¢	$67	0x781922…
05-22 14:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 22?	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x01ddcb…
05-21 18:20:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xfb1204…
05-21 00:38:49	Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud	Alexei Popyrin	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x7368df…
05-21 00:23:51	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xa48c20…
05-21 00:23:37	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	35	61¢	$21	0xe0d4c0…
05-20 23:03:30	Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	MOUZ	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0x5042fd…
05-20 22:53:26	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x8ea89a…
05-20 22:05:59	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0x97459e…
05-20 21:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x67d6c0…
05-20 21:12:05	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x24c2c8…
05-20 21:11:49	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x929274…
05-20 21:08:56	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9c4d66…
05-20 21:08:05	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x15442e…
05-20 21:07:05	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x1a569a…
05-20 21:06:50	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x1b601a…
05-20 21:01:01	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Liquid	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x86c214…
05-20 21:00:46	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x813dbc…
05-20 21:00:42	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x50455a…
05-20 20:59:48	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Liquid	SELL	51	61¢	$31	0x229311…
05-20 20:54:40	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xaa48d1…
05-20 20:49:28	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	52	32¢	$17	0xe0cfcd…
05-20 20:42:20	San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	San Francisco Giants	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x36ae19…
05-20 20:12:56	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Chicago White Sox	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0xd637fe…
05-20 20:01:28	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xa2337e…
05-20 19:41:31	San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	San Francisco Giants	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0x46a85c…
05-20 19:25:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x9b5d72…
05-20 19:22:49	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xcce25d…
05-20 18:39:01	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xc50662…
05-20 17:54:13	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xcba4c5…
05-20 17:54:09	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd5609b…
05-20 17:51:54	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	46	77¢	$35	0xcdd91e…
05-20 17:43:34	LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	LNG Esports	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xa441b4…
05-20 17:43:04	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	35	30¢	$10	0x1f66f4…
05-20 17:26:06	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xf2bb6e…
05-20 17:16:40	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x498369…
05-20 17:02:12	Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xe3542b…
05-20 17:01:58	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0xcafb8b…
05-20 17:01:43	LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x801817…
05-20 17:01:30	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x181887…
05-20 16:54:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 20?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x1212cb…
05-20 16:54:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xd084bc…
05-20 16:14:00	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x0a02f2…
05-20 16:13:18	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x1a9c00…
05-20 16:11:38	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xceedfd…
05-20 15:38:18	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x2e6a34…
05-20 15:38:00	LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3e5a30…
05-20 15:37:27	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4280ec…
05-20 15:36:59	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x509849…
05-20 15:36:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	32	83¢	$27	0x22d602…
05-20 15:36:24	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0xaf1d80…
05-20 15:36:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0xd7e78b…