Exotic-Truth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

1,474

Trades

3,068

lifetime

Volume

$28.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-03 00:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$108	56	56	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$107	57	57	+0	Up	+$6	05-18 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$106	55	55	+0	Down	+$2	05-18 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$105	54	54	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$103	54	54	+0	Down	+$3	05-18 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$95	59	59	+0	Down	-$4	05-18 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$78	42	42	+0	Down	+$6	05-19 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$78	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	05-19 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$77	41	41	+0	Up	+$4	05-18 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$76	40	40	+0	Up	+$4	05-19 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$75	39	39	+0	Down	+$2	05-19 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$74	39	39	+0	Down	+$2	05-18 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$73	38	38	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$73	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	05-18 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$72	38	38	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$71	37	37	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$70	37	37	+0	Down	+$2	05-18 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$68	35	35	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$65	58	58	+0	Up	-$41	05-18 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$63	37	37	+0	Up	+$10	05-23 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$63	35	35	+0	Up	+$6	05-25 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$60	32	32	+0	Down	+$3	05-26 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$60	32	32	+0	Down	+$2	05-26 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$60	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	05-26 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$60	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	05-26 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$60	31	31	+0	Down	+$2	05-25 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$60	31	31	+0	Down	+$2	05-26 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$59	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	05-26 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$59	34	34	+0	Down	+$9	05-22 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$59	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	05-26 01:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 00:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd63302…
09-03 00:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x11a6f6…
08-11 19:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf949d8…
08-11 18:28:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xdc21d1…
08-11 18:27:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xea83f9…
08-11 15:18:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xf1e109…
08-11 15:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x608de1…
08-11 14:13:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x26266f…
08-11 12:23:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8f74bc…
08-11 12:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xca3857…
08-11 10:48:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xcd52b0…
08-11 10:46:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4b3f11…
08-11 09:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb823e6…
08-11 09:41:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x788e8d…
08-11 05:21:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 05:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x55b0e1…
08-11 05:20:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf5f5d3…
08-11 00:22:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x790b11…
08-11 00:22:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xea5e93…
08-10 23:43:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 23:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xe451d6…
08-10 23:42:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xa298f0…
08-10 21:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2afb0f…
08-10 21:47:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa75e03…
08-10 19:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xa570c2…
08-10 19:22:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd7da2f…
08-10 18:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:35 UTC	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x212d9d…
08-10 18:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x507c16…
08-10 18:09:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x757f08…
08-10 18:08:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x9581d2…
08-10 17:27:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xa5e6c2…
08-10 17:26:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x56a31d…
08-10 16:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x8b6738…
08-10 16:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1e0a68…
08-10 14:57:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa0eeac…
08-10 14:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xd6d382…
05-26 17:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x8a3f23…
05-26 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x67c6d5…
05-26 16:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x1f75bf…
05-26 16:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x500550…
05-26 15:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x974a54…
05-26 15:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x89077a…
05-26 13:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x4a46df…
05-26 13:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0x2daa84…
05-26 11:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xa4bc0b…
05-26 11:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x137e75…
05-26 11:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0xcc1b88…
05-26 07:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xd8bc8d…
05-26 07:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0x566de1…
05-26 03:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0xb60262…
05-26 02:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	60¢	$29	0x4d7e58…
05-26 01:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x009bb4…
05-26 01:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0xa05f99…
05-26 01:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x48d732…
05-26 01:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x53c93b…
05-25 17:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xbbd41c…
05-25 17:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xd80f0d…
05-25 15:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	31	51¢	$16	0x2d46b4…
05-25 15:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x68062c…
05-25 15:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x4fbc37…
05-25 15:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	35	81¢	$28	0xc77490…
05-25 04:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xb4649c…
05-25 04:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x6cae6d…
05-24 23:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xc6c751…
05-24 23:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xf78046…
05-24 21:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x641601…
05-24 21:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x97b334…
05-24 16:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x0c7c53…
05-24 16:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0xb484ff…
05-24 15:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xa9e6e1…
05-24 15:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x1bf008…
05-24 14:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x0629e0…
05-24 14:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x9c4467…
05-24 14:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x8a707c…
05-24 14:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x768eec…
05-24 06:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x9088ee…
05-24 06:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0x8f34a4…
05-24 01:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x48a5d2…
05-24 01:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x7aae9b…
05-24 00:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x472d73…
05-24 00:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xa92d71…
05-23 22:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x83c1ec…
05-23 22:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0xb3b21e…
05-23 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xf4c7c8…
05-23 22:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x7f9cb3…
05-23 20:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x930e96…
05-23 20:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xc26156…
05-23 18:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x6d7835…
05-23 18:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x72c7e4…
05-23 17:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	28	13¢	$4	0x682062…
05-23 17:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x58e86e…
05-23 16:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xb8ab3c…
05-23 16:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x228962…
05-23 15:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	28	91¢	$26	0xf5b31a…
05-23 15:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xe20805…
05-23 14:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x628f92…
05-23 14:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x430669…
05-23 14:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x591349…
05-23 14:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0xae82aa…
05-23 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x9db365…
05-23 14:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	86¢	$26	0x34cfb4…
05-23 14:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x99ca7f…