Fumbling-Prevalence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$229

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-23 07:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 0% $-11

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	1	$2.1K	2,083	0	+2,083	open	—	05-04 00:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	1	$2.1K	2,077	0	+2,077	open	—	05-03 06:15
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	1	$2.1K	2,071	0	+2,071	open	—	05-03 00:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	1	$2.1K	2,062	0	+2,062	open	—	05-02 00:10
bitcoin above 66k on july 8 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	07-08 07:13
bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	07-13 03:48
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-20 06:02
bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	07-01 10:30
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-30 06:25
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-31 02:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$10	1,089	0	+1,089	open	—	02-04 03:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 14	4	$9	4,259	0	+4,259	open	—	01-14 08:07
ethereum above 1700 on february 22	1	$8	1,153	0	+1,153	open	—	02-21 23:51
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 7	1	$8	1,105	0	+1,105	open	—	02-07 03:36
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	1	$8	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	02-15 02:31
ethereum above 1700 on february 10	1	$7	1,127	0	+1,127	open	—	02-10 02:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	1	$6	2,134	0	+2,134	open	—	03-08 02:18
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	06-25 03:58
untitled market 1 20260629172613097	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-23 07:34
nflx above 200 on june 30 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-17 09:03
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-08 11:29
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-17 09:37
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 15	1	$4	2,180	0	+2,180	open	—	03-15 15:36
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?	1	$4	1,835	0	+1,835	No	$-4	05-10 02:17
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	1	$4	1,824	0	+1,824	Yes	$-4	05-08 07:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	1	$4	1,809	0	+1,809	No	$-4	05-08 01:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	1	$2	1,147	0	+1,147	open	—	03-03 06:50
bitcoin above 58k on march 1	1	$2	1,143	0	+1,143	open	—	03-01 01:08
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 31	1	$2	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	01-31 02:36
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-13 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 07:34:46	untitled market 1 20260629172613097	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2bb31b…
07-13 03:48:14	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6acb59…
07-08 07:13:25	bitcoin above 66k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x02e276…
07-01 10:30:14	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xff480f…
06-25 03:58:11	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8dffd8…
06-17 09:03:44	nflx above 200 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5233a…
05-20 06:02:48	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcd257a…
05-10 02:17:55	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,835	0¢	$4	0x9d49ec…
05-08 07:31:17	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,824	0¢	$4	0x838347…
05-08 01:12:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,809	0¢	$4	0x9c2427…
05-04 00:15:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	2,083	100¢	$2,077	0x70b001…
05-03 06:15:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	2,077	100¢	$2,071	0x97e68b…
05-03 00:46:08	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	2,071	100¢	$2,067	0xc3fd02…
05-02 00:10:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	2,062	100¢	$2,058	0x1e27a3…
04-13 07:49:15	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc4b2e5…
04-08 11:29:27	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ab0fc…
03-30 06:25:08	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8377df…
03-15 15:36:15	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 15	Yes	BUY	2,180	0¢	$4	0x461224…
03-08 02:18:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	Yes	BUY	2,134	0¢	$6	0x55cf0b…
03-03 06:50:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,147	0¢	$2	0x9eed12…
03-01 01:08:17	bitcoin above 58k on march 1	No	BUY	1,143	0¢	$2	0x1ae0cb…
02-21 23:51:36	ethereum above 1700 on february 22	No	BUY	1,153	1¢	$8	0x7f4f17…
02-15 02:31:05	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	Yes	BUY	1,078	1¢	$8	0xa4f12b…
02-10 02:26:11	ethereum above 1700 on february 10	No	BUY	1,127	1¢	$7	0xaa76ef…
02-07 03:36:33	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 7	Yes	BUY	1,105	1¢	$8	0x3d2939…
02-04 03:49:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	Yes	BUY	1,089	1¢	$10	0x802276…
02-02 12:56:54	will msft close between 470 and 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbc226f…
01-31 07:24:16	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdbe8f7…
01-31 02:36:58	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 31	Yes	BUY	1,076	0¢	$2	0xc40014…
01-31 02:36:40	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf5871d…
01-29 06:29:54	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc903db…
01-26 12:32:07	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x895ab5…
01-17 09:37:20	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7eae35…
01-14 08:07:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 14	Yes	BUY	1,065	0¢	$2	0x42a410…
01-14 08:05:48	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 14	Yes	BUY	1,066	0¢	$2	0x92b270…
01-14 08:04:40	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 14	Yes	BUY	1,066	0¢	$2	0x116278…
01-14 07:57:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 14	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$2	0xd824d2…