Vague-Farm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$109

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-15 00:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 20% -$27

Politics

17% 0% -$19

Sports

13% 0% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 8	1	$19	889	0	+889	Yes	-$19	03-08 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$13	13	13	+0	Up	+$7	05-24 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$9	94	0	+94	Down	-$9	05-25 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	5	$7	28	0	+28	Down	-$7	05-24 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	7	$7	39	0	+39	Down	-$7	05-24 23:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend UFC Freedom 250?	5	$7	691	0	+691	No	-$7	06-15 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$6	16	0	+16	Up	+$10	05-25 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$6	37	0	+37	Up	-$6	05-25 00:09
bitcoin up or down january 16 9pm et	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$0	01-16 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$4	124	0	+124	Up	-$4	05-25 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	06-14 23:54
bitcoin above 96k on january 16	1	$3	12	0	+12	No	-$3	01-16 13:04
Will Alicia Keys attend UFC Freedom 250?	3	$3	196	0	+196	No	-$3	06-15 00:38
bitcoin up or down january 16 12pm et	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	-$3	01-16 17:10
bitcoin above 98k on january 16	1	$2	222	0	+222	No	-$2	01-16 13:14
bitcoin up or down on january 16	1	$2	57	0	+57	Down	-$2	01-16 15:17
will jimmy fallon attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901359	2	$2	102	0	+102	No	-$2	06-15 00:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:55 UTC	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	-$2	06-14 23:58
will lionel messi attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901358	1	$1	111	0	+111	No	-$1	06-15 00:02
will adam sandler attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901352	1	$1	50	0	+50	No	-$1	06-15 00:05
will samuel lpt jackson attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901366	1	$1	32	0	+32	No	-$1	06-15 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Up	-$1	05-24 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 00:38:00	will alicia keys attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901357	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xaa212d…
06-15 00:35:49	will benjamin netanyahu attend ufc freedom 250	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8e4204…
06-15 00:31:58	will alicia keys attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901357	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x9c31cd…
06-15 00:30:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend UFC Freedom 250?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x42d8cc…
06-15 00:30:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend UFC Freedom 250?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x1df2ac…
06-15 00:29:13	will benjamin netanyahu attend ufc freedom 250	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xbe880f…
06-15 00:26:22	will jimmy fallon attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901359	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x4b3115…
06-15 00:09:28	Will Alicia Keys attend UFC Freedom 250?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x2976d5…
06-15 00:05:39	will adam sandler attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901352	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd80f64…
06-15 00:04:21	will jimmy fallon attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901359	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb4ca70…
06-15 00:02:57	will lionel messi attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901358	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x527e8c…
06-15 00:02:18	will samuel lpt jackson attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901366	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xa7b754…
06-14 23:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd3390e…
06-14 23:58:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x53261a…
06-14 23:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x05e707…
06-14 23:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1ffeb9…
06-14 23:44:12	will benjamin netanyahu attend ufc freedom 250	Yes	BUY	258	1¢	$3	0x1f5109…
05-25 00:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xc1b052…
05-25 00:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xe95b9a…
05-25 00:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xd133a6…
05-25 00:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x8b0606…
05-25 00:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x1f0ba2…
05-25 00:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0bcdd6…
05-25 00:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x35ca1d…
05-25 00:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa961d5…
05-25 00:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7b1c2a…
05-25 00:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1f804c…
05-25 00:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x994bac…
05-25 00:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x83cd1e…
05-25 00:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6483b5…
05-24 23:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6f1dc2…
05-24 23:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2c3d07…
05-24 23:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x61800b…
05-24 23:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd36d8e…
05-24 23:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x365bd2…
05-24 23:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdfbd39…
05-24 23:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf60425…
05-24 23:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3dbb8f…
05-24 23:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x46e74e…
05-24 23:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5ea53d…
05-24 23:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x439779…
05-24 23:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xda48d1…
05-24 23:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0xd69a6e…
05-24 23:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfa2f66…
05-24 23:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5528e8…
05-24 23:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x22111b…
05-24 23:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x26df23…
03-08 12:16:19	will iran strike israel on march 8	No	BUY	889	2¢	$19	0x7948da…
01-16 17:10:34	bitcoin up or down january 16 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd1677c…
01-16 17:09:30	bitcoin up or down january 16 9pm et	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x5fa7ea…
01-16 15:32:08	bitcoin up or down january 16 9pm et	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4fdf9a…
01-16 15:17:24	bitcoin up or down on january 16	Up	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x58fb73…
01-16 13:14:34	bitcoin above 98k on january 16	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x8187ea…
01-16 13:04:30	bitcoin above 96k on january 16	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xaac942…