Regular-Sponsor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

328

Trades

661

lifetime

Volume

$2.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 07-06 23:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 83% -$21

Other

5% 62% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	8	$92	63	63	+0	Up	-$12	05-07 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$80	40	40	+0	Up	+$0	05-03 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$63	32	32	+0	Down	+$1	05-03 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$59	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	05-03 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$58	30	30	+0	Down	+$0	05-03 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$56	28	28	+0	Down	+$0	05-03 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$53	28	28	+0	Up	+$1	05-03 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$53	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	05-03 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$52	28	28	+0	Up	+$4	05-03 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$45	23	23	+0	Up	+$1	05-03 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$43	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	05-04 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$43	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-03 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$41	42	0	+42	Down	+$1	05-04 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-03 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$35	20	20	+0	Down	+$3	05-03 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$33	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	05-03 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$32	17	17	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	Down	+$6	05-03 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$26	16	16	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$25	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	5	$25	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$24	25	0	+25	Up	+$1	05-03 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-03 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$23	17	8	+9	Down	+$0	05-07 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$23	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$22	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$22	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 22:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 23:33:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3e4ed7…
07-06 23:29:47	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe98c41…
06-30 21:13:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x299ddf…
06-30 21:11:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc60d95…
06-29 23:39:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xfe0a23…
06-29 09:12:17	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xbf8f82…
06-27 09:54:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x3a8b9e…
06-27 09:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x71b3fa…
06-27 09:49:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2a6622…
06-27 00:09:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 00:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8fd210…
06-27 00:08:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3d9ae0…
06-26 14:15:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xdb4d5a…
06-26 01:34:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x40c267…
06-25 14:45:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x27756e…
06-25 14:44:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x510960…
06-25 14:39:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x24b14a…
06-24 11:09:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4dacae…
06-23 23:42:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x91edea…
06-21 22:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 21:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x40c486…
06-21 21:56:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x14fd50…
06-21 21:08:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x22f1a2…
06-21 21:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xeb15fe…
06-18 13:15:35	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2a0028…
06-17 13:44:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x64f9b8…
06-17 13:44:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc8dcbe…
06-17 13:43:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfe45cc…
06-17 13:43:50	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf37ea5…
06-15 21:14:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x7e2fe2…
06-14 14:47:24	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xd09f01…
06-11 10:38:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xb7615b…
06-11 10:37:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x2fe74c…
06-11 10:35:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x09d0d9…
06-08 23:17:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3a7356…
06-08 07:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb3143a…
06-07 23:13:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x250b23…
06-07 23:11:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x18db0c…
06-07 10:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x69f4a1…
06-07 06:44:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xcbbb60…
06-07 06:42:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5a794d…
06-06 16:24:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7a38e9…
06-06 09:57:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5a0371…
06-05 16:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe071ae…
06-05 16:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1e3155…
06-05 16:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9705b6…
06-05 16:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xadf596…
06-05 16:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb5abba…
06-05 16:32:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbb11a2…
06-05 08:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 08:35 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x658c97…
06-05 08:38:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7286c3…
06-05 08:38:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ba5f2…
06-05 07:38:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x442efa…
06-05 07:37:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x23329a…
06-05 07:36:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa9038b…
06-05 02:44:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf35f9c…
06-05 02:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3be131…
06-05 02:42:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x525c16…
06-05 02:25:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3364ba…
06-05 02:23:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x818392…
06-04 05:33:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7bed67…
06-04 05:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2b7f0e…
06-04 05:22:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfee28d…
06-03 23:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x220a1d…
06-03 11:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x78ec8b…
06-03 11:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb11096…
06-02 23:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x291daf…
06-02 23:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x48c6b5…
06-02 22:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x546740…
06-02 22:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x993046…
06-02 22:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3e9fcd…
06-02 22:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x5b1f75…
06-02 22:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x96ceb4…
06-02 22:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x00f629…
06-02 22:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2cb48e…
06-02 22:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3df155…
06-02 00:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf76dd4…
06-02 00:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe78657…
06-02 00:09:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x10c744…
05-31 16:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xd55605…
05-31 16:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb89934…
05-31 16:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe5ef1b…
05-31 16:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x162c62…
05-31 16:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01f982…
05-31 16:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc81419…
05-31 16:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3a1562…
05-31 16:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb3faa1…
05-31 15:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x016243…
05-31 15:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xfb2d8c…
05-31 15:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xce2090…
05-30 23:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf01cc7…
05-30 23:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x60734f…
05-30 23:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6c52ef…
05-30 23:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5d39d2…
05-30 05:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x89cf19…
05-30 05:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd65baf…
05-30 05:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf38cb4…
05-30 03:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x94620e…
05-30 03:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfdf6df…
05-30 03:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5deda9…
05-30 03:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7f7041…
05-30 03:21:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xa1c4c2…