Messy-Dime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-05 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 25% $-17

Other

21% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+53	$20	38¢	$20	$-0	07-04 14:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	4	$129	103	103	+0	open	—	03-13 15:15
btc updown 5m 1773358500	4	$74	45	45	+1	open	—	03-12 23:41
btc updown 5m 1773097200	3	$52	33	32	+0	open	—	03-09 23:05
btc updown 5m 1773414900	2	$51	31	31	+0	open	—	03-13 15:20
spx opens up or down on march 12 2026	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	03-12 17:29
England vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score	1	$40	61	0	+61	open	—	06-06 19:37
btc updown 5m 1773096900	3	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	03-09 23:00
btc updown 5m 1773359700	3	$30	79	0	+79	open	—	03-13 00:00
btc updown 5m 1773183300	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	03-10 23:01
btc updown 5m 1773095700	2	$26	17	16	+0	open	—	03-09 22:40
btc updown 5m 1773359100	2	$26	17	16	+0	open	—	03-12 23:51
btc updown 5m 1772579700	2	$26	17	16	+0	open	—	03-03 23:21
btc updown 5m 1773185700	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	03-10 23:40
btc updown 5m 1773361200	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	03-13 00:22
btc updown 5m 1772613000	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	03-04 08:35
btc updown 5m 1772732400	2	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	03-05 17:46
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	2	$20	31	31	+0	open	—	03-10 19:08
btc updown 5m 1773184500	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	03-10 23:19
spx opens up or down on march 16 2026	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	03-15 22:19
btc updown 5m 1773358800	2	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	03-12 23:43
epl not ars 2026 01 17 ars	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	01-17 17:29
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	03-12 06:44
btc updown 5m 1773091200	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	03-09 21:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	07-04 14:17
btc updown 5m 1773091500	1	$20	37	0	+37	open	—	03-09 21:29
will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	06-11 21:34
btc updown 5m 1773094200	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	03-09 22:12
btc updown 5m 1773356700	2	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	03-12 23:07
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	05-06 19:18
btc updown 5m 1773186600	2	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	03-10 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 20:25:16	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd32c26…
07-04 14:17:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xc3d72a…
06-27 13:19:59	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3d583c…
06-14 20:11:27	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5205df…
06-13 23:23:01	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 btts	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc37ba5…
06-13 21:10:55	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xdc6301…
06-12 21:14:00	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 btts	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2344ae…
06-11 21:34:46	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x2cdcb5…
06-06 19:37:54	England vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x0bc56b…
05-06 19:18:13	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x316533…
05-06 06:15:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x5dd643…
05-05 08:10:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x12c678…
05-04 21:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7736a4…
05-04 21:38:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x337330…
05-01 19:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x15c814…
05-01 19:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x866c5e…
03-22 18:02:13	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0x29f08e…
03-15 22:19:11	spx opens up or down on march 16 2026	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x483a86…
03-13 22:17:23	btc updown 5m 1773440100	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9119be…
03-13 20:18:33	btc updown 5m 1773432900	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa72308…
03-13 16:56:39	btc updown 5m 1773420900	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x118dec…
03-13 15:20:03	btc updown 5m 1773414900	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x0f1f3d…
03-13 15:16:55	btc updown 5m 1773414900	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x6c3547…
03-13 15:15:35	spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x1e361f…
03-13 10:49:13	spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xb2cd3e…
03-13 10:48:55	spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	Down	SELL	64	38¢	$24	0x13e506…
03-13 09:21:27	spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0xf1535e…
03-13 00:25:57	btc updown 5m 1773361500	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb29866…
03-13 00:22:43	btc updown 5m 1773361200	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x76f24d…
03-13 00:20:27	btc updown 5m 1773361200	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x0c5b67…
03-13 00:00:07	btc updown 5m 1773359700	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6ee84b…
03-12 23:59:35	btc updown 5m 1773359700	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa8728d…
03-12 23:55:27	btc updown 5m 1773359700	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x56f603…
03-12 23:54:09	btc updown 5m 1773359400	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4e8578…
03-12 23:51:01	btc updown 5m 1773359100	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x28dc4b…
03-12 23:46:25	btc updown 5m 1773359100	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x7b7b84…
03-12 23:43:09	btc updown 5m 1773358800	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x4662d0…
03-12 23:41:37	btc updown 5m 1773358800	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa9883a…
03-12 23:41:11	btc updown 5m 1773358500	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x03931b…
03-12 23:38:11	btc updown 5m 1773358500	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x501d52…
03-12 23:37:35	btc updown 5m 1773358500	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe384d3…
03-12 23:37:21	btc updown 5m 1773358500	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x08e59a…
03-12 23:31:57	btc updown 5m 1773358200	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x6f6b62…
03-12 23:12:31	btc updown 5m 1773357000	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x82ee0d…
03-12 23:07:23	btc updown 5m 1773356700	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9dbfaf…
03-12 23:06:49	btc updown 5m 1773356700	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2c77bd…
03-12 17:29:15	spx opens up or down on march 12 2026	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7ce183…
03-12 07:01:39	spx opens up or down on march 12 2026	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xe3c1ae…
03-12 06:44:45	bitcoin up or down on march 12	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xc90b33…
03-12 06:44:25	bitcoin above 70k on march 12	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x480bf6…
03-11 22:02:29	btc updown 5m 1773266400	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x38579d…
03-10 23:50:41	btc updown 5m 1773186600	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x057678…
03-10 23:50:13	btc updown 5m 1773186600	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x11f9cb…
03-10 23:48:27	btc updown 5m 1773186300	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x140165…
03-10 23:44:03	btc updown 5m 1773186000	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x050cc5…
03-10 23:40:53	btc updown 5m 1773185700	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc2d46f…
03-10 23:35:53	btc updown 5m 1773185700	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x9bf052…
03-10 23:34:41	btc updown 5m 1773185400	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7ab799…
03-10 23:33:21	btc updown 5m 1773185400	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xafff7a…
03-10 23:27:53	btc updown 5m 1773185100	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x27ff82…
03-10 23:22:11	btc updown 5m 1773184800	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcec324…
03-10 23:19:05	btc updown 5m 1773184500	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xc8eb6e…
03-10 23:13:29	btc updown 5m 1773184200	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xfdd8a6…
03-10 23:06:43	btc updown 5m 1773183900	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe90d47…
03-10 23:01:07	btc updown 5m 1773183300	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x4de8bb…
03-10 22:56:39	btc updown 5m 1773183300	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x163d63…
03-10 22:51:35	btc updown 5m 1773183000	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xdbcd10…
03-10 22:45:55	btc updown 5m 1773182700	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x55325c…
03-10 22:39:17	btc updown 5m 1773182100	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3bf82b…
03-10 19:08:21	spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	Down	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x9b5639…
03-10 19:07:45	btc updown 5m 1773169500	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x530bec…
03-09 23:19:25	spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xeb2607…
03-09 23:05:45	btc updown 5m 1773097200	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x7af3a1…
03-09 23:03:01	btc updown 5m 1773097200	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9df8ea…
03-09 23:01:57	btc updown 5m 1773097200	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xa9884d…
03-09 23:00:25	btc updown 5m 1773096900	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x0f520d…
03-09 22:59:33	btc updown 5m 1773096900	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6f401a…
03-09 22:57:39	btc updown 5m 1773096900	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x7ae876…
03-09 22:40:59	btc updown 5m 1773095700	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1eed43…
03-09 22:35:29	btc updown 5m 1773095700	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5f5ebe…
03-09 22:34:11	btc updown 5m 1773095400	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5301a4…
03-09 22:28:29	btc updown 5m 1773095100	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x907e0d…
03-09 22:12:49	btc updown 5m 1773094200	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xcf98a8…
03-09 22:08:31	btc updown 5m 1773093900	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0e64f3…
03-09 22:07:51	btc updown 5m 1773093900	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x5a7d9e…
03-09 21:32:15	btc updown 5m 1773091800	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xeac3ea…
03-09 21:29:39	btc updown 5m 1773091500	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x6b2fe3…
03-09 21:20:59	btc updown 5m 1773091200	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xe4cccc…
03-09 21:14:59	btc updown 5m 1773090600	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x356840…
03-09 21:14:21	btc updown 5m 1773090600	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd0088f…
03-09 21:06:01	btc updown 5m 1773090300	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x86e4fc…
03-09 21:00:19	btc updown 5m 1773090000	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x03da03…
03-09 20:57:53	btc updown 5m 1773089700	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x58451d…
03-09 20:50:27	btc updown 5m 1773089400	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9d0c49…
03-09 20:41:39	btc updown 5m 1773088800	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xfceb6e…
03-09 08:11:11	bitcoin up or down on march 9	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x792b04…
03-08 22:25:11	btc updown 5m 1773008400	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x111b3c…
03-08 22:20:41	btc updown 5m 1773008400	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb7f616…
03-06 17:12:01	btc updown 5m 1772817000	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x65c2da…
03-06 17:06:09	btc updown 5m 1772816700	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x40c014…