Imaginary-Sink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.2%

Resolved

Trades

369

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-16 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 50% $-86

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	92	$2.5K	3,900	0	+3,900	open	—	05-16 18:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$2.0K	3,488	3,488	+0	open	—	05-16 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	40	$1.8K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-16 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-16 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	17	$1000	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-16 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$930	536	536	+0	open	—	05-16 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$840	500	500	+0	open	—	05-16 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	10	$718	2,006	437	+1,569	open	—	05-16 18:49
btc updown 5m 1775067600	4	$645	399	393	+7	open	—	04-01 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	20	$540	900	0	+900	open	—	05-16 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	44	$536	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	05-16 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$526	667	258	+409	open	—	05-16 21:15
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	7	$414	525	522	+3	open	—	04-01 00:07
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	9	$388	693	758	-65	open	—	04-01 00:05
btc updown 5m 1775067900	2	$340	173	172	+0	open	—	04-01 18:30
btc updown 5m 1775069700	2	$234	875	824	+51	open	—	04-01 18:59
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	8	$205	4,220	4,220	+0	open	—	04-01 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$200	505	0	+505	open	—	05-16 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	15	$161	892	892	+0	open	—	05-16 19:04
btc updown 5m 1773166800	6	$98	61	61	+0	open	—	03-10 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$86	500	0	+500	Up	$-86	05-11 18:22
btc updown 5m 1773165900	4	$62	37	37	+0	open	—	03-10 18:08
btc updown 5m 1775070300	1	$60	119	0	+119	open	—	04-01 19:05
btc updown 5m 1773166500	2	$54	39	38	+1	open	—	03-10 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$48	300	300	+0	open	—	05-16 18:24
btc updown 5m 1773167100	3	$39	40	2	+38	open	—	03-10 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	24	$32	400	0	+400	open	—	05-16 18:38
btc updown 5m 1773165300	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-10 18:00
btc updown 5m 1774928400	2	$20	19	19	+0	open	—	03-31 03:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 21:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	258	10¢	$26	0xb7b86b…
05-16 21:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	667	75¢	$500	0x0c2feb…
05-16 21:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	536	99¢	$530	0x5340dc…
05-16 21:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	269	74¢	$200	0x561334…
05-16 21:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x71064c…
05-16 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,408	50¢	$704	0x300bcf…
05-16 20:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xfb9020…
05-16 20:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x56eb5b…
05-16 20:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x16754b…
05-16 20:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xd34293…
05-16 20:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x359849…
05-16 20:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8cbfda…
05-16 20:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	50¢	$21	0x6f2dac…
05-16 20:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x246a7e…
05-16 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa213bd…
05-16 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x978cb2…
05-16 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7ca05d…
05-16 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x341dec…
05-16 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x341a7e…
05-16 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x283cdc…
05-16 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	191	50¢	$96	0x26207a…
05-16 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x217ac0…
05-16 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	505	40¢	$200	0xc9f741…
05-16 20:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1,000	99¢	$990	0x12f323…
05-16 20:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	63¢	$633	0xbf9a9c…
05-16 20:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xb2429f…
05-16 20:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	135	60¢	$81	0x95cde2…
05-16 20:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x3f29a5…
05-16 20:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xe88534…
05-16 20:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xd5ad9d…
05-16 20:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb0ca45…
05-16 20:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xad7be0…
05-16 20:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x66219d…
05-16 20:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x62f835…
05-16 20:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x3d0c5e…
05-16 20:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfa6275…
05-16 20:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe83417…
05-16 20:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	159	60¢	$95	0x93c3c3…
05-16 20:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8fb18f…
05-16 20:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x8738a4…
05-16 20:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	160	60¢	$96	0x80af4e…
05-16 20:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x6d6a71…
05-16 20:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x619ce6…
05-16 20:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	134	60¢	$80	0x0bbe99…
05-16 20:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0x01fd44…
05-16 20:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1,200	99¢	$1,188	0xae086e…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xefd067…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xd6b91c…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	63	55¢	$34	0xd45476…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xc868d1…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb6e49b…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xb64ff1…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb3ad9e…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x9fe44a…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x9a20c2…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x958a9e…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x955f60…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	39	55¢	$22	0x91414e…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x8d8fbe…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x8c57b1…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x7cf91c…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x7160ce…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x6cc8d7…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6164f1…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x5574fd…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	63	55¢	$34	0x50da68…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x3dc0e9…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x25d4e3…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x24e23f…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1d4132…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x143309…
05-16 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x024e49…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	189	55¢	$104	0xd1d863…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb73f3a…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa5e9e9…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa4bc07…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xa3fadd…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x9ce732…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x938eaa…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	161	55¢	$88	0x8c28f7…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x82bf5c…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x434179…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x3aacd5…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2023ce…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x0d1f2b…
05-16 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe936c7…
05-16 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0xc0f5d8…
05-16 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6cfbb9…
05-16 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x661a4d…
05-16 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x38dc48…
05-16 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0a6bef…
05-16 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x085cae…
05-16 19:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0xfeaaf9…
05-16 19:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf6797a…
05-16 19:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf26869…
05-16 19:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf17e78…
05-16 19:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe4a3dc…
05-16 19:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0xd47fde…
05-16 19:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd39257…
05-16 19:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xcaa29e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	38	$26.8K	5,996	05-16 21:14
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	38	$5.92K	1,334	05-16 21:14
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	38	$3.20K	438	05-16 21:10
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	36	$9.86K	1,925	05-16 21:14
Lone-Stair 0xb18d…26ea	33	$4.24K	362	05-16 21:04
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	32	$2.19K	438	05-16 21:13
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	32	$999	278	05-16 21:14
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	31	$6.57K	418	05-16 21:14