Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.56K

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

13.0%

Resolved

3,033

Trades

10,098

lifetime

Volume

$73.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-13

last 08-31 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

74% 21% -$2,601

Politics

21% 4% -$804

Tech

2% 6% -$99

Crypto

1% 26% -$2

Sports

1% 5% -$39

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 483 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	No		+20	$14	30¢	$6	-$8	08-26 15:21
will a european country take military action on iran by december 31	Yes		+20	$8	4¢	$1	-$8	08-30 04:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 special election?	12	$332	194	194	+0	No	-$1	08-20 13:24
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	6	$255	145	145	+0	Yes	-$1	08-19 01:55
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?	12	$248	195	195	+0	No	-$1	08-18 23:03
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?	14	$201	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	08-19 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 18?	31	$187	186	186	+0	Yes	-$3	08-17 18:16
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	6	$187	150	150	+0	No	-$2	08-25 22:46
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	4	$183	100	100	+0	No	-$1	08-18 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 17?	27	$164	156	156	+0	No	-$1	08-16 15:36
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	10	$161	190	190	+0	No	-$6	08-18 22:04
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	4	$160	88	88	+0	Yes	+$0	08-18 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 17?	30	$154	160	160	+0	Yes	-$1	08-16 20:10
next white house press secretary announced by september 30 2026	4	$153	100	100	+0	No	-$3	08-19 15:42
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	6	$148	150	150	+0	No	-$3	08-17 14:50
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	14	$148	140	140	+0	No	-$1	08-18 15:30
Will "The Last House" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	5	$147	90	70	+20	Yes	+$0	08-23 04:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?	22	$144	136	136	+0	No	-$1	08-15 10:01
Will Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?	14	$143	132	132	+0	open	—	08-31 13:45
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	12	$143	120	120	+0	No	-$4	08-20 03:00
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	12	$141	176	176	+0	No	-$2	08-27 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 18?	21	$139	141	121	+20	Yes	+$7	08-17 22:00
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 24 2026?	9	$138	100	80	+20	Yes	-$8	08-25 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 17?	14	$134	134	134	+0	Yes	-$4	08-16 11:37
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	10	$130	126	126	+0	Yes	-$1	08-28 15:22
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	7	$129	122	72	+50	No	+$10	08-17 20:05
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?	10	$129	115	115	+0	No	-$4	08-17 08:54
will xauusd reach 4550 by august 17 2026	14	$129	140	140	+0	Yes	-$4	08-17 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 16?	15	$126	128	128	+0	No	-$2	08-15 11:37
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	12	$126	120	120	+0	open	—	08-31 15:49
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	8	$125	80	80	+0	No	-$3	08-31 13:32
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?	6	$122	120	120	+0	open	—	08-30 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 19:39:58	will iran target an arab country by september 30 2026 20260831	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x42a36f…
08-31 19:39:54	will iran target an arab country by september 30 2026 20260831	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x160712…
08-31 19:35:13	will trump say amazon in september 20260930	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0f95f4…
08-31 19:25:13	will xagusd reach 69 by august 31 2026	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x3284bb…
08-31 19:25:09	will xagusd reach 69 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x5d6f5f…
08-31 19:16:42	Will Anthropic have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xa453bb…
08-31 19:00:58	will meta dip to 560 by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xea0e0a…
08-31 19:00:51	will meta dip to 560 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7c86ec…
08-31 19:00:34	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x8787cb…
08-31 18:59:39	will xagusd reach 68 by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0xef8a39…
08-31 18:59:30	will xagusd reach 68 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x006806…
08-31 18:57:37	will ewy dip to 175 by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x3b8bf4…
08-31 18:57:28	will ewy dip to 175 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x0d9251…
08-31 18:57:25	will mu reach 960 by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0x3b295f…
08-31 18:57:19	will mu reach 960 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xf0c424…
08-31 18:57:19	will mu reach 960 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0a9c6c…
08-31 18:56:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x1f49de…
08-31 18:48:58	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	No	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xbeceb7…
08-31 18:48:27	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xdcdb47…
08-31 18:45:54	Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x37973d…
08-31 18:45:48	Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xb7142f…
08-31 18:44:19	will xauusd dip to 4350 by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xa11261…
08-31 18:44:13	will xauusd dip to 4350 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xc71bab…
08-31 18:44:12	will xauusd dip to 4350 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x53d272…
08-31 18:39:15	will mu dip to 870 by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xca59e4…
08-31 18:39:10	will mu dip to 870 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x85cf7b…
08-31 18:23:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xdf833c…
08-31 18:18:58	will ewy dip to 175 by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x6e5de1…
08-31 18:18:49	will ewy dip to 175 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x5e18d5…
08-31 18:18:25	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xde77ad…
08-31 18:17:49	will msft dip to 502 50 by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x93b354…
08-31 18:17:15	will msft dip to 502 50 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x7b026e…
08-31 18:17:15	will meta reach 590 by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x600cac…
08-31 18:17:09	will meta reach 590 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x4a3789…
08-31 18:16:49	will meta dip to 560 by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xe5f14f…
08-31 18:16:45	will meta dip to 560 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xd0f3d5…
08-31 18:14:51	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	SELL	17	90¢	$16	0x8a278d…
08-31 18:14:25	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x100870…
08-31 18:00:10	will amzn dip to 256 by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x7fa3e5…
08-31 18:00:06	will amzn dip to 256 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x47865d…
08-31 17:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xebc2d4…
08-31 17:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc6c4eb…
08-31 17:45:39	Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 50k and 70k?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6e82f6…
08-31 17:26:58	chatgpt full outage by september 30	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x77846a…
08-31 17:26:48	chatgpt full outage by september 30	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf47dec…
08-31 17:26:16	will ewy reach 183 by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x900b01…
08-31 17:26:07	will ewy reach 183 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x133594…
08-31 17:13:10	Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?	No	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xfcca36…
08-31 17:12:54	Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x6af6ef…
08-31 17:12:49	Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x8c503d…
08-31 17:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xbe49f0…
08-31 16:59:19	will ewy reach 183 by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x2393c3…
08-31 16:58:40	will ewy reach 183 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xd79edb…
08-31 16:39:09	will trump say meta in september 20260930	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x6300d4…
08-31 16:36:39	will trump say mercedes mercedes benz in september 20260930	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x2dd76b…
08-31 16:15:42	Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x8e5fa0…
08-31 16:15:34	Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x57fcc7…
08-31 16:05:24	will trump say venezuela during healthcare affordability announcement	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x256352…
08-31 16:05:13	will trump say venezuela during healthcare affordability announcement	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x1d5e5b…
08-31 16:01:42	trump issues iran sanctions executive order by september 30	Yes	SELL	15	49¢	$8	0x27d962…
08-31 16:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xbd6f3b…
08-31 16:01:15	trump issues iran sanctions executive order by september 30	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$8	0x5e67a8…
08-31 15:49:58	Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x937466…
08-31 15:49:57	Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x585bae…
08-31 15:47:15	will us crude oil reserves fall to 270m by september 25 2026	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x7a0970…
08-31 15:45:30	will us crude oil reserves fall to 270m by september 25 2026	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x1801c2…
08-31 15:45:21	will us crude oil reserves fall to 270m by september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x563e4f…
08-31 15:31:42	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x55d354…
08-31 15:31:36	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xde4746…
08-31 15:22:34	Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x375174…
08-31 15:22:30	Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x756bea…
08-31 15:11:57	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0x182f78…
08-31 15:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x07b26a…
08-31 15:11:10	Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x5da7f2…
08-31 15:10:36	Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xf5585e…
08-31 15:03:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb89766…
08-31 15:00:09	Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x4b9745…
08-31 15:00:00	Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe065d8…
08-31 14:51:16	will ng reach 3 10 by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xbea70a…
08-31 14:51:13	will ng reach 3 10 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xb006ed…
08-31 14:50:03	will betboom make a roster change by december 31	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x3c74ad…
08-31 14:36:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 1?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7daaa6…
08-31 14:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 1?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x701c60…
08-31 14:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdb6d46…
08-31 14:24:07	Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xf62bc3…
08-31 14:24:01	Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x16bb81…
08-31 14:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x080fc9…
08-31 14:20:31	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 100b hkd	No	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xe205a3…
08-31 14:20:12	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 100b hkd	No	BUY	15	49¢	$8	0x439936…
08-31 14:19:09	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 200B HKD?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x239f96…
08-31 14:19:01	Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 200B HKD?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x152625…
08-31 14:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x02bfc7…
08-31 14:02:15	spy closes above 770 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2695ae…
08-31 14:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x624715…
08-31 13:54:36	Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x002002…
08-31 13:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xf38a1f…
08-31 13:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x05389d…
08-31 13:45:12	Will Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xfdc0e7…
08-31 13:45:09	Will Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xc3f37c…
08-31 13:39:01	Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x8d7884…