Outrageous-Society — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.39K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$22.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$245

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-23 20:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

71% 69% +$838

Crypto

29% 50% +$549

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone	2	$2.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	Mariano Navone	+$598	05-07 20:35
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	2	$2.1K	1,366	1,347	+19	open	—	04-26 19:24
Geneva Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Nishesh Basavareddy	1	$2.0K	3,766	0	+3,766	open	—	05-16 11:07
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	2	$1.9K	1,366	1,366	+0	open	—	05-23 18:20
epl bri che 2026 04 21 bri	2	$1.3K	1,190	1,170	+21	open	—	04-21 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$1.3K	2,396	0	+2,396	open	—	04-30 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$1.1K	2,164	0	+2,164	open	—	05-16 21:29
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paul	2	$890	681	668	+14	open	—	04-24 20:55
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	2	$751	783	783	+0	open	—	04-28 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$608	1,218	0	+1,218	open	—	05-16 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$600	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	05-23 20:49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norrie	2	$541	373	373	+0	Thiago Agustin Tirante	+$205	05-09 10:54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	2	$488	309	309	+0	Thiago Agustin Tirante	+$130	05-11 18:33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse	2	$394	272	272	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$149	05-09 19:16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac	1	$380	644	0	+644	Tomas Machac	$-380	05-07 14:30
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx	1	$308	416	0	+416	open	—	04-30 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$290	576	0	+576	Down	+$286	05-13 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$284	724	0	+724	open	—	04-30 13:02
Set 1 Winner: Fils vs Nava	1	$276	583	0	+583	open	—	04-26 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$255	529	0	+529	Down	+$274	05-10 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$250	1,569	0	+1,569	open	—	04-30 13:13
Set 1 Winner: Fokina vs Ruud	1	$248	361	0	+361	open	—	04-27 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$231	477	0	+477	open	—	05-16 10:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$203	616	616	+0	open	—	04-26 18:33
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	1	$199	265	0	+265	open	—	04-28 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$138	263	0	+263	open	—	05-02 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$137	250	0	+250	open	—	04-30 13:20
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Darderi	2	$135	318	172	+145	open	—	04-27 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$130	245	0	+245	Down	+$115	05-06 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$129	261	0	+261	Up	$-129	05-11 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	683	55¢	$378	0x98456a…
05-23 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	379	59¢	$222	0x1f0070…
05-23 18:20:29	Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	Ignacio Buse	SELL	1,366	100¢	$1,365	0x1f46cc…
05-23 11:27:29	Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	Ignacio Buse	BUY	1,366	42¢	$574	0x4ce749…
05-16 21:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	697	56¢	$388	0x96abc4…
05-16 21:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	941	53¢	$502	0x9bcd3e…
05-16 21:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	525	50¢	$260	0x416dc3…
05-16 11:07:53	Geneva Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Daniel Galan	BUY	3,766	52¢	$1,971	0xdc170b…
05-16 10:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,218	50¢	$608	0x1fb277…
05-16 10:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	477	48¢	$231	0x586408…
05-16 10:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x2f40f4…
05-13 22:40:25	Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenko	Raphael Collignon	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0xf454de…
05-13 22:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	84	49¢	$41	0xd9c98c…
05-13 22:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	235	52¢	$122	0x6ab33d…
05-13 04:58:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	BUY	158	79¢	$124	0xfe45fc…
05-13 04:54:18	Bordeaux: Otto Virtanen vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Otto Virtanen	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x50908b…
05-13 04:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	576	50¢	$290	0x51aa6a…
05-12 17:50:43	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	278	42¢	$117	0x44bb7d…
05-12 04:56:45	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	119	65¢	$77	0x8c004c…
05-11 18:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	228	52¢	$118	0x6d4968…
05-11 18:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	261	50¢	$129	0xb17180…
05-11 18:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	106	48¢	$51	0xe9bd73…
05-11 18:33:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	309	100¢	$309	0x6df7b6…
05-11 18:02:31	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	309	58¢	$179	0xb0cb6a…
05-10 07:42:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Lehecka	Casper Ruud	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xa3fe53…
05-10 05:08:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Blockx	BUY	105	22¢	$23	0xb3c025…
05-10 04:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	529	48¢	$255	0xebd1d0…
05-10 04:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xc9fa0e…
05-10 04:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	94	52¢	$49	0xf2ec49…
05-09 19:16:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	272	100¢	$272	0xb0e5f6…
05-09 16:09:03	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	272	45¢	$122	0x200e05…
05-09 13:57:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	SELL	84	40¢	$34	0x10a09a…
05-09 10:55:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	BUY	84	37¢	$31	0x381d46…
05-09 10:54:23	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norrie	Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	373	100¢	$373	0x64001d…
05-09 09:08:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norrie	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	373	45¢	$168	0xf47f09…
05-07 21:07:49	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	BUY	171	67¢	$114	0xa2d611…
05-07 20:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x23c9f3…
05-07 20:35:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0xd0abd8…
05-07 19:59:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	33¢	$57	0x8fad1e…
05-07 18:46:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	BUY	1,500	60¢	$900	0x54a847…
05-07 14:30:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	644	59¢	$380	0xc34fe6…
05-07 12:47:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x1fe145…
05-07 04:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	93	53¢	$49	0x56165b…
05-07 02:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	96	50¢	$48	0xd85fdd…
05-07 02:39:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x04f5c7…
05-06 20:41:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	SELL	154	16¢	$25	0x58d1b3…
05-06 20:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x832b36…
05-06 20:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	245	53¢	$130	0x01e45a…
05-06 20:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	116	51¢	$59	0xcb5772…
05-06 19:06:37	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	154	39¢	$60	0x34731a…
05-06 12:58:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0xfddafe…
05-05 19:11:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0xe16f48…
05-05 18:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x22dc61…
05-05 18:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	186	51¢	$95	0xdfa078…
05-05 18:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	101	48¢	$49	0xb9a908…
05-03 20:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	66	44¢	$29	0xf5557e…
05-03 05:16:40	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	68	18¢	$12	0x6b8969…
05-03 05:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0x761f4f…
05-03 04:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x00d61f…
05-03 04:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xa9085f…
05-02 17:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	263	52¢	$138	0x58349e…
05-02 17:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x975816…
05-01 10:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x9b6ead…
05-01 07:22:06	Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Blockx	BUY	88	23¢	$20	0x4920b6…
04-30 20:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	703	55¢	$389	0xa4d7cc…
04-30 20:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,693	54¢	$911	0x1aa9da…
04-30 13:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	250	55¢	$137	0x5183a9…
04-30 13:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	947	15¢	$144	0x648861…
04-30 13:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	621	17¢	$106	0x259beb…
04-30 13:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	724	39¢	$284	0xa12804…
04-30 10:57:52	Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx	Casper Ruud	BUY	416	74¢	$308	0x1b545e…
04-29 22:08:32	Abidjan 2: Maks Kasnikowski vs Calvin Hemery	Maks Kasnikowski	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0xe8ebcc…
04-29 17:53:10	Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Lehecka	Arthur Fils	BUY	179	62¢	$111	0x9d404c…
04-28 20:06:20	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	265	75¢	$199	0x4eefdb…
04-28 13:32:24	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Stefanos Tsitsipas	SELL	783	67¢	$524	0xf4b516…
04-28 12:41:04	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	783	29¢	$227	0xa8de0f…
04-27 13:26:08	Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Darderi	Darderi	SELL	172	3¢	$5	0x4ca176…
04-27 13:04:10	Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Darderi	Darderi	BUY	318	41¢	$130	0xab19d2…
04-27 09:08:56	Set 1 Winner: Fokina vs Ruud	Ruud	BUY	361	69¢	$248	0x627a22…
04-26 19:24:02	Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Cameron Norrie	SELL	1,347	100¢	$1,345	0xded270…
04-26 18:55:16	Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	154	56¢	$86	0x895ba8…
04-26 18:33:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	616	14¢	$86	0x8c4754…
04-26 15:59:18	Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Cameron Norrie	BUY	1,366	53¢	$724	0xb90843…
04-26 15:29:02	Set 1 Winner: Fils vs Nava	Nava	BUY	583	47¢	$276	0x737318…
04-24 21:07:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	616	19¢	$117	0xb802f3…
04-24 20:55:24	Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paul	Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	668	100¢	$667	0x9fa953…
04-24 19:01:22	Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paul	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	681	33¢	$223	0x8eb552…
04-21 19:49:14	epl bri che 2026 04 21 bri	Yes	SELL	1,170	71¢	$831	0xdb3fc1…
04-21 18:13:32	epl bri che 2026 04 21 bri	Yes	BUY	1,190	42¢	$500	0x053f87…
04-20 14:38:10	Oeiras 4: Greet Minnen vs Carole Monnet	Greet Minnen	BUY	88	56¢	$49	0xe547d5…
04-20 14:13:38	btc updown 5m 1776694200	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x080bf0…