Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-05 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

61% 39% -$59

Crypto

17% 55% -$8

Politics

17% 50% +$7

Tech

5% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$167	89	89	+0	No	+$2	03-28 08:38
spx up or down on march 26 2026	3	$126	100	100	+0	Down	+$20	03-26 20:44
spx up or down on march 24 2026	2	$101	78	78	+0	Down	+$20	03-24 17:41
spx up or down on march 23 2026	3	$101	109	99	+10	Up	+$4	03-22 22:50
spx up or down on march 2 2026	4	$79	49	49	+0	Up	+$9	03-02 13:24
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	1	$78	115	0	+115	Up	-$78	04-05 19:17
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	3	$70	41	41	+0	Yes	+$6	03-18 19:14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$65	50	50	+0	Yes	+$5	04-03 11:19
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	2	$47	37	37	+0	Yes	-$21	03-09 23:22
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	2	$44	100	0	+100	open	—	10-05 02:30
Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	2	$42	48	0	+48	open	—	10-05 02:42
bitcoin above 66k on april 2	2	$38	50	50	+0	Yes	+$12	04-02 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:30 UTC	5	$37	43	43	+0	Down	+$6	03-01 04:34
spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	2	$36	26	26	+0	Down	+$16	03-27 13:13
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$36	29	29	+0	No	+$5	03-04 06:40
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$24	30	30	+0	No	-$5	03-09 23:22
will trump say enemy 3 times during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	03-02 18:03
bitcoin above 68k on april 5	2	$22	70	0	+70	No	-$22	04-02 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:40 UTC	2	$22	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	03-01 04:41
highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 44 45f	2	$19	31	31	+0	Yes	-$1	03-04 17:14
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$19	24	24	+0	No	-$1	03-04 17:15
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	2	$18	14	14	+0	No	-$2	03-04 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 02:50 UTC	2	$16	12	11	+0	Down	+$7	03-01 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:00 UTC	2	$15	11	10	+0	Down	+$5	03-03 03:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:20 UTC	2	$14	16	15	+0	Up	+$4	03-03 03:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$13	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-27 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 02:55 UTC	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	03-03 02:56
will sp 500 spx close at 6400 6500 in march	2	$12	10	10	+0	No	+$3	03-31 16:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:25 UTC	2	$11	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	03-03 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:30 UTC	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	03-03 03:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 16:58:17	Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x4e47ca…
10-05 02:42:34	Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	No	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x72fb58…
10-05 02:37:41	Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x87a206…
10-05 02:30:59	Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x955107…
10-05 02:29:07	Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x1ea8a6…
10-05 02:28:04	Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x8d7118…
10-05 02:26:22	Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x15e2da…
04-06 15:16:53	spx up or down on april 6 2026	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x09a13d…
04-05 19:17:59	spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	Down	BUY	115	68¢	$78	0xc6c560…
04-03 11:19:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x0502a6…
04-02 15:31:31	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	No	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x99c136…
04-02 14:03:15	bitcoin above 68k on april 5	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x57cb7d…
04-02 13:12:11	bitcoin above 66k on april 2	No	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x0b9d25…
04-02 04:26:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 5	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x5195a2…
04-02 04:25:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 5	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x90683f…
04-02 04:20:11	bitcoin above 68k on april 5	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x6fcbbd…
04-02 02:51:59	bitcoin above 66k on april 2	No	BUY	50	27¢	$13	0x5ef258…
04-02 02:48:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x8d6783…
04-02 02:47:21	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	No	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0x03c9ec…
03-31 16:08:41	will sp 500 spx close at 6400 6500 in march	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x6b6caa…
03-31 04:31:25	will sp 500 spx close at 6400 6500 in march	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2de675…
03-31 04:30:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	35	61¢	$21	0xcf2825…
03-28 08:38:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	89	95¢	$85	0x9d53dd…
03-27 21:10:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x313858…
03-27 21:09:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	89	93¢	$83	0x5aab62…
03-27 21:08:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x22241e…
03-27 13:13:21	spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xf9ab03…
03-26 23:17:29	spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x02bcfa…
03-26 20:44:45	spx up or down on march 26 2026	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe974b8…
03-26 14:29:29	spx up or down on march 26 2026	Down	SELL	90	70¢	$63	0x300d26…
03-26 03:38:37	spx up or down on march 26 2026	Down	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x84b74b…
03-25 04:37:33	spx up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x681478…
03-25 04:36:23	spx opens up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xaaeebe…
03-24 17:41:25	spx up or down on march 24 2026	Down	SELL	78	78¢	$61	0x4bd392…
03-24 15:59:41	spx up or down on march 24 2026	Down	BUY	78	52¢	$41	0xeac8b1…
03-22 22:50:15	spx up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xe09aa3…
03-22 04:54:55	spx up or down on march 23 2026	Down	SELL	99	53¢	$52	0x3aa698…
03-22 01:12:01	spx up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	99	43¢	$43	0x0dd58c…
03-18 19:14:31	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	41	93¢	$38	0xc5b820…
03-09 23:22:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	34	77¢	$26	0x98fc5a…
03-09 23:22:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x6cd3b2…
03-09 23:22:21	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	Yes	SELL	37	36¢	$13	0xdd22f3…
03-09 23:22:19	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x8a0c55…
03-09 17:56:01	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	Yes	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x775b53…
03-09 17:53:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x1d5ef8…
03-09 15:48:25	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xe9c25c…
03-07 13:11:59	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x28dcc7…
03-07 00:33:29	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x2558ea…
03-07 00:16:57	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x88be89…
03-04 20:01:29	highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 46 47f	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc74c1e…
03-04 17:22:03	highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 46 47f	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x5111c2…
03-04 17:15:03	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	14	53¢	$8	0xe118df…
03-04 17:15:01	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0x79e503…
03-04 17:14:39	highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 44 45f	Yes	SELL	31	28¢	$9	0xb6c4cd…
03-04 16:03:49	highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 42 43f	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0x319d65…
03-04 06:42:03	highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 44 45f	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8c3133…
03-04 06:41:55	highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 42 43f	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xaf7008…
03-04 06:41:03	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xd8c561…
03-04 06:40:45	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x134af7…
03-04 05:22:59	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3df19a…
03-04 05:14:13	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x828c64…
03-04 05:10:21	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1ca547…
03-03 20:04:59	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x38c197…
03-03 19:06:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x9ae041…
03-03 17:13:01	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xd59c60…
03-03 03:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb5fd58…
03-03 03:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x2440b8…
03-03 03:40:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	778	1¢	$7	0x25f33a…
03-03 03:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x22b822…
03-03 03:36:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x558a8d…
03-03 03:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x3d54cb…
03-03 03:29:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2d2ba4…
03-03 03:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:25 UTC	Up	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x5b62d3…
03-03 03:25:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x45f9dc…
03-03 03:24:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	15	55¢	$9	0x5f8d4e…
03-03 03:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x71b0c3…
03-03 03:13:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x3fe9e5…
03-03 03:11:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x27ea5c…
03-03 03:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbe3e32…
03-03 03:03:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x1fbbbb…
03-03 03:01:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb6ca78…
03-03 02:56:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x915f71…
03-03 02:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xac4419…
03-03 02:39:11	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x196cea…
03-02 20:00:57	elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 65 89	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xb217f3…
03-02 18:03:39	will trump say enemy 3 times during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf47215…
03-02 13:24:57	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	SELL	42	89¢	$38	0x5e690d…
03-02 13:21:27	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xc8c333…
03-01 16:48:07	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x512a09…
03-01 16:46:29	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xad8a2b…
03-01 16:11:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7b3474…
03-01 14:38:51	will trump say enemy 3 times during medal of honor ceremony on march 2	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf02706…
03-01 14:31:03	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0xffa164…
03-01 05:00:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xafdba6…
03-01 04:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x4f6acc…
03-01 04:45:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa40977…
03-01 04:41:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:40 UTC	Up	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xdb1150…
03-01 04:40:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x3aee24…
03-01 04:34:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	33	47¢	$15	0x07a153…
03-01 04:32:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xe9e60e…