Watery-Stimulus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$175

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

328

Trades

1,132

lifetime

Volume

$3.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-13 12:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% -$175

Other

0% 17% -$2

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 06:00 UTC	3	$77	41	40	+0	Up	+$4	04-14 06:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:00 UTC	9	$73	39	39	+0	Up	+$5	07-13 06:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:05 UTC	8	$64	35	33	+2	Up	+$2	07-13 04:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:20 UTC	8	$58	92	52	+41	Up	-$2	07-13 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	7	$52	41	25	+15	Down	+$7	07-13 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:10 UTC	6	$51	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	07-13 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:50 UTC	5	$48	28	28	+0	Up	+$8	07-13 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:05 UTC	5	$47	28	28	+0	Up	+$7	07-13 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 08:30 UTC	4	$47	77	73	+4	Up	+$7	04-14 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 21:50 UTC	13	$44	25	25	+0	Down	+$4	07-12 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:55 UTC	5	$43	53	26	+27	Up	+$10	07-13 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 06:20 UTC	3	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	04-14 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 07:35 UTC	4	$39	23	23	+1	Down	+$7	04-14 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 22:50 UTC	9	$38	42	0	+42	Up	+$0	07-12 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:45 UTC	4	$37	22	22	+0	Up	+$7	07-13 04:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 20:30 UTC	6	$36	33	18	+14	Up	+$0	04-19 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 22:55 UTC	9	$36	37	0	+37	Up	+$1	07-12 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 20:40 UTC	5	$35	39	17	+22	Down	-$1	04-19 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 20:25 UTC	4	$35	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	04-19 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 20:15 UTC	6	$35	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	04-19 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 21:25 UTC	5	$34	19	19	+0	Down	+$2	07-12 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:55 UTC	6	$33	21	16	+6	Down	-$3	07-12 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:40 UTC	7	$32	22	21	+1	Down	+$11	04-14 05:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 20:00 UTC	7	$32	41	16	+25	Down	$0	04-19 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 04:50 UTC	7	$32	19	19	+0	Down	+$6	04-14 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 07:30 UTC	6	$30	30	15	+14	Down	+$0	04-14 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:10 UTC	5	$30	32	15	+17	Down	+$0	04-19 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:15 UTC	6	$30	34	0	+34	Down	-$30	07-13 07:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 23:00 UTC	8	$30	132	0	+132	Down	+$2	07-12 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	07-12 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 12:03:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7a9192…
07-13 12:03:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe7274e…
07-13 11:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5464b4…
07-13 11:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8f79e8…
07-13 11:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc034e3…
07-13 11:06:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3eff38…
07-13 11:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xa754a8…
07-13 07:26:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6804e6…
07-13 07:18:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7f9fbf…
07-13 07:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x934c18…
07-13 07:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3214c5…
07-13 07:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1b9acf…
07-13 07:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xeda3f8…
07-13 07:16:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2065ba…
07-13 07:05:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x663bb8…
07-13 07:05:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf0da30…
07-13 07:00:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xae7b45…
07-13 06:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6e9c9e…
07-13 06:58:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x140334…
07-13 06:55:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2b65a2…
07-13 06:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xaadc0b…
07-13 06:51:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe3026b…
07-13 06:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa729d6…
07-13 06:48:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfe5e07…
07-13 06:46:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x30ff7f…
07-13 06:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x93df4e…
07-13 06:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4d21f2…
07-13 06:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdb2ab5…
07-13 06:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	25	85¢	$22	0x3dca2a…
07-13 06:31:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa9471c…
07-13 06:31:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8f1b33…
07-13 06:31:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2e4094…
07-13 06:27:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xada337…
07-13 06:27:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x967173…
07-13 06:27:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe45350…
07-13 06:27:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x14797a…
07-13 06:26:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x20d4c0…
07-13 06:24:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x27554e…
07-13 06:23:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:20 UTC	Down	SELL	21	57¢	$12	0xcf8e8d…
07-13 06:22:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x768ef9…
07-13 06:22:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2b3687…
07-13 06:22:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:20 UTC	Down	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x5e9332…
07-13 06:20:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x13fc6e…
07-13 06:20:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa8acec…
07-13 06:20:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4c47f1…
07-13 06:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xacf9d7…
07-13 06:17:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8a4753…
07-13 06:17:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x4f15e1…
07-13 06:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4aaa7d…
07-13 06:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xc1ccfe…
07-13 06:10:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6b0116…
07-13 06:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x877185…
07-13 06:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xb624bc…
07-13 06:08:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x75a425…
07-13 06:07:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xab02ad…
07-13 06:05:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6e7923…
07-13 06:05:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x0ba41c…
07-13 06:04:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1e3667…
07-13 06:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfa7725…
07-13 06:02:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x59adcc…
07-13 06:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb396b1…
07-13 06:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x553b8d…
07-13 06:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1054fd…
07-13 06:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x361b89…
07-13 06:01:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x53565e…
07-13 06:00:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:55 UTC	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xeb1ddf…
07-13 05:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x7adff5…
07-13 05:59:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8c8f5e…
07-13 05:57:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xad8fba…
07-13 05:56:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x335a48…
07-13 05:53:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb19c36…
07-13 05:53:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xedfafb…
07-13 05:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x61a72d…
07-13 05:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x00d656…
07-13 04:55:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:50 UTC	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x66f4a4…
07-13 04:52:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x98cd31…
07-13 04:51:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0cbcb8…
07-13 04:51:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa7503e…
07-13 04:51:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa40aa2…
07-13 04:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x39f3a4…
07-13 04:46:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5add6b…
07-13 04:46:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x725235…
07-13 04:45:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb39f85…
07-13 04:41:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa6457e…
07-13 04:41:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xcab8de…
07-13 04:37:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x143a3d…
07-13 04:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd65ae8…
07-13 04:36:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd6e31c…
07-13 04:36:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x42ec21…
07-13 04:36:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa96250…
07-13 04:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x47f69a…
07-13 04:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x69862e…
07-13 04:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x3d3d4b…
07-13 04:13:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe1488d…
07-13 04:13:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x577e41…
07-13 04:12:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3d2201…
07-13 04:12:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x51d58b…
07-13 04:12:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7383c3…
07-13 04:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x5f485a…
07-13 04:08:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x9f502d…