Watery-Stimulus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

Trades

784

lifetime

Volume

$2.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-08 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 48% $-29

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776146400	3	$77	41	40	+0	open	—	04-14 06:05
btc updown 5m 1776155400	4	$47	77	73	+4	open	—	04-14 08:36
btc updown 5m 1776147600	3	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-14 06:25
btc updown 5m 1776152100	4	$39	23	23	+1	open	—	04-14 07:40
btc updown 5m 1776630600	6	$36	33	18	+14	open	—	04-19 20:35
btc updown 5m 1776631200	5	$35	39	17	+22	open	—	04-19 20:45
btc updown 5m 1776630300	4	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 20:30
btc updown 5m 1776629700	6	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 20:20
btc updown 5m 1776145200	7	$32	22	21	+1	open	—	04-14 05:45
btc updown 5m 1776628800	7	$32	41	16	+25	open	—	04-19 20:05
btc updown 5m 1776142200	7	$32	19	19	+0	open	—	04-14 04:55
btc updown 5m 1776151800	6	$30	30	15	+14	open	—	04-14 07:35
btc updown 5m 1776633000	5	$30	32	15	+17	open	—	04-19 21:15
btc updown 5m 1776146700	3	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	04-14 06:10
btc updown 5m 1776713700	4	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	04-20 19:40
btc updown 5m 1776714000	5	$29	21	14	+7	open	—	04-20 19:45
btc updown 5m 1776711900	6	$29	30	15	+14	open	—	04-20 19:10
btc updown 5m 1776152700	4	$29	19	18	+1	open	—	04-14 07:50
btc updown 5m 1776633300	5	$28	39	14	+25	open	—	04-19 21:20
btc updown 5m 1776151500	4	$28	29	15	+15	open	—	04-14 07:30
btc updown 5m 1776632700	3	$26	16	15	+0	open	—	04-19 21:10
btc updown 5m 1776148200	4	$26	45	0	+45	open	—	04-14 06:33
btc updown 5m 1776712500	4	$26	27	13	+14	open	—	04-20 19:20
btc updown 5m 1776633600	5	$25	23	13	+10	open	—	04-19 21:25
btc updown 5m 1776629100	4	$25	15	12	+3	open	—	04-19 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$24	41	0	+41	Down	$-7	05-06 18:29
btc updown 5m 1776144900	7	$24	16	12	+4	open	—	04-14 05:40
btc updown 5m 1776285000	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-15 20:35
btc updown 5m 1776713100	4	$23	17	11	+5	open	—	04-20 19:30
btc updown 5m 1776152400	5	$23	28	0	+28	open	—	04-14 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 05:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0f67fd…
05-08 05:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x493a93…
05-08 05:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x19eb8c…
05-08 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7f249f…
05-08 05:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x80afaf…
05-08 05:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0bb9c7…
05-08 05:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x07e41d…
05-08 05:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe3c32c…
05-08 05:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x584ba0…
05-08 05:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc11813…
05-08 05:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4aa15d…
05-08 05:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc8ab77…
05-08 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x619eaf…
05-08 05:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa09f97…
05-08 05:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6fd7d1…
05-08 05:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc9ebad…
05-08 05:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x62042d…
05-08 05:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x93c5f8…
05-08 05:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x8c7567…
05-08 05:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4aaf91…
05-08 05:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb121ef…
05-08 05:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x146281…
05-08 05:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x18e32e…
05-08 04:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x39054c…
05-08 04:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3c10b7…
05-08 04:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe02004…
05-08 04:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3cf31d…
05-08 04:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1fe61a…
05-08 04:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xa5f06b…
05-08 04:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x00e412…
05-08 04:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2cea8e…
05-08 04:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf68e30…
05-08 04:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf7c7dd…
05-08 04:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x73eb16…
05-08 04:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0495c5…
05-08 04:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x582223…
05-08 04:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x61bc4c…
05-08 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4b1625…
05-08 04:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3b1ccb…
05-08 04:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x648867…
05-08 03:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x22bd5d…
05-08 03:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcf1778…
05-08 03:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd41252…
05-08 03:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfdd4cb…
05-08 03:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb09123…
05-08 03:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf066a9…
05-08 03:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb87124…
05-08 03:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf0b5c8…
05-08 03:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x722fef…
05-08 03:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2b45e2…
05-08 03:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0905a9…
05-08 03:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb63514…
05-08 03:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc9552b…
05-08 03:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xed1c1b…
05-08 03:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1f2029…
05-08 03:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2290a7…
05-08 03:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xfa407f…
05-08 03:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe7133e…
05-08 03:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x62811e…
05-08 03:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfba764…
05-08 02:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x67a2ee…
05-08 02:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5a1bd5…
05-08 02:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe6df02…
05-06 19:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb5ecef…
05-06 19:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x483eba…
05-06 19:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2b6c02…
05-06 19:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4fadbb…
05-06 19:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x509df2…
05-06 19:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x021703…
05-06 18:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x74b1c7…
05-06 18:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x4c618a…
05-06 18:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7f77cf…
05-06 18:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf5d9b1…
05-06 18:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x8377ec…
05-06 18:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcd04a4…
05-06 18:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7dd36a…
05-06 18:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x756f36…
05-06 18:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf10191…
05-06 18:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc6c7d0…
05-06 18:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x533f10…
05-06 18:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x87fd3a…
05-06 18:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xcb8716…
05-06 18:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1ab2d7…
05-06 18:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x312e2a…
05-06 18:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbd3bda…
05-06 18:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xf7fa88…
05-06 18:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd9a037…
05-06 18:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf07ec3…
05-06 18:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xcdeab8…
05-06 18:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x246dcf…
05-06 18:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xae7cdf…
05-06 18:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb3447c…
05-06 18:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd07808…
05-06 18:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x40261c…
05-06 18:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x25e639…
05-06 18:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xef0ac8…
05-06 17:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc22720…
05-06 17:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x6bb0e6…
05-06 17:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa6fbdd…
05-06 17:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8fdbd6…