Imaginary-Facility-Prisoner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-15 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$200	498	471	+27	open	—	05-14 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	5	$133	175	101	+74	Down	+$7	05-13 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$100	156	0	+156	Up	+$56	05-12 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$97	135	74	+61	open	—	05-14 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$94	120	89	+31	open	—	05-14 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$70	50	50	+0	Down	+$30	05-08 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$54	50	50	+0	Up	+$14	05-08 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$50	82	0	+82	open	—	05-14 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$50	92	0	+92	Down	$-50	05-09 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$50	79	0	+79	open	—	05-14 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$30	64	0	+64	Up	+$34	05-09 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$27	35	19	+16	Down	+$3	05-09 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$26	43	19	+24	Down	+$10	05-08 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	05-14 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Down	+$11	05-12 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$21	43	0	+43	Down	$-19	05-09 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$21	28	16	+12	Down	+$3	05-08 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$20	31	0	+31	Up	+$11	05-09 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$20	27	0	+27	Down	$-1	05-08 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$20	31	0	+31	Down	$-7	05-08 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$17	26	26	+0	Down	$-3	05-08 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$16	22	22	+0	Down	$-4	05-08 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$15	17	8	+9	open	—	05-14 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$15	32	0	+32	Down	+$17	05-09 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$13	17	17	+0	Down	$-7	05-08 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$12	18	8	+10	open	—	05-14 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	05-09 18:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 12:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0f6a03…
05-15 12:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa47370…
05-15 12:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1e82f2…
05-14 21:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1b4d84…
05-14 21:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xfb1477…
05-14 21:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x878e51…
05-14 21:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb823d3…
05-14 21:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x60d6e8…
05-14 20:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb64782…
05-14 20:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x08c6d1…
05-14 20:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf7d4a1…
05-14 20:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x83b5f0…
05-14 20:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa4ae90…
05-14 20:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x6fd879…
05-14 20:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xd5c0b5…
05-14 20:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0x43050d…
05-14 20:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	56	23¢	$13	0x04ee60…
05-14 20:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xcd100f…
05-14 20:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x4b3b17…
05-14 20:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x289265…
05-14 19:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	44	11¢	$5	0x725bc2…
05-14 19:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe93181…
05-14 19:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	427	16¢	$70	0xccbbaf…
05-14 19:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	471	21¢	$100	0x4063a4…
05-14 19:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x539e81…
05-14 19:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xc9483d…
05-14 19:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x8dc66f…
05-14 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xb380f4…
05-14 14:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x1cd4aa…
05-14 14:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x94a4d3…
05-14 14:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	74	30¢	$22	0x1aaaa8…
05-14 14:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xb99948…
05-13 21:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x8a70d5…
05-13 21:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x5f3e69…
05-13 21:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	101	33¢	$33	0xa91ac5…
05-13 21:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x47849f…
05-13 21:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xb85ff0…
05-12 19:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x94e41d…
05-12 19:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xf1a17f…
05-12 19:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xd21d21…
05-12 19:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x5a5e99…
05-12 12:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xe2338b…
05-09 21:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x2ad210…
05-09 21:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3386a3…
05-09 21:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0xb736a5…
05-09 21:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x881e72…
05-09 21:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xeece9b…
05-09 21:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5db795…
05-09 21:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x69070e…
05-09 21:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x649044…
05-09 21:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x324aad…
05-09 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x29f8af…
05-09 21:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x771a88…
05-09 21:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xed73df…
05-09 20:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x015732…
05-09 20:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9a9bff…
05-09 19:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7567b6…
05-09 19:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x86d115…
05-09 19:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xcd47db…
05-09 18:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0508b2…
05-09 17:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x354657…
05-09 16:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xa2f64f…
05-09 16:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x96ccc3…
05-09 16:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xde8d99…
05-09 16:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xee767a…
05-09 13:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xa5846a…
05-09 13:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x353329…
05-09 13:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x5636b3…
05-09 05:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc4143c…
05-09 05:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x8339fc…
05-08 23:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc32fd5…
05-08 23:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x77620a…
05-08 23:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf45201…
05-08 23:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe8dbaf…
05-08 23:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	29¢	$6	0x828549…
05-08 23:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2d6532…
05-08 23:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xa6cb13…
05-08 23:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x1acda4…
05-08 23:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xf419c6…
05-08 23:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb00360…
05-08 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xc518be…
05-08 22:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xceadbd…
05-08 22:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	26	27¢	$7	0xd5169e…
05-08 22:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xec312b…
05-08 22:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xb123bc…
05-08 22:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5d5312…
05-08 22:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	28	42¢	$12	0xf85a5b…
05-08 22:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x45071f…
05-08 22:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0xa8a4d2…
05-08 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x55eb8a…
05-08 22:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x8276a4…
05-08 22:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x023b63…
05-08 22:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x2f5ba6…
05-08 22:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xc55c76…
05-08 22:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7bdb25…
05-08 22:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x77e58e…
05-08 22:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x239723…
05-08 22:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0d9b8c…