Gracious-Pickle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

Trades

12,125

lifetime

Volume

$13.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 07-30 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

51% 38% $-3

Politics

26% — —

Crypto

17% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-15

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	6	$744	600	600	+0	open	—	07-14 13:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	16	$546	517	517	+0	open	—	04-19 13:06
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	14	$404	504	504	+0	open	—	07-08 03:21
spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	2	$376	200	200	+0	open	—	07-14 13:01
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	07-24 06:11
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	4	$360	200	200	+0	open	—	07-15 09:39
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$354	200	200	+0	open	—	07-21 02:38
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	23	$349	737	733	+4	open	—	04-21 12:05
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	21	$347	422	422	+0	open	—	07-07 11:26
spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	9	$338	223	173	+50	open	—	06-04 13:29
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	9	$318	320	320	+0	open	—	04-19 14:13
aapl up or down on april 16 2026	8	$279	811	200	+611	open	—	04-16 16:03
val nova jdg 2026 07 17	6	$268	320	70	+250	open	—	07-17 09:17
spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	8	$267	300	150	+150	open	—	07-24 08:33
spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	9	$245	311	89	+221	open	—	07-13 09:41
cs2 m80 nip 2026 07 21 game2	1	$242	250	0	+250	open	—	07-21 11:57
spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	6	$201	300	200	+100	open	—	07-21 08:44
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	8	$199	106	106	+0	open	—	06-16 14:01
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	4	$199	200	200	+0	open	—	04-18 13:07
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	8	$195	200	200	+0	open	—	06-17 03:12
qqq up or down on april 15 2026	3	$188	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 00:25
qqq up or down on april 16 2026	5	$182	200	260	-60	open	—	04-16 08:29
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	3	$177	100	100	+0	open	—	07-09 02:24
spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	11	$169	220	20	+200	open	—	07-28 13:30
ng up or down on april 22 2026	2	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	9	$150	180	280	-100	open	—	04-20 06:24
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	8	$146	80	80	+0	open	—	06-26 03:37
spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	8	$135	140	40	+100	open	—	07-30 08:31
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	6	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	06-05 06:03
will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	6	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	06-25 12:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 08:31:18	spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x548f29…
07-30 08:09:18	spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	Up	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x6c023b…
07-30 08:02:09	spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x449eb8…
07-30 08:01:18	spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xce02d3…
07-30 04:48:26	spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x983c8c…
07-30 04:20:45	spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xef1ccf…
07-30 02:38:29	spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xa6f196…
07-30 02:27:02	spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	91	79¢	$72	0xda3283…
07-28 13:30:04	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x0096a8…
07-28 12:30:55	will trumps remarks not air 20260728022316515	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x2d5b87…
07-28 11:20:20	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x27e2f7…
07-28 11:00:29	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x87cb89…
07-28 09:50:28	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x85e09f…
07-28 09:45:16	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x163db4…
07-28 09:44:20	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x29a737…
07-28 08:24:58	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xad24de…
07-28 08:24:58	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x52c603…
07-28 08:24:55	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xdca252…
07-28 07:17:00	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xe66234…
07-28 06:55:46	spx opens up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x7bd78f…
07-27 07:49:06	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xdfaf91…
07-27 07:48:01	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9db3b3…
07-27 06:17:00	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Down	SELL	199	1¢	$2	0xb9f762…
07-27 05:27:54	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x70cbac…
07-27 05:15:49	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Down	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xf38889…
07-27 04:33:34	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Down	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xd62090…
07-27 03:09:19	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Down	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xf67946…
07-27 03:07:21	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x754f8b…
07-27 02:56:13	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Down	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x377f99…
07-27 02:53:04	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa38263…
07-27 02:52:15	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0x2d4ace…
07-27 02:51:00	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Down	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x5ef90e…
07-27 02:43:57	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xbcb86f…
07-24 08:33:01	spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	Up	SELL	41	75¢	$30	0xac3821…
07-24 08:31:12	spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x6730ce…
07-24 08:05:25	spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xa57451…
07-24 06:11:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xc81728…
07-24 05:25:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x5c943e…
07-24 04:28:48	spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	Up	SELL	51	50¢	$25	0xb0af7f…
07-24 04:28:42	spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	Up	SELL	49	50¢	$25	0x67a6be…
07-24 03:24:30	spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x71dcf5…
07-24 02:37:13	spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0xbbfc13…
07-24 02:36:28	spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x0ef4aa…
07-23 09:58:15	cs2 run2 ent2 2026 07 23 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	245	0¢	$0	0xe7962f…
07-23 09:37:19	cs2 run2 ent2 2026 07 23 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcaa3f4…
07-23 09:30:52	cs2 run2 ent2 2026 07 23 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xc2255e…
07-23 09:26:40	cs2 run2 ent2 2026 07 23 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x1062e9…
07-22 08:05:19	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x9b918e…
07-22 06:13:09	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xd20220…
07-22 06:12:40	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xcdf148…
07-22 06:09:46	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xb910cb…
07-22 06:09:07	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x47f1fe…
07-22 01:52:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0xb6fd12…
07-22 01:51:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	18	91¢	$17	0x11484b…
07-22 01:49:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x50c7ea…
07-21 11:57:01	cs2 m80 nip 2026 07 21 game2	NIP	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0xbdbcbd…
07-21 11:55:58	cs2 cyb g2a 2026 07 21 game3 round total 24pt5	Over	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x37d64e…
07-21 08:44:40	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xab72b2…
07-21 07:30:22	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x114d6f…
07-21 07:27:10	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	95	93¢	$88	0xe0c4c2…
07-21 07:27:09	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x060a4e…
07-21 06:34:51	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x623c70…
07-21 06:33:49	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x7959a3…
07-21 03:37:40	will warshs remarks not air 20260720204109061	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x02b1c3…
07-21 03:26:37	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x1986f2…
07-21 03:25:31	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xac50f4…
07-21 02:38:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x9f09a8…
07-21 02:36:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x9eea75…
07-20 07:26:51	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x1dc25f…
07-20 07:26:37	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xc70480…
07-20 02:04:27	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x179b25…
07-20 01:53:01	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xc356cb…
07-20 01:49:54	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1ad853…
07-17 09:17:49	val nova jdg 2026 07 17	Nova Esports	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x44f090…
07-17 08:44:04	val nova jdg 2026 07 17	JD Gaming	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xa782ac…
07-17 08:41:10	val nova jdg 2026 07 17	Nova Esports	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x6aae70…
07-17 08:37:04	val nova jdg 2026 07 17	Nova Esports	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x09b550…
07-17 08:35:24	val nova jdg 2026 07 17	JD Gaming	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x201648…
07-17 08:24:30	val nova jdg 2026 07 17	Nova Esports	BUY	250	82¢	$205	0x221b5c…
07-17 03:25:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x479912…
07-17 03:21:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xdef0e7…
07-17 03:20:21	israeli parliament dissolved by july 17 20260713154943505	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x520544…
07-17 03:17:00	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x4fc2ae…
07-17 03:01:12	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x80f2ed…
07-17 03:00:12	israeli parliament dissolved by july 17 20260713154943505	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc94b12…
07-17 02:48:06	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x39bc72…
07-17 02:45:34	israeli parliament dissolved by july 17 20260713154943505	No	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x0a2c5e…
07-17 02:45:21	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x690836…
07-17 02:38:52	israeli parliament dissolved by july 17 20260713154943505	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x44221b…
07-16 01:53:46	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x659deb…
07-16 01:52:41	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x19ed1d…
07-15 09:39:04	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x96307d…
07-15 09:36:05	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x650e56…
07-15 09:18:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x410bc6…
07-15 09:16:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xa5fcd5…
07-15 08:39:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x7d0df9…
07-15 08:33:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x058d3d…
07-15 08:10:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	16	92¢	$14	0x388ddd…
07-15 08:10:34	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xf30248…
07-15 08:09:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0xc5fe80…