Gracious-Pickle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

Trades

11,884

lifetime

Volume

$8.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-29 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

44% 38% $-3

Crypto

29% — —

Politics

22% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-15

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 687 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	16	$546	517	517	+0	open	—	04-19 13:06
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	23	$349	737	733	+4	open	—	04-21 12:05
spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	9	$338	223	173	+50	open	—	06-04 13:29
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	9	$318	320	320	+0	open	—	04-19 14:13
aapl up or down on april 16 2026	8	$279	811	200	+611	open	—	04-16 16:03
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	8	$199	106	106	+0	open	—	06-16 14:01
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	4	$199	200	200	+0	open	—	04-18 13:07
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	8	$195	200	200	+0	open	—	06-17 03:12
qqq up or down on april 15 2026	3	$188	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 00:25
qqq up or down on april 16 2026	5	$182	200	260	-60	open	—	04-16 08:29
ng up or down on april 22 2026	2	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	9	$150	180	280	-100	open	—	04-20 06:24
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	8	$146	80	80	+0	open	—	06-26 03:37
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	6	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	06-05 06:03
will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	6	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	06-25 12:06
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	3	$105	50	150	-100	open	—	04-19 18:49
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	5	$100	55	55	+0	open	—	04-10 16:28
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 0 39	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-10 16:27
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	5	$99	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	05-14 02:14
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	06-29 02:04
cricmlc tex mi 2026 06 21	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	06-22 03:28
wti closes above 87 on april 21 2026	6	$94	110	110	+0	open	—	04-21 08:58
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	2	$92	110	110	+0	open	—	04-22 00:16
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	4	$92	100	100	+0	open	—	06-08 06:29
xagusd up or down on april 17 2026	5	$85	187	5	+182	open	—	04-17 08:23
spy up or down on june 9 2026	4	$79	105	105	+0	open	—	06-09 03:20
spx up or down on june 8 2026	3	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	06-08 09:16
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	3	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	04-30 03:57
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	2	$60	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	+$0	05-09 04:08
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	9	$59	209	209	+0	open	—	04-18 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 07:33:37	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x64892e…
06-29 07:27:41	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x9312a0…
06-29 07:27:23	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xcf33b9…
06-29 07:24:13	spy closes above 725 on june 29 2026	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xbe660f…
06-29 07:22:29	spy closes above 725 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x880b3c…
06-29 02:41:38	will lab dip to 14 before 2027	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xdb58ef…
06-29 02:33:32	will lab reach 16 before 2027	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x4e013f…
06-29 02:30:56	will lab reach 16 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x1fa3e0…
06-29 02:19:59	will lab dip to 14 before 2027	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x13d736…
06-29 02:18:32	will lab dip to 14 before 2027	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x21d2f7…
06-29 02:16:14	will lab dip to 14 before 2027	No	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xdb75c5…
06-29 02:15:55	will lab dip to 14 before 2027	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x968b4d…
06-29 02:15:43	will lab dip to 14 before 2027	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x20f085…
06-29 02:14:29	will lab dip to 14 before 2027	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xd060d3…
06-29 02:04:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x131b9f…
06-29 02:04:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xf605f8…
06-29 01:57:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x0cd18e…
06-29 01:56:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x6b9e7b…
06-26 06:22:41	untitled market 1 20260625224941800	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xab56d8…
06-26 06:22:32	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x0c4d25…
06-26 06:07:11	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x2edf23…
06-26 06:07:07	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xd3a12b…
06-26 06:06:50	untitled market 1 20260625224941800	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3c7418…
06-26 03:37:44	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xacbee7…
06-26 03:36:07	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x75c657…
06-26 03:25:41	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x4aa07b…
06-26 03:23:56	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x9b3679…
06-26 03:09:56	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xb3ebb1…
06-26 03:08:49	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xb2baee…
06-26 03:08:25	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xef1146…
06-26 03:08:14	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xab2266…
06-26 03:01:53	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x670505…
06-26 03:00:26	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x711177…
06-25 13:01:23	spy closes above 730 on june 25 2026	No	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0xfe7851…
06-25 12:53:04	spy closes above 730 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x18c63e…
06-25 12:06:55	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xbb862c…
06-25 12:03:13	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x7f9710…
06-25 11:25:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x816470…
06-25 11:25:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x5d8b9f…
06-25 11:16:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xd1c0cd…
06-25 11:14:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x72eeef…
06-25 11:09:19	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x1ab1ec…
06-25 10:46:20	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x30485c…
06-25 09:19:23	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149	No	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xb7703b…
06-25 09:18:01	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xc923d9…
06-25 09:14:53	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x92e8b5…
06-25 08:10:58	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x56d8a8…
06-25 08:08:53	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x13e524…
06-25 07:35:37	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xb8c9be…
06-25 07:35:11	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xd6713f…
06-25 07:34:40	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947256	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x50b04a…
06-25 06:58:55	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947256	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x513827…
06-25 06:58:22	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947256	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x47a559…
06-25 06:53:40	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947256	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x840b83…
06-24 08:51:13	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829179	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6e45e5…
06-24 08:18:16	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829179	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x6a7bff…
06-22 03:28:37	cricmlc tex mi 2026 06 21	Mi New York	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x141cda…
06-22 03:28:17	cricmlc tex mi 2026 06 21	Mi New York	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6fdda5…
06-22 03:13:47	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x582e67…
06-22 03:09:41	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xfaabe7…
06-18 02:54:55	val che1 lyon 2026 06 17 game1 round total 19pt5	Over	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x0c8c8a…
06-18 02:31:53	val che1 lyon 2026 06 17 game1 round total 19pt5	Over	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x450145…
06-17 03:12:42	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xef9bab…
06-17 03:07:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xc51342…
06-17 02:57:12	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xf44b18…
06-17 02:56:27	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x238728…
06-17 02:36:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x071b87…
06-17 02:34:36	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x4db8bd…
06-17 02:09:31	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x41a216…
06-17 02:08:54	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xa828a7…
06-16 16:51:55	mlbb forzee tst 2026 06 16 game handicap away 1pt5	The Soulless Team	BUY	144	0¢	$0	0x574814…
06-16 16:51:25	mlbb forzee tst 2026 06 16 game handicap away 1pt5	The Soulless Team	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x00a077…
06-16 16:47:16	mlbb forzee tst 2026 06 16 game handicap away 1pt5	The Soulless Team	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xd3b44e…
06-16 14:17:49	spy closes above 745 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3d9d71…
06-16 14:01:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0x4e0140…
06-16 13:55:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x57b485…
06-16 13:52:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x33bd1c…
06-16 13:51:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x96921a…
06-16 13:46:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x0daf1a…
06-16 13:46:10	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x2a8717…
06-16 13:09:45	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x651412…
06-16 13:09:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa6e1fc…
06-16 13:00:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xc98750…
06-16 12:58:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc51993…
06-16 12:53:18	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x27132a…
06-16 12:52:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xbbeb26…
06-16 12:33:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xe01893…
06-16 12:32:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x790e68…
06-16 11:39:40	r6siege bb 6t 2026 06 16	6Targets Esports	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x06debc…
06-16 11:13:45	r6siege bb 6t 2026 06 16	6Targets Esports	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x42be09…
06-16 11:09:15	r6siege bb 6t 2026 06 16	6Targets Esports	BUY	191	0¢	$0	0x2742bf…
06-16 11:08:48	r6siege bb 6t 2026 06 16	6Targets Esports	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0x32d36d…
06-12 07:39:01	btc updown 15m 1781249400	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x93d9c2…
06-12 03:04:40	btc updown 15m 1781233200	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x97fa99…
06-12 02:56:57	btc updown 15m 1781232300	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x45fb17…
06-12 02:53:01	btc updown 15m 1781232300	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0b74b4…
06-12 02:49:57	btc updown 15m 1781232300	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x609542…
06-12 02:36:22	btc updown 5m 1781231700	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x15d8eb…
06-09 07:55:03	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa00dd6…
06-09 04:00:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x38ed4a…