Gracious-Pickle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.70K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.5%

Resolved

7,501

Trades

13,941

lifetime

Volume

$29.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 08-21 03:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Other

74% 21% -$1,295

Politics

15% 16% -$29

Crypto

8% 1% -$344

Tech

2% 22% -$8

Sports

1% 0% -$27

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	6	$744	600	600	+0	No	-$1	07-14 13:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	16	$546	517	517	+0	No	+$39	04-19 13:06
cs2 m80 nip 2026 07 21 game2	3	$492	250	250	+0	NIP	+$7	07-21 12:11
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	14	$404	504	504	+0	Yes	-$6	07-08 03:21
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?	15	$389	264	264	+0	Yes	-$1	07-06 08:11
spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	2	$376	200	200	+0	Up	+$0	07-14 13:01
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	2	$372	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 06:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	3	$364	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 02:55
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	4	$360	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	07-15 09:39
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$354	200	200	+0	No	-$2	07-21 02:38
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	23	$349	737	733	+4	Up	+$4	04-21 12:05
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	21	$347	422	422	+0	No	$0	07-07 11:26
spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	9	$338	223	173	+50	Down	+$1	06-04 13:29
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	9	$318	320	320	+0	No	+$2	04-19 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 8?	10	$311	164	164	+0	Yes	+$7	05-08 07:27
aapl up or down on april 16 2026	8	$279	811	200	+611	Down	-$251	04-16 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 10?	8	$273	150	150	+0	No	$0	07-10 06:51
val nova jdg 2026 07 17	6	$268	320	70	+250	Nova Esports	+$46	07-17 09:17
spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	8	$267	300	150	+150	Down	-$93	07-24 08:33
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?	16	$250	140	140	+0	No	+$4	07-02 11:00
spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	9	$245	311	89	+221	Down	+$18	07-13 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 21?	11	$240	132	132	+0	No	+$0	07-21 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?	16	$224	129	128	+0	Yes	$0	07-21 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4?	3	$207	109	109	+0	No	+$11	08-04 03:47
spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	8	$202	300	300	+0	Up	-$4	07-21 08:58
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	8	$199	106	106	+0	Yes	-$1	06-16 14:01
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	4	$199	200	200	+0	No	+$3	04-18 13:07
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	8	$195	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-17 03:12
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 4?	11	$193	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 11:04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 31?	3	$190	100	100	+0	No	+$10	07-31 03:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 03:22:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 21?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6fddd0…
08-21 03:14:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 21?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x9d247b…
08-21 02:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x4ddc15…
08-21 02:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 21?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x8c2cfd…
08-21 02:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x161629…
08-21 02:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xdc5f39…
08-21 02:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 21?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xb20076…
08-21 02:54:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 21?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x953b03…
08-21 02:54:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 21?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xda8399…
08-21 02:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 21?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x28910e…
08-21 02:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 21?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x9ba1d4…
08-21 02:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 21?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x4ebdfe…
08-21 02:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 21?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xf9a503…
08-21 02:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 21?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xe72476…
08-21 02:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 21?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1f71e3…
08-19 03:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 19?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x8498c1…
08-19 02:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 19?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x51da2f…
08-19 02:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 19?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x76d711…
08-19 02:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 19?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x037de5…
08-19 01:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 19?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa94a47…
08-19 01:56:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 19?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xbc93ab…
08-19 01:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x762252…
08-19 01:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x55516d…
08-19 01:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x82b1db…
08-19 01:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 19?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xd1168d…
08-19 01:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x602458…
08-19 01:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 19?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xa149de…
08-19 01:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 19?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x522492…
08-19 01:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 19?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x7a2cae…
08-19 01:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 19?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x420e85…
08-18 06:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xd5b615…
08-18 06:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x053f1b…
08-18 03:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x0912dc…
08-18 02:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 18?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x2d3254…
08-18 02:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 18?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x09047c…
08-18 02:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xbaac4f…
08-18 02:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xce7b60…
08-18 02:37:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 18?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xa2c728…
08-18 02:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 18?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe2a723…
08-18 02:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x259e3d…
08-18 02:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x30909b…
08-18 02:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x57f47b…
08-17 08:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x15d6b0…
08-17 08:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x7f13ef…
08-17 08:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x76a276…
08-17 07:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 17?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x62fe42…
08-17 07:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xb915c7…
08-17 07:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x529a47…
08-17 07:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xbc6bb0…
08-17 05:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbd77f7…
08-17 04:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x845f10…
08-17 03:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x62768d…
08-17 03:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xc2334b…
08-17 02:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xdd1021…
08-17 02:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 17?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xfd9759…
08-17 02:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 17?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xfd34f1…
08-17 02:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 17?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x017975…
08-17 02:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x25bbae…
08-17 02:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 17?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x6c717f…
08-17 02:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x26a829…
08-17 02:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xbb3abe…
08-14 11:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb6a1af…
08-14 08:05:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 14?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb0387b…
08-14 07:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xaa6940…
08-14 07:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xaae1c5…
08-14 06:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x7ee2a2…
08-14 06:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 14?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa7cda7…
08-14 06:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 14?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x9f8da1…
08-14 06:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 14?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x45007c…
08-14 06:34:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 14?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x6cb476…
08-14 06:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 14?	No	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xb5e49f…
08-14 06:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 14?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x185520…
08-14 06:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x30caa4…
08-14 05:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x0638cd…
08-14 05:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 14?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6e0cdb…
08-14 05:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 14?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x1833d5…
08-14 04:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe8ad6a…
08-14 03:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0xcc3d9d…
08-14 03:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x1b4522…
08-14 03:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbdac73…
08-14 03:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa5e34e…
08-14 02:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xace4a8…
08-14 02:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6539e8…
08-14 02:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x842831…
08-14 02:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6fed33…
08-14 02:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x0bef2b…
08-14 02:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x185c45…
08-14 02:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xa311ab…
08-14 02:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x9de37b…
08-14 02:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xee0155…
08-14 02:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x54b853…
08-13 07:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 13?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x14a83f…
08-13 07:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa6e65f…
08-13 07:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0acf06…
08-13 07:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xe056be…
08-13 06:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x800511…
08-13 06:39:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xcb15e0…
08-13 04:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x76481b…
08-13 04:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1ad8db…
08-13 04:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 13?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x02710f…