Firm-Stamen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

278

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$3.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 230 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 83% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:33
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 11?	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-10 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-08 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:53
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:34
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:07
highest temperature in singapore on april 5 2026 35corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:27
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 14:11
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:39
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:32
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 66 67f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 03:40
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:24
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:54
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:50
highest temperature in wellington on march 30 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20eebb…
10-31 09:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd51a7e…
10-30 10:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99f170…
10-29 08:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b2fee…
10-28 07:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9df37…
10-27 08:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe78c46…
10-26 09:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x330020…
10-22 10:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28fb9d…
10-20 07:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x814360…
10-19 08:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe32f1d…
10-18 09:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70a1f7…
10-17 11:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2aba18…
10-16 08:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd1c94…
10-15 09:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed14d0…
10-14 09:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ad121…
10-13 08:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ad3ea…
10-12 08:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99c338…
10-11 08:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c8daa…
10-08 08:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c2d3d…
10-07 14:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66a567…
10-06 07:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea4265…
10-04 14:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3708ff…
10-03 05:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2e189…
10-02 07:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa20287…
10-01 08:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8388fa…
09-30 07:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x219dc4…
09-29 14:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36b98b…
09-28 09:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x449ee3…
09-27 08:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bf2e8…
09-25 10:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe43b5…
09-24 08:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69bad9…
09-23 06:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb62406…
09-22 07:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80b998…
09-21 09:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6723e9…
09-20 05:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda183a…
09-19 08:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfec30e…
09-18 06:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb32cc3…
09-17 03:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b5004…
09-16 08:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4cfa5…
09-15 09:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e6ede…
09-14 08:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2d3e3…
09-12 16:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ebfd2…
09-11 07:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0214b…
09-10 04:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x448e58…
09-09 09:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9d5e3…
09-09 01:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f0fb1…
09-08 02:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e021c…
09-07 08:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x761688…
09-06 17:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75528a…
09-06 09:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x227bb6…
09-05 09:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x333f73…
09-04 17:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7026a…
09-03 09:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba176b…
09-02 07:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x204345…
08-30 08:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ce772…
08-29 07:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3e655…
08-28 07:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9e11c…
08-27 07:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd51f05…
08-26 07:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e77c0…
08-25 08:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54d774…
08-24 09:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b513e…
08-23 14:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ef303…
08-22 08:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc14627…
08-21 06:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x330b63…
08-20 08:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecc157…
08-19 10:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ab6d6…
08-18 08:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab2200…
08-17 07:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82a9b5…
08-16 11:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb82096…
08-15 09:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9d418…
08-14 06:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc9803…
08-13 07:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b50c3…
08-12 07:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ba55c…
08-11 06:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73ac04…
08-10 06:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb10897…
08-09 01:19:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7031bd…
08-08 07:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfe617…
08-07 01:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33b89d…
08-06 06:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76d6a6…
08-05 07:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb488e9…
08-04 08:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30e25c…
08-03 07:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5d142…
08-02 01:32:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b6438…
08-01 06:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce1cb7…
07-31 08:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a74d8…
07-30 06:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6106d…
07-29 06:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1886f1…
07-28 06:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3afde0…
07-27 08:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88f0d5…
07-26 06:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e5690…
07-25 07:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x956c2c…
07-24 09:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9950c…
07-23 02:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb12e20…
07-22 01:48:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c6521…
07-20 23:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x671399…
07-20 03:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeaced5…
07-18 22:43:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x085798…
07-18 00:13:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d6360…
07-17 06:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb61ef…
07-15 21:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84483f…