Cultivated-Cane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

517

lifetime

Volume

$55.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 08-04 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$2

Other

43% — —

Crypto

7% 100% +$12

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	40	$8.5K	6,526	4,500	+2,025	open	—	05-28 21:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	17	$6.6K	6,049	5,939	+110	open	—	05-23 21:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	56	$6.2K	6,239	6,239	+0	open	—	04-18 20:00
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	20	$5.5K	3,742	3,742	+0	open	—	08-01 22:08
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	41	$5.1K	3,480	3,480	+0	open	—	05-19 00:07
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	15	$4.7K	7,500	6,250	+1,250	open	—	08-04 16:42
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	23	$2.6K	2,843	2,843	+0	open	—	04-22 10:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$2.0K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	05-20 19:43
James Comey arrested by April 29?	31	$1.8K	2,403	2,249	+154	open	—	04-29 17:27
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	36	$1.6K	2,546	2,546	-0	open	—	03-31 07:45
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	12	$1.4K	7,255	755	+6,500	open	—	07-29 22:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$1.2K	0	1,500	-1,500	open	—	05-08 16:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	26	$1.1K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	02-28 21:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	10	$1.1K	950	750	+200	open	—	05-23 21:14
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	10	$813	718	696	+21	open	—	04-20 18:06
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	13	$569	1,636	1,636	+0	open	—	07-24 19:19
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	4	$435	477	477	+0	open	—	06-16 13:54
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	6	$400	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	08-04 17:01
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	5	$368	347	147	+200	open	—	02-23 20:52
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?	3	$319	385	385	+0	open	—	05-12 06:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	3	$275	284	284	+0	open	—	07-21 11:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$256	324	0	+324	open	—	07-16 19:11
will spy reach 760 in july 2026	3	$220	300	0	+300	open	—	07-22 12:06
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	4	$199	257	257	-0	open	—	06-06 17:28
starmer out by june 22 2026	1	$199	998	0	+998	open	—	06-20 21:17
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	1	$164	210	0	+210	open	—	05-01 13:05
wti up or down on april 6 2026	5	$148	123	121	+2	open	—	04-06 12:04
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$144	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 12:43
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	7	$140	700	700	+0	open	—	03-19 11:17
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	4	$133	138	14	+124	open	—	03-13 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 17:01:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	169	16¢	$27	0x8e151a…
08-04 16:59:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0xc9f6e5…
08-04 16:57:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	400	16¢	$64	0x564a21…
08-04 16:57:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	605	16¢	$97	0xb35faa…
08-04 16:55:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	45	16¢	$7	0x3b8d76…
08-04 16:42:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	669	16¢	$107	0xdb0b9e…
08-04 16:42:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	49	16¢	$8	0x6e603d…
08-04 16:42:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	533	16¢	$85	0x45afb4…
08-04 16:41:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	1,250	16¢	$200	0x47f7dc…
08-02 15:42:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	2,475	37¢	$916	0x73bb4c…
08-02 15:40:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0xd0e21a…
08-02 15:11:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	1,628	36¢	$586	0x79b894…
08-02 15:03:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x33e11e…
08-02 15:01:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x1fdcdb…
08-02 15:00:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	288	36¢	$104	0x15f877…
08-02 14:54:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x0a5b1e…
08-02 14:53:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x75f34b…
08-02 14:51:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	425	36¢	$153	0xee5c40…
08-02 11:35:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	500	37¢	$185	0xee7e9a…
08-02 11:35:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	2,000	37¢	$740	0xe88ea5…
08-02 11:32:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	5,000	35¢	$1,750	0x2c6e77…
08-01 22:08:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	700	81¢	$567	0x93c9f7…
07-30 07:55:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xa43c9b…
07-29 22:38:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	1,500	5¢	$78	0x061b15…
07-29 21:08:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	79¢	$395	0x905077…
07-29 19:40:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	79¢	$159	0x0db1c9…
07-29 17:52:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x4a4967…
07-29 17:51:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	250	78¢	$195	0x4ea743…
07-29 17:41:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,500	78¢	$1,170	0x8bbc58…
07-29 12:24:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$99	0xa2155a…
07-29 12:24:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$99	0x0231f6…
07-29 12:21:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,000	78¢	$780	0x4184f5…
07-29 12:20:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x659cae…
07-29 12:18:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$40	0x0695ea…
07-29 12:14:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	397	63¢	$250	0x55b33f…
07-29 12:14:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	380	63¢	$239	0x418d7a…
07-29 12:13:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	245	61¢	$150	0xd1cfd7…
07-29 11:01:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	265	65¢	$172	0xc49f40…
07-29 10:33:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	997	65¢	$648	0xad82c3…
07-28 21:55:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	500	62¢	$310	0xafadfc…
07-28 18:12:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	255	41¢	$105	0xaf6b57…
07-25 08:32:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x8ed8f2…
07-25 08:32:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x677cad…
07-24 19:19:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	830	18¢	$149	0xfafc80…
07-24 19:02:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	170	18¢	$31	0x94ec6b…
07-24 18:55:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	236	18¢	$42	0xeb5b96…
07-22 12:38:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	394	16¢	$63	0x6c3d22…
07-22 12:06:12	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xc44804…
07-22 10:26:33	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x3874fc…
07-21 11:43:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	84	49¢	$41	0xe41b21…
07-21 11:42:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x9ff586…
07-21 03:47:43	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x0931dc…
07-20 21:04:37	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x2444e2…
07-20 13:17:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	126	14¢	$18	0x44b809…
07-20 12:10:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x026982…
07-20 12:06:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0x034b80…
07-20 12:05:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0x038bf5…
07-20 12:04:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	250	75¢	$188	0x6c8296…
07-20 11:33:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	374	14¢	$52	0xd20318…
07-20 09:54:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x634119…
07-20 09:52:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xfd606d…
07-20 09:52:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	46	18¢	$8	0xd69c44…
07-20 09:52:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0x88d524…
07-20 09:46:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	815	17¢	$139	0x6a0cf5…
07-20 09:06:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	35	78¢	$27	0x97d240…
07-20 09:04:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	430	83¢	$357	0x226f03…
07-20 09:01:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xc68100…
07-20 08:59:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	213	82¢	$175	0x82bc7a…
07-19 13:50:15	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Down	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x7b6967…
07-18 21:55:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 3pt5	England	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf09326…
07-18 21:45:55	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x8c8ca5…
07-18 21:38:12	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x9405d2…
07-18 21:27:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x530f9b…
07-18 21:20:13	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x6187f0…
07-18 18:40:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xd9cb82…
07-18 10:56:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	250	82¢	$205	0xa204fc…
07-17 23:19:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xdb3593…
07-17 09:44:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	BUY	284	49¢	$140	0x2bb46d…
07-16 19:11:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x81799c…
07-16 15:03:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	316	79¢	$250	0x1e90df…
07-11 23:11:26	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x18f989…
07-07 17:32:53	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xffaa12…
06-29 23:12:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5e76f0…
06-20 21:17:20	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	998	20¢	$199	0x3f2910…
06-16 13:54:59	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	477	35¢	$168	0x9daf2e…
06-16 13:18:50	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x9a4b0b…
06-16 13:11:19	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	101	56¢	$57	0x50c775…
06-16 13:10:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	361	56¢	$202	0x030b01…
06-16 11:20:16	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x89e0ca…
06-06 17:28:19	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	257	33¢	$85	0x1061c7…
06-05 21:55:43	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x4ebdec…
06-05 21:41:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	200	45¢	$89	0x47a148…
06-05 21:40:52	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1f651c…
06-05 21:40:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	52	44¢	$23	0x245917…
05-28 21:01:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x44eb2c…
05-28 19:18:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	250	9¢	$22	0x74ea0e…
05-28 19:11:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x2618fe…
05-28 19:08:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xbe0dda…
05-28 19:07:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0x13c889…
05-28 19:07:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	46	80¢	$37	0x3e25fc…