Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?
open
Total volume
$700
$307 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$14,021
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-06-01
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-15 00:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $71 | $71 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $83 | $10 | +$73 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| Median | 4 | $39 | $5 | +$34 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $71 | $71 |
| unranked | 1 | $25 | — | +$25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | +165 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 05-11 23:52 |
| Nutritious-Speaker 0xfb83…42d5 | Yes | +42 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-11 04:08 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | +34 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-12 23:01 |
| Another-Kilt 0x8251…879d | No | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 22:31 |
| Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 04:52 |
| Vapid-Envy 0x3b08…4849 | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc350…2753 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 00:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 00:35:11 | (anonymous) 0xc350…2753 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xe1a84c… |
| 05-14 01:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x7954b9… |
| 05-13 16:47:43 | Vapid-Envy 0x3b08…4849 | No | BUY | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xc03ba8… |
| 05-13 04:52:50 | Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xdb7718… |
| 05-13 04:46:27 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 27 | 30¢ | $8 | 0x48fc39… |
| 05-13 04:46:25 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x027383… |
| 05-13 04:46:25 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | SELL | 26 | 34¢ | $9 | 0x77da7e… |
| 05-13 04:46:25 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | SELL | 25 | 32¢ | $8 | 0x48b542… |
| 05-13 02:51:07 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x86846c… |
| 05-12 23:01:14 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x009a06… |
| 05-12 23:01:02 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 52¢ | $7 | 0x8ca01c… |
| 05-12 19:55:30 | Outlandish-Chem 0x2e7d…9b4f | Yes | SELL | 45 | 69¢ | $31 | 0xc14436… |
| 05-12 05:39:43 | Growling-Housing 0x5b5c…fcb8 | No | SELL | 95 | 44¢ | $42 | 0x29d21f… |
| 05-12 03:56:00 | Outlandish-Chem 0x2e7d…9b4f | Yes | BUY | 45 | 56¢ | $25 | 0xfbdc62… |
| 05-11 23:52:49 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | BUY | 165 | 43¢ | $71 | 0x6db26a… |
| 05-11 23:30:56 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 57¢ | $9 | 0xaa0baa… |
| 05-11 22:31:47 | Another-Kilt 0x8251…879d | No | BUY | 12 | 43¢ | $5 | 0xf387e0… |
| 05-11 13:24:30 | (anonymous) 0xd466…17dd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 59¢ | $0 | 0x867e7f… |
| 05-11 13:24:28 | Oblong-Riser 0x4060…3ec3 | Yes | SELL | 620 | 61¢ | $378 | 0xb72b39… |
| 05-11 04:08:21 | Nutritious-Speaker 0xfb83…42d5 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 79¢ | $33 | 0x4262d3… |
| 05-11 01:05:41 | Spicy-Disease 0xa99f…b306 | No | SELL | 41 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x1c9b61… |
| 05-11 01:05:02 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 41 | 26¢ | $11 | 0x89da69… |
| 05-10 22:11:12 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 22 | 30¢ | $7 | 0x54f31e… |
| 05-10 22:11:11 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 19 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x7d186c… |