Valuable-Hostess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

144

Trades

801

lifetime

Volume

$24.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-24 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

53% 67% -$688

Other

41% 64% -$494

Pop-Culture

3% 20% -$780

Crypto

3% 67% -$199

Sports

0% 0% -$33

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes		+61	$8	4¢	$3	-$6	05-12 16:08
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes		+128	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	05-16 04:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$2.3K	1,786	1,786	+0	Yes	+$1,197	05-09 13:25
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	24	$1.5K	363,154	0	+363,154	No	-$1,456	05-22 09:37
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	20	$1.2K	57,720	75	+57,645	No	-$1,040	05-18 07:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.0K	1,160	1,160	+0	Yes	+$705	05-09 13:21
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	35	$1.0K	48,364	0	+48,364	No	-$1,005	05-22 09:38
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	32	$872	2,090	1,989	+100	Yes	+$591	05-12 08:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	8	$803	2,592	0	+2,592	Yes	-$803	05-15 08:29
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	28	$703	878	878	+0	No	+$185	05-14 19:33
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	5	$691	350	350	+0	No	+$1	05-14 07:18
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	3	$556	312	312	+0	No	+$1	05-16 21:18
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	8	$504	292	292	+0	No	+$55	05-10 17:19
Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	7	$489	909	0	+909	No	-$489	05-15 03:05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	40	$475	5,840	290	+5,550	No	-$304	05-01 03:18
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	20	$471	1,455	100	+1,355	No	-$435	05-14 20:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	19	$457	17,524	17,524	+0	No	+$262	05-12 16:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$434	327	327	+0	No	-$16	05-17 03:02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	3	$433	300	300	+0	No	-$24	05-16 21:18
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	7	$429	408	55	+353	No	+$33	05-10 17:27
New pandemic in 2026?	2	$354	200	200	+0	open	—	05-16 21:19
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	7	$339	225	225	+0	No	+$26	04-30 23:30
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	5	$328	200	200	+0	No	+$12	05-17 03:03
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	28	$297	30,017	30,017	+0	No	+$24	05-11 12:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$285	270	270	+0	Yes	+$225	05-09 13:21
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	4	$270	273	273	+0	No	+$8	05-13 00:09
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	13	$246	548	508	+40	No	+$12	05-12 01:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$244	157	157	+0	No	+$7	05-16 21:24
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	3	$242	265	265	+0	Yes	+$33	05-17 03:05
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$241	185	185	+0	No	+$126	05-15 11:05
Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?	3	$234	330	0	+330	No	-$234	05-15 02:17
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	16	$232	122	122	+0	No	+$12	05-11 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 02:38:35	will databricks valuation hit low 130b by june 30	Yes	SELL	235	1¢	$2	0x69a956…
06-17 18:37:28	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	173	6¢	$10	0x11a672…
06-17 18:35:10	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	10¢	$11	0x40a343…
06-16 22:46:22	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0xb1bf35…
06-16 22:45:31	will databricks valuation hit low 135b by december 31	Yes	BUY	84	51¢	$43	0x4a6953…
06-16 22:44:23	Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027?	No	SELL	38	80¢	$30	0x109410…
06-16 22:43:20	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x5d3bee…
06-16 22:38:49	will databricks valuation hit low 130b by june 30	Yes	BUY	235	2¢	$4	0x960db1…
06-16 22:38:22	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x9a6fca…
06-16 22:36:50	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,738	7¢	$122	0x6691f8…
05-30 02:37:25	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,657	8¢	$133	0x2d27d5…
05-30 02:20:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	212	6¢	$13	0xb70bb2…
05-23 20:57:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	125	32¢	$40	0xed96d6…
05-22 09:38:33	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,140	0¢	$3	0x0e8711…
05-22 09:37:43	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	317,090	0¢	$317	0x78b941…
05-20 07:33:57	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	838	1¢	$5	0x364051…
05-19 00:59:06	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x457f87…
05-18 08:14:47	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	436	1¢	$3	0xed0c04…
05-18 08:07:29	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x762c7a…
05-18 08:07:28	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdc39e9…
05-18 07:51:39	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x7bdeeb…
05-18 07:31:58	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	44	1¢	$0	0x0da5a4…
05-18 07:27:55	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0xd6f10e…
05-18 07:21:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11,066	1¢	$89	0xed170c…
05-18 07:21:21	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11,820	1¢	$95	0x7ba1e1…
05-18 07:20:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10,172	1¢	$81	0x9ee5d9…
05-18 07:12:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xdf2822…
05-18 07:11:33	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3a4c02…
05-18 07:03:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x3f7938…
05-18 07:00:28	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x782d45…
05-18 06:46:19	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x01b249…
05-18 06:46:14	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x542dd8…
05-18 06:46:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x0c8f90…
05-18 06:45:55	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4a5e24…
05-18 06:45:51	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbf71e0…
05-18 06:43:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0xb721da…
05-18 06:42:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	603	1¢	$5	0xb821d3…
05-18 06:39:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf4aa6a…
05-18 06:37:48	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xb81217…
05-18 06:28:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,730	1¢	$22	0x477bbd…
05-18 06:28:00	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,345	1¢	$19	0xc54813…
05-18 06:27:51	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,060	1¢	$24	0xad0c8f…
05-18 01:46:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11,644	1¢	$105	0x6165eb…
05-17 21:55:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?	Yes	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0x220334…
05-17 20:58:24	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	No	SELL	73	59¢	$43	0x72d5a6…
05-17 10:43:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	687	2¢	$17	0x2949df…
05-17 10:23:43	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xf5f91e…
05-17 10:23:18	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb959da…
05-17 10:20:39	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xa1ca76…
05-17 10:20:27	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x2eff1b…
05-17 10:19:55	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xad6cdb…
05-17 10:19:48	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x33452d…
05-17 10:14:07	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x26fb31…
05-17 10:02:22	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xe9116d…
05-17 09:59:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x479dfb…
05-17 09:57:50	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xc22ba8…
05-17 09:35:53	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x91d123…
05-17 09:35:21	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x21e11f…
05-17 09:34:50	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe36215…
05-17 09:33:24	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x40ea28…
05-17 09:33:22	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x55b601…
05-17 09:27:58	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	345	2¢	$8	0xc547e8…
05-17 09:19:19	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	397	2¢	$9	0xe33658…
05-17 09:09:34	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$19	0x794af2…
05-17 09:08:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	901	2¢	$22	0x80f02d…
05-17 08:59:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$4	0xb68cc7…
05-17 08:58:59	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	405	2¢	$10	0x5ed35c…
05-17 08:44:38	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12,246	2¢	$291	0xa5043c…
05-17 08:43:00	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x658738…
05-17 08:15:03	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,500	2¢	$50	0x8b8c5e…
05-17 08:07:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xc0ce73…
05-17 08:05:56	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xd61cdb…
05-17 08:05:36	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6,277	2¢	$126	0xcbc10c…
05-17 08:05:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xe8dadd…
05-17 08:05:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10,210	2¢	$200	0xf2722e…
05-17 08:04:56	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	952	2¢	$18	0x0cbe75…
05-17 08:04:40	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,825	2¢	$52	0x5df4bd…
05-17 03:08:03	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0xfd23d6…
05-17 03:05:55	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,803	3¢	$130	0xfa538c…
05-17 03:05:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	SELL	265	52¢	$138	0xc1ac02…
05-17 03:04:49	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,258	3¢	$88	0xb36189…
05-17 03:03:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9,751	3¢	$262	0xbd6a37…
05-17 03:03:25	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	No	SELL	125	82¢	$103	0x3f2684…
05-17 03:02:57	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xaba8bd…
05-17 03:02:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	327	64¢	$209	0xbdaa55…
05-17 03:01:34	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0xbf1bcd…
05-17 03:00:40	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,966	3¢	$80	0xd25dfe…
05-17 03:00:17	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xecca2e…
05-17 02:59:44	Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x831b33…
05-17 02:57:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x13735f…
05-16 21:27:18	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x7127cd…
05-16 21:25:29	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6,927	3¢	$216	0x4323cf…
05-16 21:25:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	110	90¢	$99	0xbb8325…
05-16 21:24:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	157	80¢	$125	0xbe29f8…
05-16 21:19:41	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5,139	3¢	$172	0x8bb2ef…
05-16 21:19:25	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x84e910…
05-16 21:18:59	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6,810	3¢	$221	0xef258a…
05-16 21:18:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7,536	3¢	$240	0xdc959d…
05-16 21:18:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	SELL	312	89¢	$279	0xf420fa…
05-16 21:18:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	300	68¢	$205	0xae41ca…